Coronavirus (COVID-19)

[scottsdad]

I really pay no more attention now to "cases". Hospitalisations, ICU and deaths are what matters. These have seen a small uptick in recent days - this isn't great. But we're vaccinating like hell now.

[Left Back]

2 minutes ago, scottsdad said:

I really pay no more attention now to "cases". Hospitalisations, ICU and deaths are what matters. These have seen a small uptick in recent days - this isn't great. But we're vaccinating like hell now.

The people that matter that are providing advice and making decisions unfortunately do pay attention to these.

[Marshmallo]

So we're at about 0.6% hospital capacity on people "with" covid, and about 1% of ICU capacity.

[Jamie_B]

Another day of no deaths is the big one. I think there’s only about three so far this month on the daily measure.

[superbigal]

Daily Cases Update:  Another rising day of 2% but positivity down a tick to 1.5%.   Cases dropping everywhere in Europe as can be seen below.

The top 3 once again account for all of the Scottish rise.    East Renfrew fires up and beyond Glasgow.  Next I am waiting for the "crisis" in the Western Islands to hit the press 

The good news out there is the Indian Variant more and more research showing not making anyone apart from those over 50 who chose to be non vaccinated ill. More significantly the "spread factor" now appears to confirm it is not much more spreadable than the Kent variant, but just that it has spread because of more person to person contact in "certain" types of community.

Scotland peaked at 301.9 for figures 29th Dec to 4th Jan, (UK was 642.1)    Cases that day were 16,496 and test positivity rate was 11.9%  

Total Cases 7 days from 11th May to 17th May  were 1965 now 2003 up 1.94%.  Positivity was 1.6% now 1.5%.   Cases per 100k were 36.0 now 36.7

Home Nations Daily update:  UK Average  23.5 to 22.0 down 6.38%, England 23.0 to 21.0 down 8.70%,  Wales 10.5 to 9.8 down 6.67%, Northern Ireland 35.2 to 34.6 down 1.70%

European (Above 2 Million Population) : Sweden 284 to 247, Netherlands  219 to 201, only major countries above 150. 

Sun worshiper areas currently are Malta 7 to 5 (How is this not on Green list ?), Portugal 26 to 27,  Bulgaria 59 to 52, Spain 80 to 72, Italy 80 to 73, Turkey 104 to 97, Greece 141 to 133  France 146, Cyprus 199 to 174   

Council progress in last 24 Hours as follows.

Click cases by neighbourhood to see the spread on the geographical map. 
https://public.tableau.com/profile/phs.covid.19#!/vizhome/COVID-19DailyDashboard_15960160643010/Overview

Naughty Level 3 Councils

East Renfrewshire   101.5 to 118.3 Positivity 4.1% & Surges past Glasgow with a 16.55% rise.  Cases all concentrated.

Glasgow City  109.9 to 112.1    Positivity 4.0%  Pollokshields West 1244 & East 1053 per 100K.   8 Neighbourhoods now over 400.

Clackmannanshire   34.9 to 56.3 100% rise in 2 days as the Whore's nickers council bounces back.

East Dunbartonshire   47.9 to 56.1  One to watch

Midlothian   56.2 to 50.8  Pentland figures now dropping so this will drop sharply now.

Under 50 Level 2 Criteria Club

South Lanarkshire  45.5 to 42.1

Stirling   32.9 to 38.2 

Fife  39.1 to 37.7

Moray  40.7 to 36.5  Sure to move to level 2 next Monday.

North Lanarkshire   36.0 to 35.4

Renfrewshire   27.9 to 34.1

North Ayrshire    30.4 to 30.4

City Of Edinburgh   26.9  to 28.8 

Perth & Kinross   29.0 to 27.6

Falkirk  24.2 to 24.9 

West Lothian   25.7 to 24.0

The Should be in Level 1  Club Sub 20.0

East Ayrshire   18.9 to 19.7  

Aberdeenshire   14.9 to 14.9

Dundee City   13.4 to 14.7

Angus  7.7 to 13.8 

Aberdeen City   14.9 to 13.6

Western Isles  7.5 to 11.2   Bloody Tourists 

East Lothian   10.3 to 10.3

Orkney Island  9.0 to 9.0

West Dunbartonshire  7.9 to 9.0

South Ayrshire   15.1 to 7.1  Down over 50%

Scottish  Borders   4.3 to 6.1

Inverclyde  14.1 to 5.1

Highlands  5.1 to 4.7

Shetland Islands  0.0 to 4.4 

Argyll & Bute  3.5 to 3.5     

Dumfries & Galloway  3.4 to 2.7  

 

Edited May 20, 2021 by superbigal

[Distant Doonhamer]

It is a concern but not a surprise that hospital numbers are back up a bit. There is nothing as yet to suggest we’ll get back to a situation where Covid will put hospitals under significant stress again. Vaccination remains key to this.

