mid-table Posted January 27, 2009 Author Share Posted January 27, 2009 I've played a chance game once, and felt awful about it. Other than that I've been quite good so far, although I've been so busy and skint I've barely had a chance to have a bet. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GavMan_AUFC_1910 Posted March 24, 2009 Share Posted March 24, 2009 My rules for the new year is:I will start writing down my stakes and wins in a notebook. I did it all last season and it showed profit, but this year I've kept losing a lot of the time so I've stopped I will only bet on football (I have done for a wee while to be fair) So no roulette,puggies or horses. I will never bet on the Championship in England (Done this for a while also - for me its just so unpredictable) I won't bet on games I know f**k all about I will go on teams I think will win, there's times I think a team will win, but lots of people fancy the opposition so I too go with the opposition I will try and keep bets to singles, doubles and trebles, if not certainly perm bets. I won't let a big price put me off a backing a team if I think they are going to win I am going to stop betting on teams at such short prices, no value in it I won't bet every night just for the sake of it (On a Monday night for example I will say to myself would I have betted on this team if they were playing on the Saturday?) I see some people are going to stop betting on their own team. If I am confident of us winning I will take us. If I am confident of Ayr losing I will take Ayr to lose. :D I can honestly say I've stuck to the first 3 perfectly The ones I've not really stuck to are I havew betted on games I know f##k all about and there has ben night's I've betted just for a bet basically! Also, I took Ayr at 4/11 to beat QP at home and we drew, it was such a short price. All in all though I am happy with by betting so far this year (even though I am down a fair bit), I will hopefully soon be in profit!! 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue4578 Posted May 6, 2009 Share Posted May 6, 2009 This thread has been dead for a good while, anyone doing better as a result of their resolutions for 2009? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
freedomwriter Posted May 6, 2009 Share Posted May 6, 2009 This thread has been dead for a good while, anyone doing better as a result of their resolutions for 2009? nah not keepin to them at all lol bet on celtic every week, dont gamble as much on net games tho on the plus side never play cash quests now as never in the bookies 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mid-table Posted May 6, 2009 Author Share Posted May 6, 2009 I have had a mixed year, but I'm positive looking towards the rest of it. Went on a mental roulette spree a couple of months ago, won some, lost some, but have got that well out of my system and haven't played any chance games for a while now. I've recently got back into the habit of backing singles and being more thorough about my selection, things like backing under 3.5 goals after 55 minutes tonight when it was 1-0 at 1.21, wasn't going to make me a millionaire but was a good price bet. That's what I need to be doing more of. Had a devastating loss on Chicago Bulls v Boston Celtics in the NBA, the umpires helped the Celtics on their way to the series, Bulls should have won game 5 but the umpire bottled it. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fanny paddery Posted May 6, 2009 Share Posted May 6, 2009 This thread has been dead for a good while, anyone doing better as a result of their resolutions for 2009? Managed t not play any games of chance only been betting on sports, however i have cut it back with uni and stuff. Have been on a bad run and when your just betting singles it can be hard to get back into profit ! 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue4578 Posted May 6, 2009 Share Posted May 6, 2009 Games of chance in the bookmakers are their biggest money spinner these days. They don't actually want to lay bets, but just want to be mini casinos where the house edge means that they can't lose. The large bookmakers don't like paying out large amounts on bets I can assure you. My only problem is laziness really. I do alright from betting, but if I actually put a decent amount of work in, I would make twice as much at least. Too much time spent watching sport to put more work into the actual betting side of it though. That Bulls series was very close, but hopefully you'll recoup your losses with the Celtics losing to the Magic in the next round. I hear that the Bulls were pretty lucky to get to game 7 in the first place. I've got some money up on Betfair trying to back the Magic in the series myself as I think the current price is superb value (if I were to get matched, which I have a little), but don't see too many takers. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nick_BCFC Posted August 7, 2009 Share Posted August 7, 2009 Someone told me about the lucky 15's in another thread I think but I can't find it where we talked baout first scorers. Would it be worth while doing them for 4 football matches? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue4578 Posted August 22, 2009 Share Posted August 22, 2009 If you've got four value selections, then yes. When you get them all right you'll win more than if you'd done four singles, when you get them all wrong you'll lose more assuming level stakes. I've never seen the attraction of things like that myself. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fueradejuego Posted September 3, 2009 Share Posted September 3, 2009 Just spent the last hour or so reading through this thread from start to finish. Very interesting. I started gambling online last December and after I had stopped placing 10 team accy's and started thinking about what I was doing I had made £200 by the end of the season. I started this season on the opening day of the Premiership with £30 and I now have £142. I am aiming to make steady profits each week with fairly large singles or doubles. I always look to get 50% profit back on my original stake i.e. if I bet £10 I look to get £15 back. This will obviously vary from time to time. I stuck on £120 for Barca to beat Gijon earlier this week for a return of £140. The main points I follow:- 1. Don't get greedy. 2. Stick to what you know. A fair bit of discipline also helps. I have a goal of what I want to achieve through gambling and this helps me maintain discipline. I have no get rich quick scheme just slow and steady progress. