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The Relegation Dogfight


The Relegation Dogfight  

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1 hour ago, Thumper said:

If Ayr aren't ahead of both going into the last matchday then it's curtains. Ayr would be more likely to get a win at the Bernabeu than in Inverness.

Inverness could quite easily be out of the playoffs before then if they lose( entirely possible) and Dunfermline win ( entirely possible)

In which case its a dead rubber for Inverness against Ayr and increases your chances considerably.

From a Morton  perspective, we really need Inverness to still be in the hunt come the last day.

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So now between Ayr, Morton and Arbroath.

If Arbroath win, Morton are 9th regardless of Ayr's result in Inverness.

If Morton win, Ayr need at least a draw for Arbroath to finish 9th.

If it's a draw, and Ayr draw at least in Inverness then Morton would be 9th.

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A bittersweet season is almost over and we have survived another season.

That didn’t look remotely likely at the start of 2021, so well done to the team for turning it around. 

Having turned things around, we put ourselves in with a fighting chance of the promotion play-offs, but went right off the boil over the last month.

Disappointing, but I would have bitten your hand off for survival on 1 January 2021.

Roll on Season 2021/22.

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We did say 30 points to be safe this year, and lo and behold...

On the bonus front, now ICT have absolutely nothing to play for unless they get down about 0-14 and Queens are winning...so that Ayr match looks a lot easier. The Morton vs Arbroath match has been on everyone’s radar for a few weeks now, and now it becomes the likely decider, how delicious.

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8 minutes ago, super_carson said:

So now between Ayr, Morton and Arbroath.

If Arbroath win, Morton are 9th regardless of Ayr's result in Inverness.

If Morton win, Ayr need at least a draw for Arbroath to finish 9th.

If it's a draw, and Ayr draw at least in Inverness then Morton would be 9th.
 

Always the most realistic scenario, now all Queens fans can go put clean underwear on and let the rest of us see this through.

I will go for an Ayr shagging at Inverness.

While we only then need a draw problem is Arbroath will score at least 2 so Gus find us a player who knows where the net is.

Get Fjortoft up front and Colville and Lyons in the middle.

Edited by Paisley Ton
I have seen the future
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3 minutes ago, super_carson said:

I think it's a six goal swing needed for Morton to catch Ayr. If Ayr lose 3-0 and Morton win 3-0, then we'd be in 9th.

I'm going to go through five cans of anti-persperant on Friday.
 

If Ayr lose and Morton win, you'll be in 9th anyway, because Morton would have 3 more points

Edited by Mr X
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If Ayr and Morton both lose then Ayr need to lose by six more, so eg if Morton lose 1-0 Ayr need to lose 7-0.  That's obviously not going to happen, so you can pretty much say with certainty:

Arbroath win - Arbroath 7th (6th if QoS lose), Ayr 8th, Morton 9th regardless of Ayr result

Arbroath & Morton draw, Ayr win - Ayr 7th, Arbroath 8th, Morton 9th

Arbroath & Morton draw, Ayr draw - Arbroath 7th, Ayr 8th, Morton 9th

Arbroath & Morton draw, Ayr lose - Arbroath 7th, Morton 8th, Ayr 9th

Morton win, Ayr win - Ayr 7th, Morton 8th, Arbroath 9th

Morton win, Ayr draw - Morton 7th, Ayr 8th, Arbroath 9th

Morton win, Ayr lose - Morton 7th, Arbroath 8th, Ayr 9th

Edited by Dunning1874
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24 minutes ago, TxRover said:

On the bonus front, now ICT have absolutely nothing to play for

Hearts have by default had nothing to play for all season and have repeatedly murdered Ayr.

Ayr haven't won in Inverness since before the Iraq war. And that was with the occasional manager who considered scoring goals to even be a factor.

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6 minutes ago, Thumper said:

Hearts have by default had nothing to play for all season and have repeatedly murdered Ayr.

Ayr haven't won in Inverness since before the Iraq war. And that was with the occasional manager who considered scoring goals to even be a factor.

We don’t need to win in Inverness. 

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6 minutes ago, Thumper said:

Hearts have by default had nothing to play for all season and have repeatedly murdered Ayr.

Ayr haven't won in Inverness since before the Iraq war. And that was with the occasional manager who considered scoring goals to even be a factor.

While correct, Hertz have other influences and a much higher paid team, and thus have to show up. ICT have been hit or miss this year and now really have f**k all to fight for.

As for the timeline, you may want to be more specific: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_wars_involving_Iraq

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26 minutes ago, No_Problemo said:

We don’t need to win in Inverness. 

to be in control of their own destiny Ayr need to pick up at least one point in Inverness.* As every single person on Earth knows this isn't going to happen, the result is dependent on Morton-Arbroath. If Morton so much as draw Ayr are down. And historically, given the chance to relegate Ayr on the last day of the season, Morton take it every time.

* if Ayr draw and Arbroath lose then they'll be in 9th by goal difference despite last week's hiding. This would be a miscarriage of justice on par with the Rodney King trial.

Edited by Thumper
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