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Scottish Parliamentary Elections May 2021


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1 minute ago, GordonS said:

I think another win for No would bleed us of a genuine desire for it and support would slump back down to 40% or less...

...which is why Nicola will be hoping Boris uses the legal system to block a referendum for another electoral cycle. Keep stoking the general mood of grievance until it's possible to have comfortably over 50% in the Yes camp. The Yes side has a more efficient strategy for electing MSPs right now than the parties in the No camp so pro-independence Holyrood governance  emerged significantly before the outright pro-independence majority needed to actually win a referedum.

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A fourth Mid Scotland & Fife list result in, so far basically the region is the same as last time except GRN +2, LDEM -3, and ALBA just under 2. If the SNP lost a seat to CON then they wouldn't make up for it in the list.

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It is going to be a huge ask for SNP to hold Edinburgh Pentlands & Perthshire & Kinross South. If they did then it is almost certain they would have held onto every constituency they won in 2016 which would be amazing achievement.

I cannot see a snowballs chance in hell that they have won Aberdeen West though as even without Lib Dem swing to Tories it would have been a huge ask.

So even if they were somehow to end up on 62 constituency seats unless they have polled 45% plus down South of Scotland cannot see them getting 3 list seats. Probably 1 in Highlands & 1 in South of Scotland

 

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Just now, Honest Saints Fan said:

f**k you Liz Smith. One of the biggest c***s in Parliament.

She's another one that has that "kept every ball that was kicked in her garden" look about her.

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