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Championship Predictor 2020/21


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18 hours ago, Grant228 said:

Currently QoTS have three signed players, I think it's a bit more unknown with regards to how they'll be this season tbf. 

At least with Raith there's a degree of continuity from last season with some well known faces, I'd imagine QoTS and Morton will line up very, very differently to how they finished last year. 

It's a good year for Raith to come up, I can't see them going down nor being threatened by it terribly much. 

We have 14 of last seasons squad signed up so it's actually going to be pretty similar to how we finished apart from a few key positions, mainly a keeper, RB, CB and striker 

If we get those positions right, we will be ok, if we don't, could be a long(kinda) season. 

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Once squads are mostly complete ill get a 1-10 down but for now i think it will be something like;

Winners - Hearts. 

Dunfermline and Dundee comfortably in playoffs. 

Morton, ICT, Ayr and Raith 4th-7th any order

Alloa, Arbroath and Queens bottom 3.

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Interestingly, McBookie also offers a 5/1 on Hearts remaining unbeaten all season (all games must be played).

BetVictor’s odds look very similar: Hearts 1/5, Dundee 8/1, ICT 14/1, Dunfermline 20/1, Ayr 25/1, Morton 50/1, Arbroath 100/1, Raith 100/1, Queens 100/1, Alloa 150/1.

Betfred’s odds are a bit different: Hearts 2/7, ICT 8/1, Dundee 10/1, Ayr 14/1, Dunfermline 16/1, Morton 25/1, Arbroath 25/1, Raith 25/1, Queens 33/1, Alloa 40/1

 

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1 hour ago, TxRover said:

Interestingly, McBookie also offers a 5/1 on Hearts remaining unbeaten all season (all games must be played).

BetVictor’s odds look very similar: Hearts 1/5, Dundee 8/1, ICT 14/1, Dunfermline 20/1, Ayr 25/1, Morton 50/1, Arbroath 100/1, Raith 100/1, Queens 100/1, Alloa 150/1.

Betfred’s odds are a bit different: Hearts 2/7, ICT 8/1, Dundee 10/1, Ayr 14/1, Dunfermline 16/1, Morton 25/1, Arbroath 25/1, Raith 25/1, Queens 3300/1, Alloa 40/1

 

Sorted.

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12 minutes ago, Alert Mongoose said:

If Dunfermline’s next two reported signings are true then that price is going to look pretty generous.

To be honest, they could sign Messi and Hazard and still not win the league as long as Crawford is manager.

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Ran the numbers for the last 20 years at the second tier, including last year by interpolating over 36 games. For this year's 27 game tilt:

Average winning points (74, corrected to 27 games): 56  (roughly 16-8-3)

Average second points (64, corrected to 27 games): 48 (roughly 14-6-7)

Average fourth points (54, corrected to 27 games): 41 (roughly 12-5-10)

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On 11/09/2020 at 20:24, Alert Mongoose said:

If Dunfermline’s next two reported signings are true then that price is going to look pretty generous.

Fraser Murray from Hibs sounds like it was done a while back, just not official yet. After Kerr McInroy from Celtic too. Not seeing the influx of German 7th tier cloggers yet. 

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On 14/09/2020 at 00:43, TxRover said:

Ran the numbers for the last 20 years at the second tier, including last year by interpolating over 36 games. For this year's 27 game tilt:

Average winning points (74, corrected to 27 games): 56  (roughly 16-8-3)

Average second points (64, corrected to 27 games): 48 (roughly 14-6-7)

Average fourth points (54, corrected to 27 games): 41 (roughly 12-5-10)

Never mind that, how many do you need to stay up?

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