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Russian invasion of Ukraine


Sonam

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2 hours ago, jagfox said:

RU apparently launching long range missiles at Ukrainian targets from within their own territory. Think it is meant to be those x-101 or whatever they are called. 

The biggest problem with using long range weapons is the risk of misdirection/navigation failure. It’s all well and good when your 1,500+ mile cruise missile hits the target 500 miles away, it’s when a component fails and it flys another 1,000 miles in a random direction before crashing and exploding that it becomes a problem. With the age of some of these systems, and the general unreliability of Russian technology and maintenance, this is becoming a more serious issue. Hopefully NATO air defences could and would down a rogue missile, but…

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17 minutes ago, LongTimeLurker said:

One of their UAVs crash landed in Zagreb earlier this year, so they have already had issues that way:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Zagreb_Tu-141_cras

Exactly, now put a 1,000 kg warhead on it and have it hit near Munich. The stray Ukrainian S-300 was a clear example of how risky this is getting for involving third parties.

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Important to bear in mind that the Ukrainians are able to repair a lot of the damage to their powergrid fairly quickly and have several nuclear plants and huge hydroelectric dams on the Dniepr that the Russians are unlikely to be able to destroy:

 

meanwhile Russian missile stocks continue to deplete...

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6 hours ago, Bairnardo said:
6 hours ago, Todd_is_God said:
Assuming any exclusively nuclear armed missiles that are launched have had their warheads removed seems slightly dangerous to me.

Well presumably we'll find out for sure when they land....

"Oleg, did you mind to take the warheads off those missiles?

The what?"

Edited by Sergeant Wilson
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13 minutes ago, Bairnardo said:
1 hour ago, Todd_is_God said:
Assuming any exclusively nuclear armed missiles that are launched have had their warheads removed seems slightly dangerous to me.

Well presumably we'll find out for sure when they land....

Yea, a 200kt nuclear warhead will make a slightly larger boom than a few bags of sand and a bit of fuel, eh?

On a related consideration, those suckers have a 2,500km range and are nearing 40+ years old. Their reliability is likely to be a bit questionable. Let’s say one overflies Ukraine, and heads off across Poland for Germany…what warhead does it have?

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7 minutes ago, TxRover said:

Yea, a 200kt nuclear warhead will make a slightly larger boom than a few bags of sand and a bit of fuel, eh?

On a related consideration, those suckers have a 2,500km range and are nearing 40+ years old. Their reliability is likely to be a bit questionable. Let’s say one overflies Ukraine, and heads off across Poland for Germany…what warhead does it have?

There's also the (apparent) issue that our intelligence agencies appear, before seeing photographs of a claimed to have been shot down missile, to have been completely unaware that a missile that could only have been armed with a nuclear warhead had even been launched.

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