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Coronavirus (COVID-19)


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11 hours ago, Todd_is_God said:

It would be useful to know what percentage of new cases are asymptomatic I think.

If, as the Italian & Spanish doctors say they have observed, the virus has significantly weakened, and the majority of new cases now are very mild or asymptomatic, then test and protect becomes a bit pointless.

No point having people isolating for 14 days and locking everything down if we reach a stage where the virus causes only a small minority to experience more than a cough.

I would hope the SG are aware of, and consider, the above.

Seems that Italian doctor was talking out of his arse and is backtracking. If I'd known he used to be Berlusconi's personal physician I would have been more sceptical. Disappointing. The fact that patients are arriving with a lower viral load is probably just down to social distancing and face masks.

https://uk.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-who-transmission/who-and-other-experts-say-no-evidence-of-covid-19-losing-potency-idUKKBN23832J

The original article.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-italy-virus/new-coronavirus-losing-potency-top-italian-doctor-says-idUSKBN2370OQ

What is it about Italian and French doctors and crying for attention with unfounded claims?

Edited by welshbairn
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There’s a second wave going through Iran at the moment, and it’s worse than the first. Any hope that this will just go away is at best completely unfounded.

 

We’re through the looking glass now where the same people who never thought there was a need for a lockdown are looking at the numbers and asking whether we need current restrictions for 200 dead per day, and falling. We’ll get there but it’s idiotic to rush.

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1 hour ago, Dee Man said:

To see if he had coronavirus. 

I like that he's asymptomatic but is tested, but wife's a carer and hasn't been tested. Next up in Scotland will be mandatory face masks for people working from home but optional for everyone else.

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1 minute ago, bendan said:

I like that he's asymptomatic but is tested, but wife's a carer and hasn't been tested. Next up in Scotland will be mandatory face masks for people working from home but optional for everyone else.

Probably works offshore. It's pretty essential.

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11 hours ago, madwullie said:

A bunch of restaurants that had reopened in Austin texis have had to close back down as staff became infected. Think the chances of a second wave are higher where they haven't got the numbers down, are wildly opening really quickly and aren't taking precautions when out and about. Hopefully we have it under control enough over here to deal with that. 

Seems to have been a bit haphazard opening the schools down south. Again hopefully we'll be a bit more organised and sensible about it, and obviously waiting till August is a good shout as long as things continue the way they are 🤞 

Our schools have re-opened, too, but as far as I'm aware it's (mostly) for children who need extra help. Wasn't much activity at our local primary school yesterday when I drove past it taking my wife for a doctor's appointment.

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45 minutes ago, bendan said:

Yes, just like it's essential in many other environments, yet is somehow impossible.

The word you are looking for is uneconomical. 

The costs of finding a suitable replacement for an offshore worker for eample are far higher than testing for covid whereas there is a huge pool of replacement care workers available for a modest agency fee. 

The opportunity cost (to the business, not society) of not having the worker present at all is way higher offshore. 

Neglecting vulnerable people is really quite cheap in the short term. 

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5 minutes ago, coprolite said:

The word you are looking for is uneconomical. 

The costs of finding a suitable replacement for an offshore worker for eample are far higher than testing for covid whereas there is a huge pool of replacement care workers available for a modest agency fee. 

The opportunity cost (to the business, not society) of not having the worker present at all is way higher offshore. 

Neglecting vulnerable people is really quite cheap in the short term. 

For businesses, yes it's uneconomical, but for the country as a whole it seems a worthwhile cost if it restores confidence and reduces transmission.

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1 minute ago, bendan said:

For businesses, yes it's uneconomical, but for the country as a whole it seems a worthwhile cost if it restores confidence and reduces transmission.

Totally agree. 

Clearly the various governments don't 

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26 minutes ago, Snafu said:

Pretty farcical tbh.

If a 2nd wave was to happen, it'll happen before then.

Unless of course by "full speed" they mean at maximum capacity which is something we wouldn't want to be seeing at all

Edited by Todd_is_God
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33 minutes ago, coprolite said:

The word you are looking for is uneconomical. 

The costs of finding a suitable replacement for an offshore worker for eample are far higher than testing for covid whereas there is a huge pool of replacement care workers available for a modest agency fee. 

The opportunity cost (to the business, not society) of not having the worker present at all is way higher offshore. 

Neglecting vulnerable people is really quite cheap in the short term. 

Maybe not so much in the summer. but access to emergency specialist medical care is obviously limited and non existent if the weather's bad enough.

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''The NHS coronavirus test-and-trace system designed to prevent a second deadly wave is not expected to work at full speed until September or October, the Guardian has learned. It comes as a leaked email from the chief executive of Serco – one of the main companies contracted to deliver the service – revealed how he doubted the scheme would evolve smoothly but said he wanted it to “cement the position of the private sector” in the NHS supply chain.''
Looks like the second wave will have to wait until we have a decent prevention system set up.
 
That will be Rupert Soames, grandson of Churchill, brother of Nicholas and with impeccable connections to both the British Establishment and the Tory Party.

A frightfully nice fellow who I met several times in his previous role, he will not flinch from taking those tough decisions, if you get my drift.
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It would be useful to know what percentage of new cases are asymptomatic I think.
If, as the Italian & Spanish doctors say they have observed, the virus has significantly weakened, and the majority of new cases now are very mild or asymptomatic, then test and protect becomes a bit pointless.
No point having people isolating for 14 days and locking everything down if we reach a stage where the virus causes only a small minority to experience more than a cough.
I would hope the SG are aware of, and consider, the above.
Surely that is more down to limiting the viral load through measures like lockdown and more so since measures eased, social distancing ?
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1 minute ago, Billy Jean King said:
14 hours ago, Todd_is_God said:
It would be useful to know what percentage of new cases are asymptomatic I think.
If, as the Italian & Spanish doctors say they have observed, the virus has significantly weakened, and the majority of new cases now are very mild or asymptomatic, then test and protect becomes a bit pointless.
No point having people isolating for 14 days and locking everything down if we reach a stage where the virus causes only a small minority to experience more than a cough.
I would hope the SG are aware of, and consider, the above.

Surely that is more down to limiting the viral load through measures like lockdown and more so since measures eased, social distancing ?

Course it is.

Long, long way to go with this. In fact only a vaccine (if it ever comes), or the infamous 'herd immunity' will put this to bed. 

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54 minutes ago, Todd_is_God said:

Pretty farcical tbh.

If a 2nd wave was to happen, it'll happen before then.

Unless of course by "full speed" they mean at maximum capacity which is something we wouldn't want to be seeing at all

2nd wave in the winter. Everything will be getting back to normal then the tsunami will come but we'll be better prepared.

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24 minutes ago, Billy Jean King said:
14 hours ago, Todd_is_God said:
It would be useful to know what percentage of new cases are asymptomatic I think.
If, as the Italian & Spanish doctors say they have observed, the virus has significantly weakened, and the majority of new cases now are very mild or asymptomatic, then test and protect becomes a bit pointless.
No point having people isolating for 14 days and locking everything down if we reach a stage where the virus causes only a small minority to experience more than a cough.
I would hope the SG are aware of, and consider, the above.

Surely that is more down to limiting the viral load through measures like lockdown and more so since measures eased, social distancing ?

Yes. One of the blood cancer Doctors I follow says much the same as this.

 

 

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21 minutes ago, doulikefish said:

Given they tested positive before the schools reopened, your headline there is very clickbait like.

You should work in media.

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