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The US Presidential election prediction thread


ICTChris

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- Biden leads in Georgia

- Big swing in Pennsylvania well underway, could win by a lot

- Trump advancement halted in Arizona

- Big gains in Nevada for Biden just now, rises to 1.7% lead

Looks like we could hit over 300 votes, lads. Nae worries.

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Just now, carpetmonster said:

Kelly took it on opening night and it was expected. What wasn’t is the Ossoff - Perdue senate race in GA going to a runoff, which if it does (and it is currently) could have the Democrats tie the senate 50/50 if both Warnock and Ossoff win their runoffs on Jan 21. When the senate is tied between the two parties then the VP is the casting vote, so for the next 4 years McConnell would be Kamala’s bitch. 

It will be interesting if right wing Dems, and left wing ones, tow the party line. I reckon Kamala in her stilettos will be happy to enforce a bit of discipline though. I know I'd gladly submit. 

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8 minutes ago, Bully Wee Villa said:

Doesn't seem very likely. From one of them it appeared the Democrat only got thirty something per cent and is only in a runoff because two Republicans were standing against each other, splitting the vote. Unless I've missed something I don't really see how the Dems get the Senate.

Didn't know about the 3 way tie. Plenty time to build up momentum in a campaign though if Biden impresses and Trump keeps making an arse of himself though.

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11 minutes ago, Bully Wee Villa said:

Doesn't seem very likely. From one of them it appeared the Democrat only got thirty something per cent and is only in a runoff because two Republicans were standing against each other, splitting the vote. Unless I've missed something I don't really see how the Dems get the Senate.

Between now and Jan 21st you’ll have ceaseless campaigning from Democrats in GA. Biden, Harris, Stacey Abrams, LaTosha Brown, Killer Mike, Senator Bernard Sanders. Think Trumpy will be bothering his arse?

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21 minutes ago, carpetmonster said:

Kelly took it on opening night and it was expected. 

Mark Kelly and his identical twin brother Scott are both astronauts. Mark commanded the penultimate Space Shuttle flight. Scott recently spent a year in space as part of preparations for travel to Mars; as they're identical twins they effectively had a control human on the ground, and they carried out all sorts of tests on the pair of them to get a better understanding of the effects of being in space for such a long time. There's a very decent wee series about it on Netflix called A Year In Space.

Mark is married to Gabby Giffords, the former Congresswomen from Arizona who was shot and nearly killed in a gun attack in 2011 that took the lives 6 people including a 9 year old girl and a federal judge, and wounded 14 more.

Quite a story.

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It will be interesting if right wing Dems, and left wing ones, tow the party line. I reckon Kamala in her stilettos will be happy to enforce a bit of discipline though. I know I'd gladly submit. 

IMG_5053.jpg

We have caught and compromised welshbairn to a permanent end
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