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mid-table Posted September 3, 2009 Author Share Posted September 3, 2009 Just spent the last hour or so reading through this thread from start to finish. Very interesting.I started gambling online last December and after I had stopped placing 10 team accy's and started thinking about what I was doing I had made £200 by the end of the season. I started this season on the opening day of the Premiership with £30 and I now have £142. I am aiming to make steady profits each week with fairly large singles or doubles. I always look to get 50% profit back on my original stake i.e. if I bet £10 I look to get £15 back. This will obviously vary from time to time. I stuck on £120 for Barca to beat Gijon earlier this week for a return of £140. The main points I follow:- 1. Don't get greedy. 2. Stick to what you know. A fair bit of discipline also helps. I have a goal of what I want to achieve through gambling and this helps me maintain discipline. I have no get rich quick scheme just slow and steady progress. Can't argue with any of that. Keep it going. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcgregor Posted November 20, 2009 Share Posted November 20, 2009 (edited) Hi new member here - have read this thread and some good info on it. Ok my ramble is that we are told we need to find value. So ive started to try and find the fair price on a match and sometimes i get really close to the bookmakers prices and sometimes im quite a bit off - mostly on the draw price. Can anyone point me in the right direction As an example I've picked a random match Arbroath v Alloa tomorrow Home 1 0 5 Away 3 2 2 league table info so hw + al = 3 draws 2 and hl + aw = 8 so 3 2 8 23% 15% 62% goals arbroath at home -9 and alloa away +2 recent form arbroath LLLXW alloa LXWWL hth at arbroath from hth website adv 8 2 8 which gives 44% 11% 44% looking more into it arbroath have had a great record v alloa at home for quite a few seasons. News which ive got from p&p mostly - alloa may have 2 injuries to key defenders arbroath new manager has had a great start with a draw at brechin and a win at peterhead. Alloa beaten 4-1 at home to stenny last week. Is there a proper way to join all this up? I try and move the percentages up or down to compensate for all the different things so from league position info 23% 15% 62% to hth and rf adjustment 30 15 53 to match news 34 15 51 which in odds i reckon is 2.94 6.6 1.9 I reckon there is something wrong with this and probably more ways to adjust it. Best booky price was 2.6 paddy for home win and worst was 2.2 alloa price was 2.63 b365 and worst 2.25 paddy and draw was 3.5 My instinct is arbroath as they look as if they are coming out of a bad run and home stats which are poor should get better. Maybe im wrong but that is the gut instinct i get. I see the best value is to lay the draw as these teams dont often draw according to past games. I wouldnt choose alloa on the injury news. So can anyone improve on how many percent to change things etc or pick holes in this. Edited November 20, 2009 by mcgregor 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Savage Henry Posted December 21, 2009 Share Posted December 21, 2009 Hi, just opened an account. Just put a whole wad on Dundee winning the First Division as that seems to be free money as far as I can see. Anyway, will now take time to read this thread. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Savage Henry Posted December 29, 2009 Share Posted December 29, 2009 Question. Hope a veteran punter can help me. Is it a good idea to sit and wait for really short odds favourites, then plonk all my money on them for a minimal return, then repeat the process only putting down more each time? For example, putting all my spondoolicks on England to win the current test match? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mid-table Posted December 29, 2009 Author Share Posted December 29, 2009 There is no right or wrong answer to that. We've all seen really short priced favourites get turned over, as with most serious betting it should be about getting a value price. If you think something should be 1/25 and you are getting 1/10 for it then that is value, however if you're only getting 1/50 for it then over time you will lose money, as although an individual bet may win you are not getting a value return for it. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reference Posted January 8, 2010 Share Posted January 8, 2010 What I like to do is, for example on a Champions League night where a lot of games finish at the same time is put on a 5 or so team accumulator with 6/7 minutes left predicting the outcome to remain the same in each match. Usually get pretty decent odds for it as well. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue4578 Posted January 8, 2010 Share Posted January 8, 2010 What I like to do is, for example on a Champions League night where a lot of games finish at the same time is put on a 5 or so team accumulator with 6/7 minutes left predicting the outcome to remain the same in each match. Usually get pretty decent odds for it as well. Do you make a profit doing that? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xaviermaw Posted January 9, 2010 Share Posted January 9, 2010 (edited) Avoid scorecasts and section coupons, these are a rip off. 100% spot on. There is nothing better than standing in the bookies at half 2 on a Saturday to see some wee bam next to you say to his mate 'Laldy man, 2 fae each sexshun is 2 and half grand back furra fiver - um actual daen that. Darlington will defo beat Licoln eh?' You won't see him back in the shop at half 5. And my tip is to simply make sure you walk back into the bookies to collect SOMETHING as much as possible. Bookies hate opening their tills for anything other than firing wee dafties' £20 notes in to it. Use PERMS - always to collect something. Bookies must be amazed the amount of people will put a treble on for big money and not cover the 3 doubles. To be honest If they all come up yer three doubles isn't that much less than the treble - and if you small stake the treble too it is nearly the same. Edited January 9, 2010 by xaviermaw 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue4578 Posted January 9, 2010 Share Posted January 9, 2010 Or just don't do multiple bets at all. That is certainly the best way to make sure that all your bets don't lose. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Diego De la Vega Posted January 15, 2010 Share Posted January 15, 2010 For anyone who enjoys a flutter on the horses there is a guy called Nick Pullen who sends out a weekly e mail with some right good info and analysis on it it is free and there is no obligation to sign up to any paid tipster service (which are, in general, cons) will post the link if anyone is interested Nick Pullen racing the last couple of e mails have focused on the all weather and has had some good stats in it giving you pointers about draw bias and the fact that 70% of favourites at 4-1 or less have been beaten over the last 3 years some really good reading 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.