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Coronavirus (COVID-19)


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The Western Australian Government has just announced zero community case transmissions for 6 months.

Almost as soon as it became clear that Covid was beginning to spread, the WA Government closed the borders. Only 55 international travellers are allowed in per day and have to quarantine for 14 days in designated hotels at their own cost. 

You can only travel in exceptional circumstances so it's a bit frustrating not knowing if we can come back to Scotland for a holiday or not next year but it's a small price to pay for our freedom IMO. 

Some carry on just because someone ate a bat. 

 

 

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2 hours ago, Bairnardo said:

I know there has been a bit of talk about it on here already, but I am just not buying "Long covid" at all. Every story I read about it reeks of propaganda to scare the young into taking it seriously.

Are you on the wind up? Every respiratory disease carries the risk of long term problems. 

If you want to say the risk is small, it's an opinion, without the data we just don't know yet.

Anecdotally I know two people personally who are still fucked 3 months later.

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I know there has been a bit of talk about it on here already, but I am just not buying "Long covid" at all. Every story I read about it reeks of propaganda to scare the young into taking it seriously.


What is it that you aren’t buying about it? Possible long term complications after a viral infection are a generally accepted medical fact. SARS caused significant long term affects on the people that survived it. Doctors and patients are all pretty sure about the existence in some patients of longer term issues post infection.
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2 hours ago, Bairnardo said:

I know there has been a bit of talk about it on here already, but I am just not buying "Long covid" at all. Every story I read about it reeks of propaganda to scare the young into taking it seriously.

I’m buying it. Been more than enough examples and follow-ups on tv, news etc of people suffering long term effects.

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A more pertinent question is how common are these "long covid" lingering symptoms. There have been more than 650,000 cases in the UK now - granted that we are 8 or 10 months into this pandemic depending on what measurement you care to use, that's enough time for some data points. 

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2 hours ago, Bairnardo said:

I know there has been a bit of talk about it on here already, but I am just not buying "Long covid" at all. Every story I read about it reeks of propaganda to scare the young into taking it seriously.

Posts like this are dangerous

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2 hours ago, Bairnardo said:

I know there has been a bit of talk about it on here already, but I am just not buying "Long covid" at all. Every story I read about it reeks of propaganda to scare the young into taking it seriously.

It's a thing alright. My old man had it relatively early in the process and complained for about 3 months afterwards of dizziness, vertigo, nausea and shooting pains in his head.

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16 minutes ago, Michael W said:

A more pertinent question is how common are these "long covid" lingering symptoms. There have been more than 650,000 cases in the UK now - granted that we are 8 or 10 months into this pandemic depending on what measurement you care to use, that's enough time for some data points. 

Yes, as people have said, every respiratory affecting virus has potential for lasting effects so it quite clearly does and can happen with COVID. However the rate of significant long term effects, particularly in those who are not affected in any major way at the time of first getting symptoms, appears to be very low. Anecdotally, from several doctors who have been working in respiratory, there have been a few cases with incredibly severe long conditions (one where lung scans looked like someone had taken a cheese grater to the inside of the lungs) but they were the ones who were taken to ICU at the time. The vast, vast majority they say have minimal to no lasting effects.

TLDR: Long COVID is a thing, but appears to be very rare.

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I know there has been a bit of talk about it on here already, but I am just not buying "Long covid" at all. Every story I read about it reeks of propaganda to scare the young into taking it seriously.


Picked this up in February, was over the virus mid-March but it fucked by sinuses and breathing. Had an operation in September to try and elevate the issue. Still attending the hospital now and continuing into at least November. By then it will be 9 months and its been a tough 9 months, so I’d go with it having longer term knock on effects.
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36 minutes ago, Honest_Man#1 said:

TLDR: Long COVID is a thing, but appears to be very rare.

Not absolutely sold on this. Studies in Italy and Germany have revealed that patients are still struggling several months on. In the case of the Italy study in Bergamo it was around 50% of patients whilst in the German study of 100 patients 80% showed heart abnormalities months after initial infection.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2020/09/08/bergamo-italy-covid-longterm/?arc404=true

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10 minutes ago, RiG said:

Not absolutely sold on this. Studies in Italy and Germany have revealed that patients are still struggling several months on. In the case of the Italy study in Bergamo it was around 50% of patients whilst in the German study of 100 patients 80% showed heart abnormalities months after initial infection.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2020/09/08/bergamo-italy-covid-longterm/?arc404=true

I can't read the article as it's behind a paywall. Are these all patients, or those that had to go into ICU? 

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6 minutes ago, Michael W said:

I can't read the article as it's behind a paywall. Are these all patients, or those that had to go into ICU? 

In Bergamo reference only to "hospitalised" patients is made. I think it is the same for the German study. Happy to be corrected. WP article below. Sticking it behind a spoiler tag so it (hopefully) doesn't screw up any quoting.

