Jump to content

Coronavirus (COVID-19)


Recommended Posts

36 minutes ago, Have some faith in Magic said:

Today's figures:

7.6k positive cases. 

19.1% positivity rate. 

Down down down. 

You would imagine the School cases should be begining to filter through now.

ScotGov in the mud!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

55 minutes ago, Have some faith in Magic said:

Today's figures:

7.6k positive cases. 

19.1% positivity rate. 

Down down down. 

You would imagine the School cases should be begining to filter through now.

 

47 minutes ago, Ron Aldo said:
55 minutes ago, Have some faith in Magic said:
Today's figures:
7.6k positive cases. 
19.1% positivity rate. 
Down down down. 
You would imagine the School cases should be begining to filter through now.

TSUNAMI

 

19 minutes ago, Elixir said:

ScotGov in the mud!

It's actually embarassing that they still refuse to conceed their projection of a mid-late Jan, maybe even early Feb, peak might have been slightly wrong.

They were presented with the easiest get out ever ("thankfully our models were overly pessimistic, the data allows us to lift all additional restrictions on the 17th"), yet they still down the "never be wrong so double down" route. Incredible.

Edited by Todd_is_God
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Worth doing another 48 hour Cases Update:  3 Day lag to allow reporting to be accurate.  Cases DOWN another 8.40% in last 2 reported days.  Cases are now down virtually 30% in the last reported week.

The Tsunami of reducing cases continues.  All mainland councils with significant drop in infections in the last 7 days.  All continued to drop in last 2 days. All now below 2,000.  All 4 home nations now dropping.  The top charters in mainland Europe are still all rising.

Total Cases Scotland 7 days 3rd January to 9th January were  87,049 to 79,739 Down 8.40%, Positivity was 27.4% now 26.0%.  Cases per 100K were 1592.6 now 1592.6

Home Nations Weekly Cases  per 100K update  :  England   1925 to 1796 down 6.70%, Wales 2381 to 1942  down 18.44%, Northern Ireland 2905 to 2590 down 10.84%

Cases in Europe in terms of of numbers per 100K  Ireland 3069, France 3029, Portugal 2296, Denmark 2248, Greece 2159, Switzerland 2024, Italy 1980,  Spain 1,725, only countries over 1350.

Council progress in last week as follows.

Click cases by neighbourhood to see the spread on the geographical map. 
https://public.tableau.com/profile/phs.covid.19#!/vizhome/COVID-19DailyDashboard_15960160643010/Overview

West Dunbartonshire   2,026 to 1,856

South Lanarkshire  2,050 to 1,851

Inverclyde  2,079 to 1,835 

Renfrewshire   1,975 to 1,713

North Lanarkshire  1,810 to 1,662  Down near 40% on the week.

North Ayrshire   1,739 to 1,602

East Renfrewshire  1,768 to 1,592

Glasgow City  1,686 to 1,570

Falkirk   1,671 to 1,565

East Ayrshire  1,696 to 1,521

Fife 1,611 to 1,470

Moray   1,719 to 1,464 Down near 40% on the week.

Dumfries & Galloway  1,560 to 1,458 

Clackmannanshire   1,640 to 1,449

South Ayrshire   1,573 to 1,437

Angus   1,531 to 1,424 

East Dunbartonshire   1,641 to 1,412  Down near 40% on the week.

Aberdeen City  1,507 to 1,401

Perth & Kinross  1,530 to 1,387

Dundee City  1,486 to 1,371

East Lothian   1,397 to 1,345

City Of Edinburgh   1,398 to 1,341

Stirling  1,443 to 1,341

West Lothian   1,463 to 1,325

Midlothian  1,370 to 1,276

Highlands   1,308 to 1,181 

Aberdeenshire   1,288 to 1,170

Argyll & Bute  1,016 to 1,084

Scottish  Borders  1,157 to 1,004  Down well over 40% on the week

Orkney Islands  728 to 692 

Western Isles   706 to 616

Shetland Islands  648 to 608

Edited by superbigal
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Not sure what you lot are on about re: the "tsunami" quote. Looks clear that we did get the predicted tsunami of cases after that statement was made, and the case numbers almost touched the worst case scenario of Scot Gov's modelling. 

