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 ICU admissions per week across Scotland have been lower in 2020 compared with the same period in 2019

Lots of ICU/critical care admissions are related to planned major surgery or those who suffer unexpected complications of planned surgery. Given the decrease in such surgery (I know this is part of the point you are making) it’s not a big surprise that overall numbers are down. From memory there were around 230 Covid patients in ICU at the peak. There should of course have been more non Covid work being done in the last few months. It’s dreadful that this hasn’t happened.

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Well Andy Burnham has lost, and lost badly then. Offered £60m, wanted £65m at which point talks broke off and he now gets £22m. Ouch. 

Thats factually incorrect. The 22 million is the guaranteed support for enforcement and testing etc. That does not take into account business support.

 

Every tier 3 affected person is in effect subsidised by £8 for the above. Hence 22 million for greater manchester

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Well Andy Burnham has lost, and lost badly then. Offered £60m, wanted £65m at which point talks broke off and he now gets £22m. Ouch. 

I don’t think that’s the full amount of support. That said it shows the personalities involved when a deal can breakdown over a 10 day period over what in the great scheme of things is a paltry £5m.

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5 minutes ago, superbigal said:

Thats factually incorrect. The 22 million is the guaranteed support for enforcement and testing etc. That does not take into account business support.

 

Every tier 3 affected person is in effect subsidised by £8 for the above. Hence 22 million for greater manchester

What is going to be the full amount of support? Presumably not what he was hoping for, at any rate. 

3 minutes ago, ThatBoyRonaldo said:

Yes - if this is the case it reflects really poorly on him, and not the government of the United Kingdom seemingly quibbling over £5m then going down to £22m out of sheer vindictiveness. 

It doesn't reflect well on the government. This is a battle Burnham was always losing, however.  He presides over a number of the top 20 worst impacted areas in England and has gone about this whilst seemingly forgetting forgetting this,  at one stage demanding the whole of the England go into the same measurss. It's not a fight he was ever winning and a politician of his experience really ought to see this coming - everyone knows what the Johnson Government is like. 

He was in a weak position and played his hand badly. It's no surprise it's ended like this. 

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1 hour ago, pandarilla said:

Do we know the twitter account or website that this chairman mao guy's using to spout his stuff?

There's no way he's making this up himself so what's he getting it? And how ridiculous a source is it?

(or are some if these points genuine)

I've asked him to post his sources before, and he refuses to. Every time I've managed to find them it's either some loony antivaxxer site or he's snipped a few lines or a graph totally out of context.

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1 hour ago, Distant Doonhamer said:

I don’t think that’s the full amount of support. That said it shows the personalities involved when a deal can breakdown over a 10 day period over what in the great scheme of things is a paltry £5m.

It's not a 'paltry' £5m. He needed £90m and had already conceded down to £65m. 

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2 hours ago, Chairman Mao said:

C237C02B-5C96-4A4D-AF39-19BD2EF8CEE0.jpeg

 

It's a bit of a sham bar chart given only 1.29% of humanity lives south of 30deg south latitude. (see 4th pic down on this link)

http://www.statsmapsnpix.com/2018/12/one-degree-of-population.html

 

 

And most of the epidemic occurred in January in the northern hemisphere!??!!?

O rly?

 

Edited by orfc
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6 hours ago, LongTimeLurker said:

Latest from WHO is the IFR is probably > 0.2% in most locations:

https://www.who.int/bulletin/online_first/BLT.20.265892.pdf

...Acknowledging these limitations, based on the currently available data, one may project that over half a billion people have been infected as of 12 September, 2020, far more than the approximately 29 million documented laboratory-confirmed cases. Most locations probably have an infection fatality rate less than 0.20% and with appropriate, precise non-pharmacological measures that selectively try to protect high-risk vulnerable populations and settings, the infection fatality rate may be brought even lower.

An order of magnitude down from the 2% figure that was generally being mentioned in the media on mortality back in February or so based on what was reported to be happening in Wuhan. If we take 0.2% that means around 500 cases per death. If there have been 2610 deaths after testing positive so far then it would be reasonable to expect there to have been over 1.3 million people in Scotland who have been infected at some point.

I don't think the 0.2% would apply in Scotland as we have a much older age profile than the global average and also much higher rates of obesity/heart disease etc.

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