Coronavirus (COVID-19)

[Detournement]

 

If the data doesn't suit, don't publish it. 

Sturgeon treating Covid like the Salmond inquiry now. 

[welshbairn]

23 minutes ago, ICTChris said:

There's been times when I've come out of somewhere that requires to wear a mask and forgotten to take it off when I've been driving.  I've also forgotten to wear a mask at all a few times when going into place.

You shouldn't assume that someone wearing a mask in their car is huddling around in fear all the time or that someone not wearing a mask in a shop is some sort of Piers Corbyn loonball.

Yup, and if I'm driving from a shop to a petrol station or something I wouldn't bother removing it.

[scottsdad]

1 hour ago, Detournement said:

My point was Nadal is used to mystery injections. 

[RH33]

3 hours ago, die hard doonhamer said:

That’s insane, so as you say it’s probably correct. 

It is, my friend tested positive at start of week and has to isolate ten days.

[Have some faith in Magic]

6 minutes ago, Detournement said:

 

If the data doesn't suit, don't publish it. 

Sturgeon treating Covid like the Salmond inquiry now. 

I thought they said yesterday it was Friday it was getting published. 

[welshbairn]

9 minutes ago, Detournement said:

 

If the data doesn't suit, don't publish it. 

Sturgeon treating Covid like the Salmond inquiry now. 

Sturgeon said yesterday that it would be released on Friday. He must have tweeted that before her statement.

Edited January 6, 2022 by welshbairn

[scottsdad]

One in the eye for @oaksoft

I have downloaded the paper...wanna guess where these numbers come from?

Spoiler

Here, we use a box model to estimate the viral aerosol
concentration indoors and combine it with the Wells−Riley
infection model.29 The combined model is used to derive two
quantitative risk parameters that allow comparing the relative
risk of transmission in different situations when sharing room
air. We explore the trends in infections observed in outbreaks
of COVID-19 and other diseases as a function of these
parameters. Finally, we use the parameters to quantify a
graphical display of the relative risk of different situations and
mitigation options.

 

[vikingTON]

15 minutes ago, Distant Doonhamer said:

11,360 new cases of COVID-19 reported*

57,217 new tests for COVID-19 that reported results*

23.1% of these were positive

18 new reported death(s) of people who have tested positive

43 people were in intensive care yesterday with recently confirmed COVID-19

Positivity rate dropping like a stone, despite the pointless demand from the nation's malingerers.

ICU numbers utterly miniscule despite their massaging of the figures. 

Only the infection factories can prolong the shandemic now. 

[Honest_Man#1]

1 minute ago, scottsdad said:

One in the eye for @oaksoft

I have downloaded the paper...wanna guess where these numbers come from?

  Reveal hidden contents

Here, we use a box model to estimate the viral aerosol
concentration indoors and combine it with the Wells−Riley
infection model.29 The combined model is used to derive two
quantitative risk parameters that allow comparing the relative
risk of transmission in different situations when sharing room
air. We explore the trends in infections observed in outbreaks
of COVID-19 and other diseases as a function of these
parameters. Finally, we use the parameters to quantify a
graphical display of the relative risk of different situations and
mitigation options.

 

A respiratory virus that is much higher risk for overweight people. Gurdasani’s life saving tip - avoid the gym.

f**k off you utter crackpot.

[superbigal]

The 7 day (With 3 day Lag) cases per 100K has actually dropped from 2,078 per 100K reported yesterday to 2,062 per 100K today.

Let's see if the so called surge continues.

[vikingTON]

3 minutes ago, scottsdad said:

One in the eye for @oaksoft

I have downloaded the paper...wanna guess where these numbers come from?

  Hide contents

Here, we use a box model to estimate the viral aerosol
concentration indoors and combine it with the Wells−Riley
infection model.29 The combined model is used to derive two
quantitative risk parameters that allow comparing the relative
risk of transmission in different situations when sharing room
air. We explore the trends in infections observed in outbreaks
of COVID-19 and other diseases as a function of these
parameters. Finally, we use the parameters to quantify a
graphical display of the relative risk of different situations and
mitigation options.

