Coronavirus (COVID-19)

[peasy23]

What is going on with hospital numbers? They’re fluctuating wildly each day, often increasing by 20%+ then reducing the next day by the same amount. Something bizarre going on here.

When the numbers are so low it's foolish to look at percentages imo. If you tell some folk there is a 20% rise in ICU numbers they start screaming for lockdowns, but the reality is it means an extra 1 or 2 cases at the moment.

[superbigal]

Daily Cases Update:   No change to the upwards trajectory.  This time another 5.79% and positivity up to 2.4%

Scotland now has 13 of the top 22 authorities in the UK.

Renfrewshire as well as going top now has the top 2 hazardous areas in Scotland.

Glasgow with 4 days of reductions must be nailed on to get it's level move on Saturday.

Some significant changes in the major countries in Europe.   Netherlands now tops the charts at a pretty respectable 122 cases per 100K. Denmark, Belgium & Greece are the only other countries above 100.

Scotland peaked at 301.9 for figures 29th Dec to 4th Jan, (UK was 642.1)    Cases that day were 16,496 and test positivity rate was 11.9%  

Total Cases 7 days from 22nd May to 28th May  were 3160 now 3343 up 5.79%.  Positivity was 2.2% now 2.4%.   Cases per 100k were 57.8 now 61.2

Home Nations Daily update:  UK Average  26.2 to 27.0 up 3.05%, England  24.8 to 25.7 up 3.63%,  Wales  8.7 to 8.9 up 2.30%, Northern Ireland 30.9 to 28.8 down 6.80%

Council progress in last 24 Hours as follows.

Click cases by neighbourhood to see the spread on the geographical map. 
https://public.tableau.com/profile/phs.covid.19#!/vizhome/COVID-19DailyDashboard_15960160643010/Overview

Naughty Level 3 Councils

Renfrewshire  145.2 to 155.2  Renfrew West & North both over 900 per 100K and now Scotland's new no go areas.

East Renfrewshire   138.2 to 149.7  Like above no sign of slowing down.

Glasgow City  132.0 to 128.7   Down for 4th day in a row.

Dundee City  96.4 to 100.5  

Midlothian   89.8 to 88.7

Clackmannanshire    95.1 to 81.5 Back on the down part of the rollercoaster now.

South Ayrshire   58.6 to 76.4  Up 330% in 5 days

City Of Edinburgh   71.8 to 76.4 

South Lanarkshire 69.3 to 73.6

North Lanarkshire 60.1 to 67.7  Up over  70% in 4 days  

East Dunbartonshire  70.9 to 67.2  

North Ayrshire  60.1 to 63.8

Stirling   44.6 to 60.5 35% jump in 1 day.

East Ayrshire  47.5 to 54.9

Under 50 Level 2 Criteria Club

Fife  37.5 to 39.1

Perth & Kinross  34.9 to 38.2 

Falkirk    32.9 to 37.9

West Lothian  26.8 to 31.7

Angus  25.0 to 30.1

Highlands  20.4 to 27.1  Fort William boozer outbreak appears.

Inverclyde   23.1 to 25.7

West Dunbartonshire    21.4 to 22.5

East Lothian   14.9 to 22.4 

The Should be in Level 1  Club Sub 20.0

Aberdeen City   15.7 to 17.9  

Argyll & Bute   11.6 to 14.0

Moray   13.6 to 13.6

Aberdeenshire  8.4 to 8.4

Dumfries & Galloway  4.0 to 5.4 

Scottish  Borders  4.3 to 3.5

Western Isles  3.7 to 0.0

 Orkney Islands  9.0 to 0.0 

Shetland Islands 0.0 to 0.0

[D.V.T.]

That tweet from Scot Gov has been deleted now but it’s actually 490 cases

[Honest_Man#1]

2 minutes ago, peasy23 said:

6 minutes ago, Honest_Man#1 said:

What is going on with hospital numbers? They’re fluctuating wildly each day, often increasing by 20%+ then reducing the next day by the same amount. Something bizarre going on here.

When the numbers are so low it's foolish to look at percentages imo. If you tell some folk there is a 20% rise in ICU numbers they start screaming for lockdowns, but the reality is it means an extra 1 or 2 cases at the moment.

Yeah fair enough, I’m not bothered in the slightest, but I just feel like the reporting of the numbers seems off. 98-83-90-110 seems like large fluctuations to me.

[SlipperyP]

Just my monthly update thanks to @SuperGers not sure that the guys name, it doesnt matter his maw loves him, and so weee do.

Big shout out to @tod the cock, again his post are not as much, but he is loading the guns.

@Tynierose got the troops knoccking greens over, thats just on the bulls 

Big thanks to Thats willy guy,  not sure what he post but everyone heatgh him

The we go to lucky looser not sure who to give this month... I would give it to mossy, but the girl told me no.....red dot to dot is not what we aut.

8Bokle enjouy your dance

 

[Rugster]

I’m clutching at straws but hoping the peaks and troughs are because people are being tested in hospital for other things, showing positive, but having been jagged are asymptomatic or mildly ill and then being discharged. 

[Sherrif John Bunnell]

As per usual, it's Fort William that is making the rest of the Highlands look bad.

