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Coronavirus (COVID-19)


ICTChris

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18 minutes ago, Michael W said:

There isn't a unified "last day of school" in England, but most of the schools finished up on the 16th of July. For some, last Friday was their last day. 

Remember the debate last year about Sturgeon only opening up because the schools in Leicester had broken up?

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4 minutes ago, Michael W said:

There isn't a unified "last day of school" in England, but most of the schools finished up on the 16th of July. For some, last Friday was their last day. 

I googled and looked at some council websites, most were at end of last week. Though given England's peak was on 15th July even if every single on was on the 16th that wouldn't explain it...

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2 hours ago, effeffsee_the2nd said:

The tory party right now are essentially celtic under ronny delia, absolutely horseshite but with no credible opposition none of their calamities make any difference to them

Labour are so unbelievable weak they couldn't buy support

Your first statement is absolutely apposite to the current situation, especially given superiority of finances and behind-the-scenes influence.

Your second? Well, once they've expelled or fucked off the last socialists, they'll be open to offers, just like the good old Bliar/Broon years*. 

*Otherwise known as the "I'm not funding this pack of shysters**" years. Also, not at all good. 

**(c) WRK (Party Member 1981-96 and 2015-present)

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3 minutes ago, Ginaro said:

I googled and looked at some council websites, most were at end of last week. Though given England's peak was on 15th July even if every single on was on the 16th that wouldn't explain it...

Could it be that they've actually reached a level of herd immunity?  PHE estimated back in early July they were very close with 90% of adults having anti-bodies.

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2 minutes ago, Left Back said:

Could it be that they've actually reached a level of herd immunity?  PHE estimated back in early July they were very close with 90% of adults having anti-bodies.

Potentially - but the post you are quoting is in response to virginton’s assertion that it was due to the infection factories (tm) had shut.

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1,000 new cases of COVID-19 reported  (1237 yesterday. 1464 one week ago)

13,635 new tests for COVID-19 that reported results

8.0% of these were positive (7.5% yesterday. 10.3% one week ago.)

0 new reported death(s) of people who have tested positive (noting that Register Offices are now generally closed at the weekend)  

65 people were in intensive care yesterday with recently confirmed COVID-19 (64 yesterday, 45 one week ago)

475 people were in hospital yesterday with recently confirmed COVID-19 (480 yesterday. 536 one week ago)

3,998,627 people have received the first dose of the Covid vaccination and 3,092,102 have received their second dose

Please note that PHS have not received data from NHS Tayside laboratories since 4:50pm on 23 July. PHS are currently working with NHS Tayside to resolve this issue.

Edited by Distant Doonhamer
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Daily Cases Update:  Day 20 of dropping cases and down another stonking 4.22% to 195.1   Scotland now the lowest of the 4 nations. We are now down 54% from the peak 3 weeks ago.  The one pathetic statistic for yesterday was only 1,522 1st Vaccines when my figures say still 380,000 under 40s still to get this 1st jab.  That surely makes about 1/3 million feckless youngsters we are running out of excuses for.

Brilliant news the UK has also fallen. England for the 1st day. Wales for the 3rd day.  Northern Ireland now the pariah in Europe still soaring. Of course they are about 20 years behind the rest of the UK in all sort of things.

In Europe at the top Spain & Netherlands now hugely on the decline. Only France and Italy from a low start on a substantial upwards path currently. Still numerous countries that report accurately under 30 cases per 100K.  Vaccination progress across many European countries is now only a few points behind the UK.

Total Cases Scotland 7 days from 17th July to 23rd July  were  11,132 now 10,662 down 4.22%.  Positivity was 7.3%  now 7.2%.   Cases per 100k were  203.7  now 195.1

Home Nations Daily update  :  UK Average  502.1 to 490.5 down 2.31%, England 545.1 to 532.1 down 2.38%, Wales  206.7 to 198.3 down 4.06%, Northern Ireland  464.2 to 499.3 up 7.56%

Latest European figures today. Spain  341.4 to 297.4 Down 22% in 2 days , Netherlands  294.0 to 261.7 Down 18% in 2 days ,  Portugal  226.4 to 220.1, France 188.8 to 192.9, Greece 179.5 to 179.5, Ireland 170.9 to 169.8, Russia  116.0 to 115.3  No other European nation above 100.    Poland, Romania, Slovakia, Hungary, Bosnia, Albania, North Macedonia, Ukraine, Germany, Bulgaria, Czech Rep, Serbia, Latvia, Moldova, Slovenia, Sweden, Croatia, Norway & Austria are all under 30 cases per 100K. Where are their 3rd waves ?

Scotland peaks in Wave 3 at 425.1 for 27th June to 3rd July, (UK was 229.9) . Cases that day were 23,222 and positivity 10.8%

Scotland previously peaked in wave 2 at 301.9 for figures 29th Dec to 4th Jan, (UK was 642.1)    Cases that day were 16,496 and test positivity rate was 11.9%  

Council progress in last 24 Hours as follows.

Click cases by neighbourhood to see the spread on the geographical map. 
https://public.tableau.com/profile/phs.covid.19#!/vizhome/COVID-19DailyDashboard_15960160643010/Overview

Midlothian  272.7 to 263.0 

North Lanarkshire   263.8 to 257.4  

East Lothian  246.5 to 244.7 

Glasgow City  243.2 to 236.6

West Dunbartonshire   233.2 to 234.3

City Of Edinburgh   236.7 to 219.9  20th day in a row of dropping.