Quote
Spoiler

BERGAMO, Italy — The first wave is over, thousands have been buried, and in a city that was once the world’s coronavirus epicenter, the hospital is calling back the survivors. It is drawing their blood, examining their hearts, scanning their lungs, asking them about their lives.

Twenty people per day, it is measuring what the coronavirus has left in its wake.

“How are you feeling?” a doctor recently asked the next patient to walk in, a 54-year-old who still can’t ascend a flight of steps without losing her breath.

“I feel like I’m 80 years old,” the woman said.

Six months ago, Bergamo was a startling warning sign of the virus’s fury, a city where sirens rang through the night and military trucks lined up outside the public hospital to ferry away the dead. Bergamo has dramatically curtailed the virus’s spread, but it is now offering another kind of warning, this one about the long aftermath, where recoveries are proving incomplete and sometimes excruciating.

Those who survived the peak of the outbreak in March and April are now negative. The virus is officially gone from their systems.

“But we are asking: Are you feeling cured? Almost half the patients say no,” said Serena Venturelli, an infectious-disease specialist at the hospital.

The follow-ups with the once-hospitalized patients are the basis for medical research: Their health records now fill 17 bankers’ boxes, and scientific reports are on the way. Bergamo doctors say the disease clearly has full-body ramifications but leaves wildly differing marks from one patient to the next, and in some cases few marks at all. Among the first 750 patients screened, some 30 percent still have lung scarring and breathing trouble. The virus has left another 30 percent with problems linked to inflammation and clotting, such as heart abnormalities and artery blockages. A few are at risk of organ failure.

Beyond that, according to interviews with eight Pope John XXIII Hospital doctors involved in the work, many patients months later are dealing with a galaxy of daily conditions and have no clear answer on when it will all subside: leg pain, tingling in the extremities, hair loss, depression, severe fatigue.

Some patients had preexisting conditions, but doctors say survivors are not simply experiencing a version of old problems.

“We are talking about something new,” said Marco Rizzi, the head of the hospital’s infectious-disease unit.

One patient, Giuseppe Vavassori, 65, has developed short-term memory loss and now lives under a mountain of Post-it notes and handwritten reminders, with names and phone numbers, so he can still run his funeral home business. A post-covid MRI showed dot-like lesions on his brain.

Another, Guido Padoa, 61, recovered well enough that he was able to go on vacation this summer. But he sleeps four extra hours per night and sometimes falls asleep suddenly midday, head on the computer keyboard.

Some patients who were self-reliant before contracting the virus remain so weakened that, when they arrive for their follow-up appointments, they’re helped to the waiting room by relatives, or in wheelchairs. Four people so far were too frail to make it through the several hours of testing and were rushed instead to the emergency room. Other times, people show up months later, having been through the worst — oxygen support, intubations — and are, improbably, almost fine. Doctors say one of the virus’s mysteries is how recoveries can be swift for some and brutal for others.

Venturelli mentioned a man in his 80s who’d come in for his follow-up visit, mostly recovered. His son, who’d also been infected, hadn’t fared as well. When Venturelli tried to refer the father to a specialist, he said he was too busy these days.

Covid had turned the father into his son’s caretaker.

THE BERGAMO RESEARCH is being led by the same doctors who worked frantic 14-hour days in March, sometimes falling sick themselves, while watching patients rapidly outnumber the beds. Now, wearing just masks, those same doctors and patients are sitting down together in a way that was impossible months ago.

“We did feel a moral obligation to call them back,” said Venturelli, who helped start the study in early May. “It was such a tsunami for us. What we saw in March was a tragedy, not a normal hospitalization.”

Bergamo, in March, was a place with six-hour waits for ambulances and 16-hour waits in the ER. At one point, the hospital had 92 people on ventilators — compared with 143 now in all of Italy — and so many who required breathing assistance that it needed to pipe in oxygen from a rush-delivered emergency tank. Subsequent antibody sampling, according to the government, indicated that one-quarter of Bergamo’s 1.1 million people were infected with the virus.

“I have a picture in my mind from that time of the ER with eight ambulances queuing outside,” said head nurse Monica Casati. Inside the hospital, she said, people were crying, moaning and gasping for air. “It was a noise that would remind you of Dante’s inferno,” she said.

The hospital was admitting only the worst cases, and to keep pace with the influx, it sometimes had to discharge patients before they were fully ready — something confirmed when the hospital started calling people for the follow-ups. In addition to the 440 people who died while hospitalized, 220 died after being told to go home.

The study in Bergamo is one of multiple efforts around the world to examine aspects of covid’s lingering damage. One German study of 100 people found that nearly 80 percent had heart abnormalities several months after infection. Other studies are underway to look specifically at “long-haulers” — a subset of people, some never hospitalized, who nonetheless have fatigue and other symptoms months after the illness.