[Bairnardo]

So despite surge testing, case positivity in Glasgow below the WHO 5% threshold of "under control"

[scottsdad]

12 minutes ago, Left Back said:

The people that matter that are providing advice and making decisions unfortunately do pay attention to these.

Yep, it's depressing. The goalposts have moved. 

[D.V.T.]

Daily Cases Update:  Another rising day of 2% but positivity down a tick to 1.5%.   Cases dropping everywhere in Europe as can be seen below.

The top 3 once again account for all of the Scottish rise.    East Renfrew fires up and beyond Glasgow.  Next I am waiting for the "crisis" in the Western Islands to hit the press [emoji6]

The good news out there is the Indian Variant more and more research showing not making anyone apart from those over 50 who chose to be non vaccinated ill. More significantly the "spread factor" now appears to confirm it is not much more spreadable than the Kent variant, but just that it has spread because of more person to person contact in "certain" types of community.

Scotland peaked at 301.9 for figures 29th Dec to 4th Jan, (UK was 642.1)    Cases that day were 16,496 and test positivity rate was 11.9%  

Total Cases 7 days from 11th May to 17th May  were 1965 now 2003 up 1.94%.  Positivity was 1.6% now 1.5%.   Cases per 100k were 36.0 now 36.7

Home Nations Daily update:  UK Average  23.5 to 22.0 down 6.38%, England 23.0 to 21.0 down 8.70%,  Wales 10.5 to 9.8 down 6.67%, Northern Ireland 35.2 to 34.6 down 1.70%

European (Above 2 Million Population) : Sweden 284 to 247, Netherlands  219 to 201, only major countries above 150. 

Sun worshiper areas currently are Malta 7 to 5 (How is this not on Green list ?), Portugal 26 to 27,  Bulgaria 59 to 52, Spain 80 to 72, Italy 80 to 73, Turkey 104 to 97, Greece 141 to 133  France 146, Cyprus 199 to 174   

Council progress in last 24 Hours as follows.

Click cases by neighbourhood to see the spread on the geographical map. 
https://public.tableau.com/profile/phs.covid.19#!/vizhome/COVID-19DailyDashboard_15960160643010/Overview

Naughty Level 3 Councils

East Renfrewshire   101.5 to 118.3 Positivity 4.1% & Surges past Glasgow with a 16.55% rise.  Cases all concentrated.

Glasgow City  109.9 to 112.1    Positivity 4.0%  Pollokshields West 1244 & East 1053 per 100K.   8 Neighbourhoods now over 400.

Clackmannanshire   34.9 to 56.3 100% rise in 2 days as the Whore's nickers council bounces back.

East Dunbartonshire   47.9 to 56.1  One to watch

Midlothian   56.2 to 50.8  Pentland figures now dropping so this will drop sharply now.

Under 50 Level 2 Criteria Club

South Lanarkshire  45.5 to 42.1

Stirling   32.9 to 38.2 

Fife  39.1 to 37.7

Moray  40.7 to 36.5  Sure to move to level 2 next Monday.

North Lanarkshire   36.0 to 35.4

Renfrewshire   27.9 to 34.1

North Ayrshire    30.4 to 30.4

City Of Edinburgh   26.9  to 28.8 

Perth & Kinross   29.0 to 27.6

Falkirk  24.2 to 24.9 

West Lothian   25.7 to 24.0

The Should be in Level 1  Club Sub 20.0

East Ayrshire   18.9 to 19.7  

Aberdeenshire   14.9 to 14.9

Dundee City   13.4 to 14.7

Angus  7.7 to 13.8 

Aberdeen City   14.9 to 13.6

Western Isles  7.5 to 11.2   Bloody Tourists 

East Lothian   10.3 to 10.3

Orkney Island  9.0 to 9.0

West Dunbartonshire  7.9 to 9.0

South Ayrshire   15.1 to 7.1  Down over 50%

Scottish  Borders   4.3 to 6.1

Inverclyde  14.1 to 5.1

Highlands  5.1 to 4.7

Shetland Islands  0.0 to 4.4 

Argyll & Bute  3.5 to 3.5     

Dumfries & Galloway  3.4 to 2.7  

 

Where are the cases all concentrated in EastRen?

[Rob1885]

Fife on the way back down COYP

[CALDERON]

Aberdeen absolutely strolling it.  Stand Free! (of the virus)

[monthelie']

10 minutes ago, D.V.T. said:

 

Where are the cases all concentrated in EastRen?

 

I think it's braidbar and merrylee. I don't know when the announcement is about putting east ren back up a level.

[Elixir]

The Scottish Government have backed themselves into a corner with their ridiculous 'case number thresholds'.