 

Using one shan model and combining it with another shan model = shan modelling squared. 

[ICTChris]

What's the definition of low and high occupancy?

Just wondering if I'm going to get Covid from the gym.  

[Big Fifer]

Hope we're all looking forward to these Covid hopsital stats being released at 16:59 tomorrow before the out-of-office messages are on and ministers go into hiding until Tuesday until they can they can announce their "quality assured" data now lets us sit outside at the fitba again. 

[Bairnardo]

Humza in the media saying the case rates are now following the worst case from their models?

Forgive me if im wrong, but thays just not true is it?

And tbh, if it is, and thats important in any way, why did Scotgov not only allow thr most social part of the year to go ahead, but close off various avenues that only drove more folk into more time mixing in private households?

[Michael W]

23 minutes ago, oaksoft said:

I was actually just having a look at that tweet.

Poor old Deepti. Confusing computational predictions with reality.

Again!

She seems to be intent on destroying her professional reputation.

I do wonder how she ever gets any real work done, given that she spends so much of her day spamming her own Twitter timeline.

I don't think I've ever seen her publish anything, which may explain the time available for Twitter.  Given her particular fascination with long covid, especially in children, I'd have expected to see her publishing papers on this. But she doesn't - just twitter rants instead with unsourced numbers or something based on a self-report survey (not exactly scientific, is it?).   

Looks like there's a good opportunity for fake sage to start punting non-medical grade facemasks since Julia Grace Patterson seems to having a nightmare at the moment. 

Edited January 6, 2022 by Michael W

[Abdul_Latif]

20 minutes ago, Big Fifer said:

released at 16:59 tomorrow before the out-of-office messages are on

That’s right out my playbook tbh.

Beautiful tactic on a Friday afternoon.

 

Edited January 6, 2022 by Abdul_Latif

[scottsdad]

1 hour ago, scottsdad said:

One in the eye for @oaksoft

I have downloaded the paper...wanna guess where these numbers come from?

  Reveal hidden contents

Here, we use a box model to estimate the viral aerosol
concentration indoors and combine it with the Wells−Riley
infection model.29 The combined model is used to derive two
quantitative risk parameters that allow comparing the relative
risk of transmission in different situations when sharing room
air. We explore the trends in infections observed in outbreaks
of COVID-19 and other diseases as a function of these
parameters. Finally, we use the parameters to quantify a
graphical display of the relative risk of different situations and
mitigation options.

 

I hate to quote myself but here's something. The image in the tweet above is not in the paper referenced.

What is in the paper is this:

They are saying this is the same methodology applied to Omicron, which has not been peer reviewed.

Dangers of reading tweets about scientific papers rather than the papers themselves, I guess. In the case of this paper, I got it because I have access via my university. Most twitter followers would have to shell out to buy it.

Edited January 6, 2022 by scottsdad

[Forever_blueco]

40 minutes ago, Bairnardo said:

Humza in the media saying the case rates are now following the worst case from their models?

Forgive me if im wrong, but thays just not true is it?

And tbh, if it is, and thats important in any way, why did Scotgov not only allow thr most social part of the year to go ahead, but close off various avenues that only drove more folk into more time mixing in private households?

Humza is the most out of depth politician (Scotland)this country has ever produced and that is saying something 

how he goes from one top position to another is telling . Also telling that he has been absolutely hopeless in every single role  

Edited January 6, 2022 by Forever_blueco

[101]

11 minutes ago, Forever_blueco said:

Humza is the most out of depth politician (Scotland)this country has ever produced and that is saying something 

how he goes from one top position to another is telling . Also telling that he has been absolutely hopeless in every single role  

And yet still oversaw the delivery of the 3rd fastest booster role out in the world.

At least base your criticism in some form of reality 

[Lyle Lanley]