vikingTON Posted March 10, 2021 Share Posted March 10, 2021 Just now, Bairnardo said: 10 minutes ago, ICTChris said: I see someone in the replies saying Chris Whitty expects 30k more deaths. What's the context of that comment? Over what timeframe is he expecting 30k more people to do from covid The context is that the funsters at Imperial College London (IIRC) have produced yet another shan model, fresh off their roaring success forecasting the previous waves. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheGreenElves Posted March 10, 2021 Share Posted March 10, 2021 4 hours ago, superbigal said: Slightly disheartening news on infection rates. England now has a lower rate per 100K than Scotland. Also on a "Council" breakdown Clackmannanshire is now the worst in the UK My insider (From Dollar) tells me there was a huge "Rangers" party in Alva at the weekend so watch their figures quite closely. he also tells me that Alva has more than 1 "Church" giving out underwhelming message to it's followers. Again with Churches opening up will be interesting to focus on this area. Any Alva Church Going Rangers supporting insiders on P&B ? In the UK charts Falkirk is at 10, Stirling at 12, West Lothian at 15 & Glasgow City at 16. There are only 23 LAs now with rates above 100 in the UK. I'm from Alva and always forget we actually have 3 churches . There's 2 that I don't know anyone who actually goes to them(and given that I've lived in Alva all my life that's a surprise. If they were a front for something else I wouldn't be surprised). The main church(Alva parish), there's not many football supporting people that go there tbh. It's mainly old people going for a chat. 4 hours ago, 101 said: How was it @alang1993 ? Was great fun, learnt some interesting songs etc. In all seriousness, I hadn't heard people mentioning parties going on, but it will definitely have happened. Some guy let off fireworks about a minute after full time. Although given the area, it could easily have been gunshots 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superbigal Posted March 10, 2021 Share Posted March 10, 2021 (edited) On 09/03/2021 at 14:39, superbigal said: Daily Cases Update: Another slight rise while the rest of the UK declines ! Clackmannanshire is off limits apart from Bible holding Rangers supporters. Only Falkirk of the top 5 showing any sign of declines. Very little movement apart from the crossover in Dunbartonshire. No new Cigars today. Scotland peaked at 301.9 for figures 29th Dec to 4th Jan, Cases that day were 16,496 and test rate was 11.9% Total Cases 7 days from 1st March to 7th March were 3,476 now 3,485 now up 0.03%. Positivity was 3.2% and still 3.2% Cases per 100k were 63.6 now 63.8 Home Nations Daily update: England 66.0 to 62.8 down 4.85% . Wales 46.1 to 45.2 down 1.95% , Northern Ireland 69.7 to 65.9 down 5.45% UK Average 65.1 to 62.2 down 4.46% NHS Progress Forth Valley 129.8, Lanarkshire 94.6, Greater Glasgow 85.9 the rest all under Scottish average. European (Above 2 Million Population) Shockers: Czech 797, Serbia 385, Hungary 366, Slovakia 272, Sweden 268. Council progress in last 24 Hours as follows. Click cases by neighbourhood to see the spread on the geographical map. https://public.tableau.com/profile/phs.covid.19#!/vizhome/COVID-19DailyDashboard_15960160643010/Overview The Bad boys club Over 100 Cartel Clackmannanshire 145.5 to 166.9 Up 14.71% FFS Get a grip Clackmannan, Kennet & Forestmill at 789.7 Stirling 122.1 to 125.3 Braehead at 604.1 Falkirk 125.6 to 120.6 Down near 4% Glasgow City 113.2 to 113.6 North Lanarkshire 107.8 to 110.1 Under 100 Club West Lothian 104.9 to 99.4 East Renfrewshire 93.2 to 98.4 Poor 24 hours North Ayrshire 86.1 to 86.8 South Lanarkshire 78.6 to 78.0 Dundee City 67.0 to 67.0 Renfrewshire 65.9 to 64.2 Under Scottish Average club 63.8 Western Isles 71.1 to 63.6 East Ayrshire 55.7 to 59.0 Midlothian 60.6 to 54.1 Very good 10% drop Angus 49.1 to 52.5 hamlets back in the packet East Lothian 55.1 to 50.4 Very nice 8.5% drop Hamlet & a Beer club Sub 50.0 Fife 42.6 to 44.2 Perth & Kinross 38.2 to 40.8 Highlands 36.5 to 40.7 City Of Edinburgh 42.1 to 40.4 East Dunbartonshire 39.6 to 37.7 Aberdeen City 32.8 to 32.8 West Dunbartonshire 40.5 to 32.6 Astonishing run past it's neighbour down another 19.50% Moray 33.4 to 31.3 South Ayrshire 19.5 to 30.2 Back on the cheap fags gents Havana & Malt Whisky club Sub 30.0 Aberdeenshire 22.6 to 23.0 