[GiGi]

East Renfrewshire sitting about treble the rate of Moray really makes a mockery of the last minute decision to leave Moray in level 3. They'll be shuffling council areas all over the place on a weekly basis if the government continue with this reactionary shite.

[Bairnardo]

The Scottish Government have backed themselves into a corner with their ridiculous 'case number thresholds'.

Its alarming that they think going up and down levels at the drop of a hat is a fitting way to progress. There shouldn't be even a hint of a backward step now, but they seem oblivious to the effects of this.

[monthelie']

7 minutes ago, Elixir said:

The Scottish Government have backed themselves into a corner with their ridiculous 'case number thresholds'.

Yep, no doubt they will respond by shutting everything. Never mind people's livelihoods.

[Billy Jean King]

https://news.sky.com/story/covid-19-gigs-and-shows-no-more-dangerous-than-going-shopping-trials-reportedly-suggest-12310556
 

COVID-19: Gigs and shows no more dangerous than going shopping, trials reportedly suggest

Matches at Wembley, a nightclub in Liverpool and the World Snooker Championships in Sheffield were among the test events.

Chris Robertson

Entertainment reporter @_ChrisRobertson

Wednesday 19 May 2021 10:35, UK

• COVID-19
• CORONAVIRUS

  Image:Trial events were held in Liverpool and London

•    
•    
•    
•  

Why you can trust Sky News 

Events without masks and social distancing are as safe as going to a shopping centre or eating in a restaurant, early reports appear to suggest.

Preliminary data, as seen by The Times, suggests that COVID-19 transmission can be significantly reduced at big events by the introduction of screening and improved ventilation, allaying fears that gigs, concerts and sports matches could cause serious coronavirus outbreaks.

 

It comes amid confusion and tension over the easing of the final lockdown restrictions in June, which are now being questioned following the appearance of yet another variant.

            Play Video - UK clubbers take part in COVID trial event UK clubbers take part in COVID trial event

According to the paper, the results of the trials will be sent to ministers over the next few days, as they work out what to do in the next steps in the fight against COVID-19, with the pilot events being a key detail involved in the decisions.

A decision about fully reopening the economy is due to be made next month, but there are fears the date could be pushed back in light of the new variant.

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A government source told The Times that the data was "encouraging", adding: "It will help make the case that these large events are not inherently more risky than other parts of the hospitality sector.

So by "screening" do they mean testing ie you will need to test negative ahead of admission. Suggests proof of vaccination or negative testing is likely to become the norm if we want to remove the SD and mask requirements.

[Todd_is_God]

15 minutes ago, Elixir said:

The Scottish Government have backed themselves into a corner with their ridiculous 'case number thresholds'.

Like relentless handwashing, sanitising surfaces and not being able to try on clothes in a shop before it, "cases" are just another example of a point blank refusal to remove focus on something that was (or was thought to be) useful earlier in the pandemic, but which is no longer relevant or impactful.

Variants are another. A convenient scapegoat for cancelling the (in retrospect) quite ludicrous 5 day free for all slap bang in the middle of the traditional respiratory virus season at Christmas they might have been, but despite vaccines long since relegating them to a complete irrelevance, they are still at the centre of many policies five months later.

Edited May 20, 2021 by Todd_is_God

[Bairnardo]

Like relentless handwashing, sanitising surfaces and not being able to try on clothes in a shop before it, "cases" are just another example of a point blank refusal to remove focus on something that was used earlier in the pandemic, but which are no longer relevant or impactful.
Variants are another. A convenient scapegoat for cancelling the (in retrospect) quite ludicrous 5 day free for all slap bang in the middle of the traditional respiratory virus season at Christmas they might have been, but despite vaccines long since relegating them to a complete irrelevance, they are still at the centre of many policies five months later.

Its quite simply high time the governments said that they have fulfilled their obligation to act, and at this point with the protection of a vaccine available, any further protection sought by individuals should be of their own making, and can no longer be provided by law at the expense of other individuals.

Want to stay in? Stay in. Want to wear a mask? Wear a mask.

Dont ask for me or anyone else to continue putting our life on hold because you dont think a 97% effective vaccine is enough safety for you.

[true_rover]

It is a concern but not a surprise that hospital numbers are back up a bit. There is nothing as yet to suggest we’ll get back to a situation where Covid will put hospitals under significant stress again. Vaccination remains key to this.

Worth keeping an eye on the daily admission figures alongside the total figure (in case this is hiding people staying in hospital longer). The Scottish figures are a little slower at coming out than the rest of the UK, but these have been in single figures for all but 3 days since the 28th April.

Weekly averages are:
W/e 15th May - 8 per day
W/e 8th May - 8.6 per day
W/e 1st May - 8.3 per day
W/e 24th May - 11 per day

This peaked at 241 on 11th January.