Coronavirus (COVID-19)

[ICTChris]

22 minutes ago, Honest_Man#1 said:

Are these people calling him a murderer for not keeping restrictions in place tougher and for longer? Or for having restrictions in the first place? 

I can’t tell if this protest is anti-vax/anti-lockdown or anti-restriction easing.

They are anti-lockdowners protesting outside his house.

The guys in the second video make the anti-lockdown protesters look like a Mensa meeting.

[s_dog]

4 minutes ago, H Wragg said:

Manchester travel ban to be ditched from tomorrow, according to Paul Hutcheon of the Record.

East Lothian, Midlothian, Dundee & Edinburgh all higher rates in past 7 days, so pretty senseless to keep it. And yes I know it was pretty senseless to introduce it in the first place.

[Lyle Lanley]

10 minutes ago, H Wragg said:

Manchester travel ban to be ditched from tomorrow, according to Paul Hutcheon of the Record.

Is she only doing this due to the backlash from it?

[Michael W]

I've long thought Burnham was a vapid waste of space who's never had an original thought in his life, but that's now Johnson and Sturgeon picked a fight and come off looking worse than him. 

[Suspect Device]

Possibly because it was a fucking waste of time and unenforceable.

 

Or maybe she was trying to stop me going on holiday. 

[Lyle Lanley]

Have joined the Moderna club. 
 

No side effects as of yet. 
 

[Have some faith in Magic]

Fromm BBC news Scotland today

 

"Worst-case scenario

Covid infection numbers have hit a series of new record highs in Scotland over the past week, with more than 3,200 cases being reported on Monday - the highest since the pandemic began.

 

Scottish government scientists say infections could hit 100,000 per week by mid-July in a worst-case scenario."

 

 

Would love to know the modelling criteria used for that scenario. 

[vikingTON]

A: The same as Old Man Danger's 7 billion Covid deaths by May 2020. 

[effeffsee_the2nd]

republic of ireland shat the bed today leaving them the complete outlier in europe

hope we're not getting any ideas

[djchapsticks]

Just now, Snafu said:

Total percentage of people over the age in Scotland whom have received their first vaccination shot. Today's figures.

Areas near the top starting to slow down as they reach their ceilings of vaccine uptakes. Probably end up around 5% of the population of most areas won't be vaccinated for various reasons.

1/ Shetland Islands  92.7%

2/ Clackmannanshire 92.3%

3/ South Lanarkshire 91.7%

4/ Western Isles  91.6%

4/ East Dunbartonshire  91.6%

6/ Dumfries and Galloway 91.5%

6/ Orkney Islands  91.5%

8/ South Ayrshire 90.7%

9/ Moray 89.9%

10/ Borders 89.8%

11/ Argyll and Bute 89.6%

12/ North Ayrshire 88.9%

13/ East Renfrewshire 88.4%

14/ Aberdeenshire 88.3%

14/ North Lanarkshire 88.3%

16/ East Lothian  88.2%

17/ West Lothian 88.1%

18/ Falkirk 87.5%

19/ Angus 86.3%

20/ Perth and Kinross 86.2%

21/ East Ayrshire 85,7%

21/ Fife 85.7%

23/ Inverclyde 85.2%

24/ Midlothian 85.1%

25/ West Dunbartonshire 84.9%

26/ Stirling 84.8%

27/ Highland 83.5%

28/ Renfrewshire 83%

29/ Dundee 77.3%

30/ Aberdeen City 76.4%

31/ Glasgow City 76%

32/ City of Edinburgh 75.1%

 

Think we can accept that most of the country is now going to be in the >90% range for 1st vaccines when all is said and done.

This will translate to at worst, around 80-85% for full doses. That's before factoring in natural immunity through infection which will surely push it to 90+%.

That's a phenomenal uptake and probably higher than anyone could have imagined. I remember right at the start of this, people were modelling scenarios where vaccine uptake was low (around 60% due to hesitancy over AZ) and then adding around a 15% boost for infection immunity.

 

[Gnash]

After predictions of doom following the 2nd AZ shot from just about everyone I've spoken to, I had mine last night and am absolutely fine (so far).  I had a mild fever after the 1st, but not even a slight headache today.  

Anyone else had an easy ride with the AZ 2nd shot?  Or was it worse than Covid itself for you?

[ICTChris]

9 minutes ago, Gnash said:

After predictions of doom following the 2nd AZ shot from just about everyone I've spoken to, I had mine last night and am absolutely fine (so far).  I had a mild fever after the 1st, but not even a slight headache today.  

Anyone else had an easy ride with the AZ 2nd shot?  Or was it worse than Covid itself for you?

I had mild side effects from the first dose and absolutely none on the second.

[superbigal]

Daily Cases Update:  Day 53 of consecutive rises, up to 339.6 per 100K. Infectivity now 8.7%.

A careful review of the data has revealed Dundee is more deadly than Manchester.

Our 2nd best Mainland area D&G is higher than the English average !!   Germany & Italy still dropping into single figures.

