Home/Away Cup Ties

[invergowrie arab]

Might need @craigkillie help here

Since winning the cup in 2010 United have had 57 knockout cup games 19 at home and 38 away (this excludes semis and finals at neutral venues too).

Tbh away cup games are much better but still mental with 50/50 chance.

Is 57 games a robust sample size for a 50/50? If not what is and who would have the greatest discrepancy?

Obviously Dundee would need to go back to about 1970 to get 57 cup games.

 

ETA removed Scottish Cup replays so 53 ties drawn out of the hat. 19H 34A  

Edited September 1, 2022 by invergowrie arab

[Cosmic Joe]

On 01/09/2022 at 09:40, invergowrie arab said:

Might need @craigkillie help here

Since winning the cup in 2010 United have had 57 knockout cup games 19 at home and 38 away (this excludes semis and finals at neutral venues too).

Tbh away cup games are much better but still mental with 50/50 chance.

Is 57 games a robust sample size for a 50/50? If not what is and who would have the greatest discrepancy?

Obviously Dundee would need to go back to about 1970 to get 57 cup games.

 

ETA removed Scottish Cup replays so 53 ties drawn out of the hat. 19H 34A  

30 home draws, 28 away for East Fife in the same period. 

I wonder what the original Rangers record was back in the hot balls/ cold balls days. 

[free beer]

This one intrigued me so I cut the ballot data for every draw made in the Scottish Cup since 1873. So no replays, byes, finals etc. and irrespective of whether the tie venue was switched (for usually financial reasons):

Biggest home draw bias:

40 - Hibernian (206 home, 166 away)

36 - Stranraer (102 H, 66 A)

20 - 3rd L.R.V. (63 H, 43 A) & Arthurlie (51 H, 31 A)

Biggest away draw bias:

30 - Airdrieonians (all guises) (107 H, 137 A)

26 - Montrose (72 H, 98 A)

24 - Partick Th (130 H, 154 A) & St Johnstone (94 H, 118 A)

Misc others:

Dundee 143 H, 130 A

Dundee Utd 107, H 117 A

Celtic 216 H, 221 A

Rangers 223 H, 238 A

So Hibernian appear to have had the most sticky, hot or square balls