Screenshot-20220112-150723-Samsung-Inter

Screenshot-20220112-150549-Samsung-Inter

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Stephen Malkmus said:

Not sure what you lot are on about re: the "tsunami" quote. Looks clear that we did get the predicted tsunami of cases after that statement was made, and the case numbers almost touched the worst case scenario of Scot Gov's modelling. 

Screenshot-20220112-150723-Samsung-Inter

Screenshot-20220112-150549-Samsung-Inter

December 20th was 6,734 cases.

image.png.56b3f8af6a71e91b132cbde8f0620931.png

Nowhere near the Tsunami from ScotGov's own evidence paper.  In the "central" band.

image.png.ddc69d7cac1ddad65bb242d6c2c2342b.png

All their doomsday predictions were based on a doubling of cases every 2 days.  Never happened.  Never came close to happening.

Conclusion.  They shat the bed and fired in additional restrictions for no justifiable reason.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

To me a Tsunami of cases would have led to significant structural damage to the health and economy of the country in an equivalent manner to the 2004 Indonesian disaster. What we have seen over the past month has been a big wave landing on Ayr beach and nothing worthy of the drama and scare mongering from people who really should know better than to be constantly pedalling fear and alarm. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Left Back said:

December 20th was 6,734 cases.

Nowhere near the Tsunami from ScotGov's own evidence paper.  In the "central" band.

All their doomsday predictions were based on a doubling of cases every 2 days.  Never happened.  Never came close to happening.

Conclusion.  They shat the bed and fired in additional restrictions for no justifiable reason.

Fair enough, but on December 29th there were 21,420 cases.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, ddfg said:

To me a Tsunami of cases would have led to significant structural damage to the health and economy of the country in an equivalent manner to the 2004 Indonesian disaster. What we have seen over the past month has been a big wave landing on Ayr beach and nothing worthy of the drama and scare mongering from people who really should know better than to be constantly pedalling fear and alarm. 

If they'd said a tsunami of serious infections, hospitalisations or deaths I'd agree with you. Very rarely does a tsunami cause thousands of deaths.

If we refer to other case peaks as "waves", given that this one involved a peak several times higher than previous waves, a "tsunami of cases" seems like an accurate way of describing it.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Todd_is_God said:

You're right. Peaked in December

If Leitch was predicting a late Jan/Feb peak I've no idea where he got that from as it goes against the Gov's December modelling.

4 minutes ago, die hard doonhamer said:

Of course, that’s got nothing to do with the reporting lag caused by the 4 day weekend beforehand 🙄

The number is by specimen date, not date reported.

Edited by Stephen Malkmus
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Stephen Malkmus said:

Fair enough, but on December 29th there were 21,420 cases.

A tsunami, for almost all generations alive atm evokes one thing only. Death and destruction on a horrific scale. 

What we got was a few more cases driven by the increased transmissibility of a variant that South Africa were telling everyone who would listen (we wouldn't) was significantly less dangerous and unlikely to cause any problems whatsoever. It was horrendous use of language, and was used in the context of having one eye on Johnson not funding further restrictions, hoping that it would all come back to bite him and she would score some points. 

The opposite has happened of course. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Stephen Malkmus said:

If they'd said a tsunami of serious infections, hospitalisations or deaths I'd agree with you. Very rarely does a tsunami cause thousands of deaths.

If we refer to other case peaks as "waves", given that this one involved a peak several times higher than previous waves, a "tsunami of cases" seems like an accurate way of describing it.

previously known as 'there something going aroond, hen' before covid hysteria

Edited by Glennie
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...