Some of the doctors in Bergamo see reasons for encouragement in their findings, especially given the severity of what patients faced in March and April and the trial-and-error treatments they were given. They say that patients’ breathing seems to gradually improve, even though the lung scarring is permanent. Doctors have found nobody with a fever.

“Many of them coming in for repeat visits, they are doing better now than they were in May,” said Caterina Conti, a lung specialist.

For the patients who have been able to regain a semblance of their lives, the last barrier is the trauma itself — the raw memory of being in a hospital where so many were dying, and wondering if they might be next. Padoa, a photographer, said he remembers hearing others in his ward struggling to breathe, and seeing hospital workers remove the bodies, change the bedsheets. With his own lungs on the brink of failure, he worried what might happen if he let his eyes close, so he drew on his training four decades earlier as a paratrooper. Under an oxygen helmet, as it beeped and hissed, he willed himself to stay awake for five days, he said.

“It’s like when you are on a high mountain in the cold,” Padoa said. “If you fall asleep, you die.”

BUT THE GRAVEST patients of all, like Mirco Carrara, 55, have no recovery in sight.

By the time he arrived for his follow-up, it was late August, and he’d moved back into his home on the outskirts of Bergamo. He’d started going to work again, as a manager at a military parts company. But he was also coming to terms with how drastically his life had changed.

He had spent more than a month in a medically induced coma. In the middle of that, he was transferred on a German medevac plane to a hospital in Cologne. Doctors there saw that his lungs had developed not only scars but also a fungal infection. He was removed from the ventilator, re-intubated after his lung collapsed, then removed again. By the time he returned, conscious, to a rehabilitation center in Italy, Carrara had lost 45 pounds. He needed to relearn to swallow and stand.

And even that he had felt capable of doing, until doctors told him one more thing. The full trauma of covid-19 — the ventilation, the treatment, the compounding infections — meant there were now fungus-filled bubbles inside his lungs, each a bomb-like threat that could critically impair his breathing if it burst.

“I started crying,” Carrara said. “Up until that point, I had thought I’d be able to recover.”

In an interview, Simone Benatti, the doctor at Pope John XXIII who consulted with Carrara, described the air and fungus bubbles as a “bad complication” and mentioned a separate Italian study showing that some deceased covid-19 victims were found to have bacterial or fungal abscesses in their lungs.

“There is an interplay between covid and other infections,” Benatti said.

Carrara said the bubbles were like a “Damocles sword,” and soon enough, in early June, a cough sent his oxygen levels dipping. His girlfriend rushed him to the hospital. He had a tube inserted into his lungs for a week. A month later, it happened again — dipping oxygen; another hospital trip; another surgery to drain his lung — except this time, he wasn’t even sure what set it off. He felt a rage about his body. He said he wished the surgeon would “just cut my lung out.”

He arrived for his follow-up in Bergamo carrying a thick stack of medical paperwork and figured there was only so much more about his body he cared to know. Like the others, he submitted to a CT scan, an echocardiogram and blood tests. But when filling out a survey about how he was feeling and coping, he checked all the boxes in the “middle,” he said — moderate, good, okay.

“I lied,” Carrara said.

He didn’t mention how deep his despair has been, as he comes to grips with his lungs. He didn’t mention the guilt he felt, wondering if he passed the virus to his father, who had not survived. He didn’t mention his first nights back home, when he lay fully awake, one night and then two nights and then three. He didn’t say how his partner then said enough was enough, and went to the pharmacy to get sleeping pills, and how he’d agreed to take them, because that was the one way to briefly quiet his mind six months after being infected with covid-19.

“The bubbles will remain. They’re not going anywhere,” Carrara said, and he figured it was just a matter of time before he was back in the hospital again.

“I live with this terror,” he said.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2020/09/08/bergamo-italy-covid-longterm/?arc404=true

 

Edited by RiG
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10 minutes ago, D.A.F.C said:

That's London on higher tier from sat.
Just make everywhere top tier and be done with it.

Sadiq Khan has long been agitating for harsher measures for some time, despite London being impacted less at this stage than most of England. Interesting to note the difference here in Khan and in particular Andy Burnham, who seems determined not to move to a higher tier despite presiding over one of the worst affected areas in the UK. Both men are of course in the same party as each other. 

8 minutes ago, RiG said:

In Bergamo reference only to "hospitalised" patients is made. I think it is the same for the German study. Happy to be corrected. WP article below. Sticking it behind a spoiler tag so it (hopefully) doesn't screw up any quoting.

 

Thank you. Would probably assume all patients in hospital in that case rather than just those in ICU. Imagine you'd have to be in a pretty bad way to end up in hospital, in either event. 

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4 hours ago, Bairnardo said:

I know there has been a bit of talk about it on here already, but I am just not buying "Long covid" at all. Every story I read about it reeks of propaganda to scare the young into taking it seriously.

The term “long covid” is annoying as fck but I believe it will be the same as post viral fatigue. About 15 years ago I took chickenpox as an adult and for months/a year afterwards I was wiped out. 

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