New European figures today.   Scotland 339.6, England 128.7, Portugal 93.8, Russia 93.0, Northern Ireland 64.2, Spain 59.4, at other end we have Poland 2.2, Germany 5.4, Italy 8.3, France 19.0 all still dropping. 

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1139048/coronavirus-case-rates-in-the-past-7-days-in-europe-by-country/

Scotland previously peaked at 301.9 for figures 29th Dec to 4th Jan, (UK was 642.1)    Cases that day were 16,496 and test positivity rate was 11.9%  

Total Cases 7 days from 19th June to 25th June  were  17,299 now 18,556 to  up 7.27%.  Positivity was 8.3% now 8.7%.   Cases per 100k were 316.6 now 339.6

Home Nations Daily update :  UK Average 123.7 to 134.3 up 8.57%, England   119.5 to 128.7 up 7.70%,  Wales 52.1 to 59.3 up 13.82%, Northern Ireland 62.2 to 64.2 up 3.22%

Council progress in last 24 Hours as follows.

Click cases by neighbourhood to see the spread on the geographical map. 
https://public.tableau.com/profile/phs.covid.19#!/vizhome/COVID-19DailyDashboard_15960160643010/Overview

 LEVEL 2 RED

Dundee City  657.6 to 713.9  When is it going to slow down. 15.6% positivity.

East Lothian  623.8 to 661.1 LEVEL 1 and 2nd spot  in the UK.   

Midlothian  566.7 to 621.9  3rd in UK

City Of Edinburgh   543.7 to 573.0  4th in the UK

Renfrewshire  370.7 to 413.2  7th in the UK

West Dunbartonshire  398.1 to 411.6  LEVEL 1 

East Ayrshire  380.3 to 398.3 

East Renfrewshire    354.9 to 383.1   

East Dunbartonshire 362.7 to 378.3

 Angus    319.3 to 361.4  LEVEL 1 

Glasgow City 327.9 to 354.0

Perth & Kinross 313.3 to 325.1  LEVEL 1  

West Lothian  293.8 to 321.7   LEVEL1 

North Lanarkshire   288.5 to 305.5

Aberdeen City   284.3 to 305.7 LEVEL1 

South Lanarkshire  283.6 to 296.7 

Scottish  Borders   264.9 to 290.0 LEVEL 1

Fife  266.1 to 285.1  LEVEL 1

Falkirk  248.6 to 276.0  LEVEL 1 

Inverclyde  246.8 to 263.5  LEVEL 1 

North Ayrshire   239.0 to 251.6 

 Argyll & Bute  241.1 to 250.4 LEVEL 1 

Clackmannanshire   227.0 to 244.5

Stirling    209.1 to 222.9

South Ayrshire   188.3 to 214.0

OFFICIAL  LEVEL 1 BLACK

Highlands 150.5 to 176.0 

Aberdeenshire  155.8 to 164.6

Dumfries & Galloway   140.4 to 153.8

Moray 57.4 to 63.7

OFFICIAL LEVEL 0  Teuchters in Green

 Shetland Islands  61.1 to 56.7 

Orkney Islands   31.4 to 31.4

Western Isles   0.0 to 0.0

 

Edited June 29, 2021 by superbigal

[buchan30]

Nhs Fife linking a lot of theirs to indoor hospitality.

[mizfit]

From what I’ve heard Perth has fully vaccinated it’s vulnerable and over 50’s.

[Shipa]

1 minute ago, mizfit said:

From what I’ve heard Perth has fully vaccinated it’s vulnerable and over 50’s.

I'm 45, getting my 2nd next week and know a few others in 40's also getting next week, would seem to suggest that is the case.

[Scosha]

NS indicating figures are starting to drop as they are looking at the specimen dates rather than date reported. Said there was a peak last Tuesday and day by day it's actually dropping. 

[Lyle Lanley]

5 minutes ago, Scosha said:

NS indicating figures are starting to drop as they are looking at the specimen dates rather than date reported. Said there was a peak last Tuesday and day by day it's actually dropping. 

Fantastic news.

 

Edited June 29, 2021 by Lyle Lanley

[Pie Of The Month]

16 months of restrictions are one thing but wishing England good luck is a step too far.

[Elixir]

More good news.

Quote

Posted at 11:47

Risk of being reinfected with Covid in UK very low - ONS

Michelle Roberts

Health editor, BBC News online

The risk of becoming reinfected with coronavirus in the UK is very low, data suggests.

The Office for National Statistics has looked at information collected from its Coronavirus Infection Survey between 26 April 2020 and 5 June 2021.

Thousands of households have been taking part, with the participants agreeing to be regularly tested to see if they have the virus.

Since people who first caught Covid over a year ago will have had more time to become reinfected than someone who had Covid very recently, researchers looked at “days at risk” as their measure.

Overall, there were about 15 reinfections per 100,000 days at risk. Put another way - once people in the study had clocked up 100,000 days at risk of reinfection between them, there were 15 reinfections.

The average gap between infections was 115 days.

When people were reinfected, they tended to have lower (but still detectable) levels of the virus in their body and reported fewer symptoms such as cough, fever, loss of smell or taste, muscle aches and tiredness.