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Coronavirus (COVID-19)


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Just now, jimbaxters said:

Don't know but that wasn't my point. You were playing fast & loose with a business you don't own.

That's exactly what the Scottish Government are doing, especially when they don't have all the levers available to them to mitigate the damage. 

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Interesting this appears on the same day Burnham and the Manchester MPs all had a good moan about the measures being increased. Liverpool Council has seemingly signed off on them. 

Measures to be reviewed every month but may last six months. 

I think that's the first bit of honesty we've seen about how long this may end up taking tbh. 

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Again though, these Liverpool measures miss one of the elephants in the room - students. There are four universities in Liverpool and I've no doubt that this has driven the increase in cases. Test all the students - anyone negative can go home to their parents unless they really have to be on university grounds. 

Fine and well shutting pubs, cinemas etc but keeping 20,000 students or whatever in the city and giving them nothing to do will be disastrous. Cases will keep coming from flat parties as everyone succumbs to utter boredom. 

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This is the problem. This here. So the “wEe NipPy sToLe oUr PiNtS” patter can away and shite.
 
I’m all for vT’s trademarked ‘Baton to the face’ .
 
(I know the Record is a rag) 
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Anyone doing this has a serious problem and should seek help immediately. I can almost guarantee that not the angle the Record came at it from.

It’s the usual piss poor journalism. It’s a non story in that the impact of a few bevvy merchants travelling out with region for a drink has negligible impact on the overall spread of Covid.
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9 hours ago, s_dog said:

That's good because neither newly people tested nor total tests gives an accurate percentage. Seen a post on twitter from a coronavirus stats guy saying he was going to start using a blend of both, but trying to figure out his reasoning just gave me a sore head.

 

Fixed that bit for accuracy.

 

I've seen this article picked up as being one of the best at explaining how the virus is spreading. Interesting that because they knew they had limited testing capacity, Japan looked at the backward tracing aspect to try and find the source of a cluster and stopping that person spreading it, and it seems to have worked a whole lot better. It makes the forward contract tracing we are doing look a bit daft in comparison.

Dr John Snow did that in the 1840s in London to find out why one block got cholera and the neighbouring block didn't. It turned out the water from the cholera affected block came from a well that drew from the polluted Thames and the healthy block drew water from a well which was connected to a spring. 

Anyway this is how epidemiology started. It's odd how only the Japanese seem to have remembered this particular history lesson 

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12 hours ago, pandarilla said:

So are the cases going down - or is it the old statistical anomaly based on which day it is? ...

Too early to be sure. Best to give it 2 to 3 weeks before it can confidently be identified as the signal rather than random noise. Last time it looked like things were peaking on new case numbers it soon turned out that there was an Excel spreadsheet issue.

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Seen this thread regarding the impact of Uni students:

At this point sending students home is probably more dangerous than leaving them where they are. I do wonder if the circuit breaker is asmuch about keeping students out of hospitality and mixing as anything else.

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1 hour ago, renton said:

Seen this thread regarding the impact of Uni students:

At this point sending students home is probably more dangerous than leaving them where they are. I do wonder if the circuit breaker is asmuch about keeping students out of hospitality and mixing as anything else.

I do wonder if there is actually some sense in keeping students in halls of residence for a while. Let it rip through a healthy population who’ll see very limited effects and help (hopefully) build up immunity.

The issue with the above is that they will obviously socialise outside of the halls which will spread to the rest of the population, and it is pretty unacceptable to keep them penned in there forever. Also puts the people who work in these environments at risk (like me, even though I’m not frontline I’m still around them constantly).

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I do wonder if there is actually some sense in keeping students in halls of residence for a while. Let it rip through a healthy population who’ll see very limited effects and help (hopefully) build up immunity.
The issue with the above is that they will obviously socialise outside of the halls which will spread to the rest of the population, and it is pretty unacceptable to keep them penned in there forever. Also puts the people who work in these environments at risk (like me, even though I’m not frontline I’m still around them constantly).


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22 minutes ago, Honest_Man#1 said:

I do wonder if there is actually some sense in keeping students in halls of residence for a while. Let it rip through a healthy population who’ll see very limited effects and help (hopefully) build up immunity.

The issue with the above is that they will obviously socialise outside of the halls which will spread to the rest of the population, and it is pretty unacceptable to keep them penned in there forever. Also puts the people who work in these environments at risk (like me, even though I’m not frontline I’m still around them constantly).

Lock them in their student unions for 2 weeks and let them get on with it.

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