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The Relegation Run-In


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Think Forfar could leave it too now. Would agree looks like a straight shoot out between Clyde and Dumbarton for play-off. Would not despair if in play-off, we played Edinburgh City in the Cup and would not have said they were particularly better than us.

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Guest bernardblack
2 hours ago, The Moonster said:

Probabilities via the fantastic @Fuctifano

PXL_20210421_072930185.jpg

 

Peterhead's win last night leaves them practically safe, now down to Clyde and Dumbarton to battle it out for 9th. 1st of May looking like the decider. 

Oh now I’m sad. 

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5 hours ago, The Moonster said:

Probabilities via the fantastic @Fuctifano

PXL_20210421_072930185.jpg

 

Peterhead's win last night leaves them practically safe, now down to Clyde and Dumbarton to battle it out for 9th. 1st of May looking like the decider. 

Even that less than 1% for Forfar to reach the playoffs seems excessive!

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Final round of fixtures before the split were played on Tuesday night:

1218891611_Tuesdayresults.PNG.8c0c90b0b0541aabcb7fbf23365d7327.PNG

East Fife are the ones to finish 6th and so will make up the numbers with the rest of the shite to decide relegation. Disaster for Forfar as they lose their must win game at home to Clyde with The Bully Wee putting themselves into 8th. Big win for Peterhead to ease their relegation fears. This left the table like this:

 

Table.PNG.f01b1f1abec2996b77396f00489b6077.PNG

East Fife officially can't finish 10th and it would take a miraculous run of results for them to finish 9th, lots of dead rubbers for them. Peterhead are nearly guaranteed to not finish 10th, although it's still mathematically possible should Forfar win all games (We won't of course).

 

Clyde and Dumbarton will both be confident of dragging Peterhead into the mix but their fixture against each other now looks to be the biggest game of the split. Forfar need a miracle, and as much as I'd love to see a ridiculous escape I just can't see it, imagine we'll be down after game 20.

 

Today's fixtures:

186859736_SaturdayFixtures.PNG.25d994cd30f8f8b466860cb001777a5b.PNG

Away trips for both Dumbarton and Clyde. A win at Balmoor for the home side would see them safe. Be interesting to see how up for it East Fife are compared to the others.

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Another week of quick fire games which could see some things wrapped up.

 

Saturday 24th:

1242610690_SaturdayResults.PNG.a4b7db93e388a3d4c0bd847219845fd0.PNG

Both Dumbarton and Clyde losing sees Forfar hold on to a glimmer of hope; East Fife and Peterhead officially safe.

 

Tuesday 27th:

1485866441_Tuesdayresults.PNG.bba01178519c7fd20777c10f9daf725b.PNG

Clyde v East Fife obviously not going ahead, but Dumbarton's late win means Forfar can't catch The Sons so can get a play-off at best and even that is unlikely as they are 9 behind Clyde with 3 games to play.

 

Thursday 29th:

106832258_ThursdayResults.PNG.0545a89cbe788367673d99ac7ead572c.PNG

beegee.gif.d3e0d39d6acb7b0c00258b393ee6c885.gif

92nd minute winner sees The Loons safe for another game; still very unlikely we can stay up but at least it's not over. Clyde miss out the chance to leapfrog Dumbarton.

Table.PNG.24ebeabfee2093198f104a7ae1ff11fc.PNG

 

Today's fixtures:

1888514495_SaturdayFixtures.PNG.53e8c879665cf381696fb6cad3c97bb4.PNG

 

Huge game at Broadwood today. A Dumbarton win (Please, I've always liked The Sons, honest) would see them safe in 8th place and keep Forfar's very slim hopes of avoiding bottom place alive if they can beat Peterhead. Forfar have already won at Balmoor this season and the home team may well be on their holidays; that of course could mean they're relaxed and end up dishing out a skelping, we shall see. Should the very unlikley scenario play out that Forfar win their last two and Clyde lose theirs it could end up very tight on goal difference.

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Would have thought it'd make sense to replay the Clyde v E.Fife game on the Tues and move the Forfar v EFife game to the Thursday since latter is now meaningless and allowing Clyde to play on Thu gives them the advantage of knowing before ko the exact result they require.

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On 03/05/2021 at 12:31, Caro-Kann said:

Would have thought it'd make sense to replay the Clyde v E.Fife game on the Tues and move the Forfar v EFife game to the Thursday since latter is now meaningless and allowing Clyde to play on Thu gives them the advantage of knowing before ko the exact result they require.

If the game had gone ahead on Tuesday Dumbarton would have known exactly what they needed to do, only benefit Clyde got out of game not going ahead

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531260970_SaturdayResults.PNG.02420b79761ba346766faaf3d78a6fd2.PNG

Bah! Forfar Athletic officially relegated despite a 2nd win at Balmoor this season. Largely thanks to Duffy's dunderheids who lost the big game at Broadwood which put Clyde in pole position for 8th place.

Tuesday results:

1349917100_Tuesdayresults.PNG.7369e58fd402f4936fb7fb6343350580.PNG

It's rare you see a last minute goal in every single game but that's what happened on Tuesday night. Much hilarity of course at the top of the table with Falkirk somehow managing to finish 5th. At the bottom it was disappointing for the relegated Loons to lose our last game, but what a result for The Sons! They leapfrog Clyde into 8th thanks to their late winner.

Table.PNG.4c66c717a156b5e13d899da81d15e4de.PNG

So it all comes down to Thursday night's re-arranged game between Clyde and East Fife. No real pressure on East Fife, how will that see things pan out?

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