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We’ve been pretty steady at around two thirds of where Italy was 2 weeks ago for about a week now

 

Following the same trend will see excess deaths due to coronavirus reach approaching 40% of the excess deaths caused by the flu in 14/15 and 99/00.

 

Yeh, coronavirus is nothing like the flu

 

It’s less deadly and it’s not killing children

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14 minutes ago, Jeremiah Cole said:

What is the rate of transmission of CV between individuals walking past each other outside?

 

Dont have those figures to hand mate. I do know that fewer people that go out and about, the number of new infections will decrease, and the strain on the NHS will be lessened. 

 

It's possible to have reservations about the curtailment of our freedoms yet understand that they are necessary for a short while to enable the health care systems to cope and fewer people to die before their time btw. 

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4 minutes ago, madwullie said:

Dont have those figures to hand mate. I do know that fewer people that go out and about, the number of new infections will decrease, and the strain on the NHS will be lessened. 

 

How many new infections will it decrease by? 

Why aren’t the rate of infections in Sweden, where there is no lockdown, ramping up way ahead of Denmark? 

 

Edited by Jeremiah Cole

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5 hours ago, GordonS said:

How do you watch it?

Bet 365, Coral, Hills etc.

Most betting sites show Belarus football.

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We’ve been pretty steady at around two thirds of where Italy was 2 weeks ago for about a week now
 
Following the same trend will see excess deaths due to coronavirus reach approaching 40% of the excess deaths caused by the flu in 14/15 and 99/00.
 
Yeh, coronavirus is nothing like the flu
 
It’s less deadly and it’s not killing children

Subscribes to prisonplanet on YouTube type of post

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3 minutes ago, Jeremiah Cole said:

How many new infections will it decrease by? 

Why aren’t the rate of infections in Sweden, where there is no lockdown, ramping up way ahead of Denmark? 

 

I'm not an expert mate, I'm just getting info from NHS workers in icu who are unable to cope with the influx of patients and looking at available data from other countries a little further along the time line to work out what is likely to work for us. 

Do you think sweden is a success story whose model we should be following? How far into their timeline are they? 

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My elderly neighbor always slams his windows shut late at night, but I managed to get him back today.

He hadn't left the house for about a week (I knew he was alive as I could hear him shutting his windows) until this morning, going to do a shop I guess.

I rang the police to say that this was the third time he had left the house today and he was back outside his house within ten minutes courtesy the back of a police car.

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7 minutes ago, Jeremiah Cole said:

How many new infections will it decrease by? 

Why aren’t the rate of infections in Sweden, where there is no lockdown, ramping up way ahead of Denmark? 

 

We've got a live one

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http___blogs_ft.com_the-world_files_2020_03_20200329-FT-Death-Rate-Slows.png.ecbfb4e40af9c7b202da1330faae1cd6.png

Is this promising? 

From an overall world view rather than just UK.

Never quite sure how to read graphs like that.

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http___blogs_ft.com_the-world_files_2020_03_20200329-FT-Death-Rate-Slows.png.ecbfb4e40af9c7b202da1330faae1cd6.png
Is this promising? 
From an overall world view rather than just UK.
Never quite sure how to read graphs like that.

Means we're getting closer to the peak I think.

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I've just been doing some reading about Sweden. They have had a sharp rise in deaths and cases recently but the "success" of their model (obviously far far too early to come to conclusions about long term efficacy) appears to be that people trust the public authorities and follow advice when given it, rather than looking for ways around it to f**k the system because they don't trust a word the authorities say and think that advice only applies to other people and really means that they can actually just do whatever they want to do. 

Edited by madwullie

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I think it's time for the authorities to give a "come out of your house your lifted" unless is to the shops or the chemist type warning. People are obviously just carrying on like there's nothing happening.

 

I'll leave it to p&b to work out the finer details of this

 

 

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10 minutes ago, Steve_Wilkos said:

My elderly neighbor always slams his windows shut late at night, but I managed to get him back today.

He hadn't left the house for about a week (I knew he was alive as I could hear him shutting his windows) until this morning, going to do a shop I guess.

I rang the police to say that this was the third time he had left the house today and he was back outside his house within ten minutes courtesy the back of a police car.

 

skysports-lee-wallace-rangers-sky-sports_4107026.jpg

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We’ve been pretty steady at around two thirds of where Italy was 2 weeks ago for about a week now
 
Following the same trend will see excess deaths due to coronavirus reach approaching 40% of the excess deaths caused by the flu in 14/15 and 99/00.
 
Yeh, coronavirus is nothing like the flu
 
It’s less deadly and it’s not killing children


https://blockclubchicago.org/2020/03/28/infant-among-47-now-dead-from-coronavirus-in-illinois-today-is-a-really-hard-day/

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26 minutes ago, Jeremiah Cole said:

How many new infections will it decrease by? 

Why aren’t the rate of infections in Sweden, where there is no lockdown, ramping up way ahead of Denmark? 

 

BTW the popuation density of Sweden is something like 64 people per square mile and Denmark is like 340-odd so that might have something to do with it too. What do you think? 

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15 minutes ago, Romeo said:

I think it's time for the authorities to give a "come out of your house your lifted" unless is to the shops or the chemist type warning. People are obviously just carrying on like there's nothing happening.

 

I'll leave it to p&b to work out the finer details of this

 

 

Right ye’ are. House arrest unless you need food or your prescription. Genuinely, you are advocating this and being serious about it, or just looking for bites?

Please tell me it’s just for the bites. I’d have more respect if it was.

Edited by pozbaird

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37 minutes ago, Jeremiah Cole said:

We’ve been pretty steady at around two thirds of where Italy was 2 weeks ago for about a week now

 

Following the same trend will see excess deaths due to coronavirus reach approaching 40% of the excess deaths caused by the flu in 14/15 and 99/00.

 

Yeh, coronavirus is nothing like the flu

 

It’s less deadly and it’s not killing children

I'm thinking you wouldn't have been overjoyed at the latest Gov update then ?

Another 6 Months estimated lockdown and possibly longer ???

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32 minutes ago, Jeremiah Cole said:

How many new infections will it decrease by? 

Why aren’t the rate of infections in Sweden, where there is no lockdown, ramping up way ahead of Denmark? 

 

Sweden’s population density is 25 per sq km.

England’s is 430 per sq km.

i think the Swedes can afford to be a bit more relaxed.

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7 minutes ago, madwullie said:

BTW the popuation density of Sweden is something like 64 people per square mile and Denmark is like 340-odd so that might have something to do with it too. What do you think? 

Do you think the population density in Stockholm and Malmo is different to Copenhagen and Odense?

The big bits where no one lives aren't relevant. 

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