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Odds of a team scoring X goals in a game


invergowrie arab

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Does anyone know where I could find out the answer to this or have a database of results they could send me to run myself. Probably like 1000 results 

I want to know the percentage chance of one team scoring X goals in any given game e.g.

0 - 25%

1 - 30%

2 - 25%

3 - 10 %

4 - 8%

5 - 1%

6 - 1%

Everything else < 1%

Any help much appreciated.

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  • 4 months later...

Only stats I see are here: https://www.bettingwell.com/sports-betting-guide/football-bettors-guide/most-common-results-football

Unfortunately, they only cover about an average of about 75% of final results.

This site may have enough records to allow you to calculate the odds of you are willing to collate the data: http://www.fitbastats.com

(Honestly, that site just might have a file you could import with scores, and then you could create a database to calculate your odds.

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On 25/03/2020 at 21:50, invergowrie arab said:

Does anyone know where I could find out the answer to this or have a database of results they could send me to run myself. Probably like 1000 results 

I want to know the percentage chance of one team scoring X goals in any given game e.g.

0 - 25%

1 - 30%

2 - 25%

3 - 10 %

4 - 8%

5 - 1%

6 - 1%

Everything else < 1%

Any help much appreciated.

Missed this before, but I can work this out for you if you have a particular timescale and/or league in mind.

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  • 1 year later...

There have been 78852 matches played in all Scottish Leagues from 1890-91 through 2021-22. Breakdown for Home team goals and Away team goals is as follows:

 

 Goals   Home    Away
    0        14591     22080
    1        22586    26832
    2        18785     16726
    3        11396       8085  
    4         6231         3312 
    5         3001         1198
    6         1327         406
    7          552          150
    8          235           47
    9            95            8
   10            32            5
   11              12            3
   12             4             0
   13             3             0
   14             0             0
   15             2             0

 

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