[Bairnardo]

I’m clutching at straws but hoping the peaks and troughs are because people are being tested in hospital for other things, showing positive, but having been jagged are asymptomatic or mildly ill and then being discharged. 

There surely must be some of this. Fond it hardbto believe given who was being hospitalised pre vaccine, and the fact that the huge majority of those groups are doible dosed, that all of these are admissions becuase people are seriously ill with covid.

There has to be some degree of finding covid when they get there for whatever other reason

[deegee]

20 minutes ago, EdinburghPar1975 said:

It would be not far from Buncrana we'd be going but the concern is it's nothing more than a holiday. We'd be in a remote area but a car with UK plates and a family isn't subtle, i can see how going on business would be ok but i have a feeling we'd be challenged at some point.

Given how open the border is at Derry through to Buncrana then it 'might' be ok but i'm not sure i fancy trying.

I think you’ll be fine in Summer as the whole country will be open by then. The case numbers last month in Donegal were horrid, something around 600 per 100k but it seems to be calming now. I took my UK registered car in December, just immediately prior to the winter lockdown and was actually stopped at the Co. Donegal/ Northern Ireland  border by the Guarda but had no problem as it was clear I had work gear in the car etc.

The locals were saying the last week that the pressure to open is immense as Irish folk from all over the country will just go socialising and holidays in the North and around Co. Derry if the Republic stays closed. Their tourism economy is huge to them and none of the locals batted an eyelid when I was there, with Northern Irish reg hire car, Scottish accent etc.  Their vaccination programme was horrendously slow initially (causing much resentment for folk living near the border as the NHS fired into the Northern Irish) but th3 other week was opening up to vaccinate 45-49 ages and is probably lower by this week I’d guess.

 I hope this gives you a little bit reassurance and I am sure you’ll be fine mate and have a brilliant time, once you get over in summer.

[Rugster]

5 minutes ago, Bairnardo said:

There surely must be some of this. Fond it hardbto believe given who was being hospitalised pre vaccine, and the fact that the huge majority of those groups are doible dosed, that all of these are admissions becuase people are seriously ill with covid.

There has to be some degree of finding covid when they get there for whatever other reason

The measurement is pish too. If someone is in hospital for an operation or that, and are asymptomatic but have tested positive it's ridiculous they're being counted. It should be people in hospital or ICU being treated FOR covid, not having tested positive. Flannel.

[TheScarf]

25 minutes ago, Honest_Man#1 said:

What is going on with hospital numbers? They’re fluctuating wildly each day, often increasing by 20%+ then reducing the next day by the same amount. Something bizarre going on here.

Yep, there's not 20 folk being discharged one day then another 20 being admitted the next surely?

[Todd_is_God]

4 hours ago, Wee Bully said:

I agree with the premise.

However, hospitalisations have increased by 50% in the last fortnight.

Predominantly among those not fully vaccinated. Which is good, as the vaccine roll out continues to trundle along, protecting people as it goes.

Very few people are dying too.

We are approaching that "acceptable level of risk" if we aren't already there.

[Inanimate Carbon Rod]

1 hour ago, No_Problemo said:

As someone who was personally affected by this, my view might be biased but 20% seems a huge fucking failing to me. 

Its criminal.

[Honest_Man#1]

11 minutes ago, Rugster said:

The measurement is pish too. If someone is in hospital for an operation or that, and are asymptomatic but have tested positive it's ridiculous they're being counted. It should be people in hospital or ICU being treated FOR covid, not having tested positive. Flannel.

Exactly, but they know that if they started recording numbers like that it would probably be single figures and would invite even more pressure to ditch all restrictions immediately. Keeping them artificially inflated (and even at that still being tiny numbers) is their only way to keep people scared.

[TheScarf]

3 minutes ago, Honest_Man#1 said:

Exactly, but they know that if they started recording numbers like that it would probably be single figures and would invite even more pressure to ditch all restrictions immediately. Keeping them artificially inflated (and even at that still being tiny numbers) is their only way to keep people scared.

That's exactly what they're fucking doing.  It's the most tenuous of tenuous links they're using to add it to the stats.

[Lyle Lanley]

 

[davidkennedyshand]

28 minutes ago, superbigal said:

South Ayrshire   58.6 to 76.4  Up 330% in 5 days

Oooft. Some rise. I've no even heard of any outbreaks for a change

[Honest_Man#1]

15 minutes ago, Lyle Lanley said:

 

Probably already mentioned but Czechs have done the same and cancelled Oriam. Hefty loss of revenue for Oriam I’d imagine, especially as they likely had to turn down Scotland who’ve gone to Middlesbrough instead.

[NorthernLights]

18 minutes ago, Lyle Lanley said:

 

Probably chucked it after Jason Leitch emailed them the 20 page guide to the Covid-secure way to lay out and set down training cones.

[Detournement]

1 hour ago, Pie Of The Month said:

 

Based on those numbers we're looking at over 20% of COVID deaths in Scotland being people who went into hospital for something else, caught COVID whilst there and then died.

Not got time to read the article just now but in England they class it as anyone who tests positive after 8 days in hospital so the real figure will be even higher if they are using the same definitions.