Scottish Parliamentary Elections May 2021

[Salvo Montalbano]

Genuinely enjoying the BBC coverage. Rebecca and Glenn have great chemistry and the unapologetic geekiness of both Campbell and the psephology profs is a delight.
Unintended consequence of the panel zoom calls is seeing some of the shocking decoration decisions of some politicians. Yon Tory fella with the red face had some lovely curtains and beautiful lighting. The Glancy woman (labour) and Bardell (SNP) both live in utter middens.

Mike Russell using the Zoom call "blur background" feature was a bit odd. Surely you know well before today that you're going to be doing some live pieces from home? Tidy up a bit and stick some books on a shelf FFS!

Anything other than an SNP majority will be shouted out from the rooftops as a victory for Unionism, and a proof that the people of Scotylnd reject another referendum. 
It's pish, but that's how it works these days. Goalpost shifting is simply how it is. 

Willie Rennie in his victory speech was going on about how the results were a clear indication that Scotland doesn't want another referendum and that we need to listen to that. Despite him being about one of the first winners, despite the SNP at that point having all the seats bar I think 2, despite the fact that there will be a pro Indy majority in Parliament, etc. In a wee world of their own.

[Comrie]

Why does Jackson Carlaw even bother? Shitebag of the highest order.

"We have got a detailed policy prospectus which will be the basis of the constructive opposition that we offer with a view to ensuring the SNP are in their final term of office and that Scotland in due course has an alternative government and an alternative future."

[Busta Nut]

3 minutes ago, Stormzy said:

Says the one upset that I disliked a post about how wonderful Nicola was and how you couldn't comprehend how anyone could have a different opinion? 

Mad world we live in if that's the case. 

You never offered an opinion.

[John Lambies Doos]

Independence by 2030 now i guess

[Guest]

Tactical voting just seems so negative and anti politics to me, I mean how can someone who's a traditional Labour voter seriously vote for a party who despises the working classes and openly pursues policies which benefit the wealthiest to the detriment of the most vulnerable in our society ??

By the same token, I'd ask how a traditional Conservative voter could vote for their despised arch enemies who many seem to perceive as "union loving socialists".

And for what ??

Why are they so afraid of us Governing ourselves ? Why do they think that London does it better ? Where does this inferiority complex come from ?

Honestly, I've never understood it nor have I ever had any sort of coherent explanation as to why they think like this, so if anyone can enlighten me, then please do ??

[glasgow-sheep]

Are there any links to list votes other than Fatima Joji who is tweeting the NE list results? It would be good to see some analysis of how the Unionist vote is diverging from constituency votes to see if there is any likelihood of the SNP picking up any tailend list votes based on the higher differential turn-out. That would probably mean squeezing out the Greens who don't look particularly high in the NE.

Think Ballot Box Scotland said he was going to be doing something

[NotThePars]

1 minute ago, renton said:

If they had any sense they would have been discussing it previously.

I wouldn't be surprised if they had. The Greens have always been the recycling wing of the SNP anyway might as well make it official and start doing smart politics.

Maybe Alba will f**k it tho and Greens lose their remaining seats!

[Donathan]

Small chance now, Aberdeenshire West is best chance and Galloway & West Dumfries is a long shot but they will need to win every seat they hold and the tories have a great chance with 2 seats. 

Would a win in G&WD be cancelled out on the list anyway? Aberdeenshire West looks like the final chance at a majority.

What seats are the Tories targeting that haven’t been called yet? Perthshire South?

[G51]

1 minute ago, WATTOO said:

Tactical voting just seems so negative and anti politics to me, I mean how can someone who's a traditional Labour voter seriously vote for a party who despises the working classes and openly pursues policies which benefit the wealthiest to the detriment of the most vulnerable in our society ??

[John Lambies Doos]

So, for an overall majority, all the SNP need is to win all the 26 as yet undeclared seats they won last time and add another one from either Aberdeenshire West or Galloway & West Dumfries.  No list seats needed. That right? 
Gulp.
Piece of piss... [emoji52]

More complicated mate, because due to their heroics in East Lothian and Ayr they will lose list seats. Really needed to pick up these 2 seats in Dumbarton and Eastwood, as they would have absolutely no impact on list.
Its all about the greens now!!!

[sparky88]

1 minute ago, renton said:

If they had any sense they would have been discussing it previously.

There's surely too many ways in which the SNP backs environmentally damaging policies for the Greens to emerge unscathed. SNP have previously backed the building if the third runway at Heathrow, for example. 

[renton]

1 minute ago, John Lambies Doos said:

Independence by 2030 now i guess

I wouldn't want a referendum before 2024 anyway. So long as there is a pro Indy majority, invite Westminster to say no.

[microdave]

Aberdeenshire West could still be one route to a majority, right?

The Snp currently have a net gain of one but need two for a majority. Eastwood and Dumbarton were the ones I was looking for but Aberdeenshire West could be the one that swings it. Only 900 majority last time.

You can say that if you want, but i called this ages ago, the SNP fielded a shite candidate who’s leaflets and social media etc were all ‘indy’ etc, there was no local engagement or focusing on the issues that people care about in the area, campaigning in Helensburgh was also non existent. The guy was a careerist who had previously been beaten by ACH i believe (may be wrong).

At the last election, I was doing sampling at the count and the support for Jackie Baillie in Helensburgh was off the scale. I'm really surprised that there was a lack of campaigning there especially considering how close the result was in 2016. That would've been my no.1 target for votes.

[renton]

Just now, sparky88 said:

There's surely too many ways in which the SNP backs environmentally damaging policies for the Greens to emerge unscathed. SNP have previously backed the building if the third runway at Heathrow, for example. 

Nothing the SNP couldn't or wouldn't drop, I think.

[Busta Nut]

@Donathan Mon you ya daftie. Where's the Motherwell & Wishaw result. Use your connections.

[betting competition]

SNP hold Motherwell and Wishaw

[Busta Nut]

@G51 @Stormzy Did you vote Tory or tactically lads?

[vikingTON]

2 minutes ago, John Lambies Doos said:

More complicated mate, because due to their heroics in East Lothian and Ayr they will lose list seats. Really needed to pick up these 2 seats in Dumbarton and Eastwood, as they would have absolutely no impact on list.
 

That's forgetting the alternative path in (Edinburgh) Lothian: Scotland's capital of shitebags. 

[TheScarf]

I’ve got Wichita Lineman stuck in my head now.

[GNU_Linux]

1 minute ago, betting competition said:

SNP hold Motherwell and Wishaw

Increased majority of 7813 over Labour.