Dundee City   231.2 to 209.0  20th day in a row of dropping. Another excellent 10%

East Renfrewshire  242.6 to 208.2 Magnificent 14% fall

West Lothian  224.7 to 206.2 

Inverclyde 202.4 to 198.5 

Fife  207.9 to 186.5

Falkirk  199.3 to 192.5

South Lanarkshire   194.5 to 191.7

Clackmannanshire   193.0 to 189.1  

East Ayrshire  189.1 to 185.0  

Renfrewshire 195.7 to 177.3

Argyll & Bute  165.0 to 176.8  Shoots up the table

East Dunbartonshire   194.9 to 174.7  Excellent 10% drop

Angus  183.0 to 171.8 

Aberdeen City   173.8 to 171.1

Stirling   167.9 to 170.1

South Ayrshire   179.2 to 163.2 

Shetland Islands   157.4 to 161.8

Perth & Kinross     182.3 to 161.3  Huge 11.51% fall

Scottish  Borders   149.7 to 155.3  

Western Isles   117.0 to 150.9

Dumfries & Galloway  168.6 to 147.0

Highlands   149.3 to 139.3

 Moray  139.0 to 134.8

North Ayrshire   125.9 to 132.6

Aberdeenshire   120.4 to 115.8

Orkney Islands  35.7 to 53.6

Edited by superbigal
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32 minutes ago, Distant Doonhamer said:

1,000 new cases of COVID-19 reported  (1237 yesterday. 1464 one week ago)

13,635 new tests for COVID-19 that reported results

8.0% of these were positive (7.5% yesterday. 10.3% one week ago.)

0 new reported death(s) of people who have tested positive (noting that Register Offices are now generally closed at the weekend)  

65 people were in intensive care yesterday with recently confirmed COVID-19 (64 yesterday, 45 one week ago)

475 people were in hospital yesterday with recently confirmed COVID-19 (480 yesterday. 536 one week ago)

3,998,627 people have received the first dose of the Covid vaccination and 3,092,102 have received their second dose

Please note that PHS have not received data from NHS Tayside laboratories since 4:50pm on 23 July. PHS are currently working with NHS Tayside to resolve this issue.

Hopefully we're now seeing a peak in the ICU stats. Cases were at over 4k per day and a few weeks later just 65 in ICU, vaccines work! Roll on the 9th... 

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25 minutes ago, Halbeath Raith Rover said:

I'd really like to see the 8 week gap shortened if there is lower uptake amongst younger groups. Keep getting as many jabs in arms as possible. 

I'd also start on all over 16s too. 

 

900575E5-4CD4-4D8A-BE38-04D6DDCCF39B.jpeg

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I see Dr. Mike Tildesley could be onto something. I wonder if his collegues were warning him not to drop this bombshell other wise it might enrage parents and make them suddenly believe that our schools are not safe.

Also the governments need to apologise to football.

And Boris is raging at young people.

Drop in Covid cases may be due to schools closing for the summer holidays

https://metro.co.uk/2021/07/26/drop-in-covid-cases-may-be-due-to-schools-closing-for-the-summer-14990250/?ito=newsnow-feed

A leading scientist advising the government on its Covid-19 strategy has put an unexpected drop in Covid-19 cases down to schools closing. Pandemics expert Dr Mike Tildesley warned ‘it’s possible that cases may seem to go down, when infections may be not going down as fast’ due to a drop off in testing of pupils. Modeling used by ministers to set policy indicated cases would reach 100,000 a day this summer, with one expert forecasting cases could be double that. But confirmed infections have fallen five days in a row for the first time since early February.

Scientific opinion is divided on what is fuelling the fall and whether it represents a sustained shift in the pattern of the pandemic or a blip before a return to growth. Cases hit 54,674 on July 17 but by Sunday had fallen to just 29,173, although reported infections are routinely lower at weekends. Scientists have put forward various theories for the drop, including good weather encouraging outdoor socialising, the Euros finishing and increased immunity via vaccines and infections.  Experts also agree the effects of the July 19 relaxation of social-distancing guidelines will not show up in the data for several days. Hospitalisations and deaths are continuing to rise but those measures consistently lag behind cases by about a fortnight so may yet start to come down too.

Dr Tildesley, a member of the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Modelling group (Spi-M) advising ministers, said he was ‘cautiously optimistic’ but said it was too soon to say if the third wave is receding ahead of schedule. The University of Warwick academic told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme: ‘I think what we need to think about, though, is that there has been a change recently and I think the big one is that, in a lot of parts of the country, schools have now closed for the summer. ‘Now, of course, because of that, what that means is… secondary school children have been doing lateral flow tests twice a week for quite a long period of time and we know at the moment cases are slightly higher in younger people, (and) because schools have now broken up, it may be that part of the reason cases have dropped somewhat is that we’re not detecting as many cases in younger people now.’ The unexpected drop will doubtless raise questions about the quality of the government’s own modelling data but Dr Tildesley urged people not to get carried away by recent developments. He said: ‘I think we’re going to have to wait another couple of weeks before we see, firstly, the effect of the July 19 relaxation and, second, whether hospital admissions will start to go down. ‘I think if they do then at that point we can be much more confident that we’re starting to see, hopefully, this wave turning round’ His comments come as it emerged Boris Johnson is considering rolling out vaccine passport to universities this autumn.

The Prime Minister is reportedly ‘raging’ about lower vaccine uptake among younger people.

 

Edited by Snafu
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