Scottish Borders 22.5 to 20.8 Inverclyde 21.9 to 20.6 Dumfries & Galloway 14.8 to 15.5 Argyll & Bute 10.5 to 9.3 Shetland Islands 4.4 to 4.4 Orkney Island 0.0 to 0.0 Edited March 10, 2021 by superbigal 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bairnardo Posted March 10, 2021 Share Posted March 10, 2021 Just now, virginton said: The context is that the funsters at Imperial College London (IIRC) have produced yet another shan model, fresh off their roaring success forecasting the previous waves. Wasnt sure if it was Whittys opinion or if he was just quoting one of these models. Quite where we are going to produce an additional 30,000 deaths from given the current trajectory I'm fucked if I can understand, given that thankfully the cigar aficionado vaccines are handing even the most breathtaking government incompetence the drubbing of a lifetime. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bairnardo Posted March 10, 2021 Share Posted March 10, 2021 Regarding Alva, a walk in testing centre is being opened there currently. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superbigal Posted March 10, 2021 Share Posted March 10, 2021 Just now, Bairnardo said: Regarding Alva, a walk in testing centre is being opened there currently. To test if your a Celtic supporter or an Atheist ? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
101 Posted March 10, 2021 Share Posted March 10, 2021 36 minutes ago, PWL said: Here's exact quote by Dr Smith from BBC website. Doesn't seem to unreasonable to me. Key point remains getting jags in arms so that infection rates, while still important, don't have the devastating impact of Jan. Nice cans, that's all I have to add. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EdinburghPar1975 Posted March 10, 2021 Share Posted March 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, Bairnardo said: Wasnt sure if it was Whittys opinion or if he was just quoting one of these models. Quite where we are going to produce an additional 30,000 deaths from given the current trajectory I'm fucked if I can understand, given that thankfully the cigar aficionado vaccines are handing even the most breathtaking government incompetence the drubbing of a lifetime. I think he was speculating that if the restrictions were lifted in one go with a large part of the population yet to be vaccinated then it was conceivable that the 'younger' age groups could be impacted and lead to those figures. I don't think he said it would happen but that the projections is why they want gradual easing alongside increased vaccination of folks. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Distant Doonhamer Posted March 10, 2021 Share Posted March 10, 2021 Wasnt sure if it was Whittys opinion or if he was just quoting one of these models. Quite where we are going to produce an additional 30,000 deaths from given the current trajectory I'm fucked if I can understand, given that thankfully the cigar aficionado vaccines are handing even the most breathtaking government incompetence the drubbing of a lifetime. There will be 30,000 deaths from flu going forward in the U.K. What’s crucial is what the time course of that is. 6 months, 2 years , 10 years. Given we are going to have to live with Covid in the same way as we live with flu it’s a safe bet there will be more deaths. That doesn’t mean we need to hide away for ever as a society. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vikingTON Posted March 10, 2021 Share Posted March 10, 2021 (edited) Also on Gregor Smith's 'contribution', if the big scary new virus variant was up to 70% more transmissible than the one last year, then the lighter lockdown measures since December 26 could simply not have reduced cases in the same way as the tighter lockdown from the spring of 2020. But it has, so it is clearly not that much more transmissible. Doing less lockdown and getting similar results means that the big scary mutant chat was utter bollocks all along and can be safely filed in the bin where it belongs. Edited March 10, 2021 by vikingTON 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dev Posted March 10, 2021 Share Posted March 10, 2021 1 hour ago, 8MileBU said: That’s the norm and everyone is still in touch and speaking regularly, but calls and messages are a poor substitute for how it normally would be. True enough. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jan Vojáček Posted March 10, 2021 Share Posted March 10, 2021 The West Dunbartonshire figure has dropped so significantly in recent weeks that I'm starting to wonder if Clydebank has just been eradicated from the map completely. Staggering progress. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Detournement Posted March 10, 2021 Share Posted March 10, 2021 11 minutes ago, Bairnardo said: Wasnt sure if it was Whittys opinion or if he was just quoting one of these models. Quite where we are going to produce an additional 30,000 deaths from given the current trajectory I'm fucked if I can understand, given that thankfully the cigar aficionado vaccines are handing even the most breathtaking government incompetence the drubbing of a lifetime. Bear in mind it's deaths within 28 days of a positive test so there is lots of scope for people testing positive in hospital/social care then kicking the bucket later of other causes. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Moonster Posted March 10, 2021 Share Posted March 10, 2021 4 minutes ago, Jan Vojáček said: The West Dunbartonshire figure has dropped so significantly in recent weeks that I'm starting to wonder if Clydebank has just been eradicated from the map completely. Staggering progress. You're welcome. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KnightswoodBear Posted March 10, 2021 Share Posted March 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, Detournement said: Bear in mind it's deaths within 28 days of a positive test so there is lots of scope for people testing positive in hospital/social care then kicking the bucket later of other causes. they've just managed to convince @Sweet Pete to eat with his mouth closed. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuart87 Posted March 10, 2021 Share Posted March 10, 2021 Covid in Scotland: Sturgeon objective 'to eliminate' virus https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-56347695 What does get case numbers as low as possible mean with actual numbers? What does this mean if there are very few people in hospital? Would be great if anyone can help with these questions. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jan Vojáček Posted March 10, 2021 Share Posted March 10, 2021 Just now, The Moonster said: You're welcome. Looking forward to a capacity crowd at the Rock in the April sunshine as a result of your actions. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Moonster Posted March 10, 2021 Share Posted March 10, 2021 Just now, Jan Vojáček said: Looking forward to a capacity crowd at the Rock in the April sunshine as a result of your actions. Only if you c***s in East Dunbartonshire get your numbers down. The West won't be accepting any ruffians. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwullie Posted March 10, 2021 Share Posted March 10, 2021 (edited) 25 minutes ago, Bairnardo said: 35 minutes ago, ICTChris said: I see someone in the replies saying Chris Whitty expects 30k more deaths. What's the context of that comment? Over what timeframe is he expecting 30k more people to do from covid Latest model. They really need to make these entire models available to the public (are they?) with all assumptions cleary stated and best case and worst case scenarios etc. This needs examined really closely by anyone that wants to. It's going to be an impossible sell for either govt to keep restrictions in place in the face of flatlining hospitalisations and deaths. And rightly so Edited March 10, 2021 by madwullie 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jan Vojáček Posted March 10, 2021 Share Posted March 10, 2021 Just now, stuart87 said: Covid in Scotland: Sturgeon objective 'to eliminate' virus https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-56347695 What does get case numbers as low as possible mean with actual numbers? What does this mean if there are very few people in hospital? Would be great if anyone can help with these questions. A lot going on in that article. Quote First Minister Nicola Sturgeon has said Scotland's objective must be "to eliminate" coronavirus. Quote Elimination - the complete removal or destruction of something. A few lines later... Quote Chief Medical Officer Dr Gregor Smith said he did not believe coronavirus could be "eradicated" Quote Eradication - the complete destruction of something. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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