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Coronavirus (COVID-19)


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1 hour ago, Granny Danger said:

Not sure what’s worse, the details of that story or the Sun’s ability to pick up every prurient story going about.

Instagram model threatens to 'f*** mum's husband' after being asked to stop filming raunchy content 'in front of kids' in wealthy Chelsea street

I hope everyone watched this video below the square go story.

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Germany unfortunately putting paid to any hopes of the lockdown being lifted soon, I think - https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/germany-ready-to-tighten-lockdown-as-coronavirus-cases-climb-again-jgbsl5xp6

Germany looking to reimplement the measures that were recently relaxed due to rising cases.

 

Edited by Michael W
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54 minutes ago, The DA said:

Without lockdown, the government's own projections were 500K deaths.  Less than 1% of the population but the high R0 should temper that 'low' death rate.

The 500k figure was provided by the Imperial College model led by Neal Ferguson, whose previous effort at forecasting the foot and mouth epidemic in 2001 was piss-poor. They have no idea whether that was a credible figure or not -  but it certainly suited the government when attempting a massive U turn from business as usual to a lockdown and so here we are with it as the apparent benchmark.

This mess ought to do for public health 'experts' like Whitty, Ferguson, Leitch etc  what the financial crash did for neoliberal economists. Instead of accepting unquestioningly their ever revisionist daily hot take as The Expert Advice, their claims should be constantly scrutinised and above all compared to what is taking place in other countries. If those differences in policy can't be explained with a logically coherent argument - no pointing back to your shiny model again - then governments should consult a wider circle of opinion in the field. The public dissent from academics and medical specialists about the UK's 'expert-led approach' was early and frequent.

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8 minutes ago, virginton said:

The 500k figure was provided by the Imperial College model led by Neal Ferguson, whose previous effort at forecasting the foot and mouth epidemic in 2001 was piss-poor. They have no idea whether that was a credible figure or not -  but it certainly suited the government when attempting a massive U turn from business as usual to a lockdown and so here we are with it as the apparent benchmark.

Bored are we, that is from the Spectator article that someone posted a couple of weeks ago. 

 

Quote

This mess ought to do for public health 'experts' like Whitty, Ferguson, Leitch etc  what the financial crash did for neoliberal economists

"I dont know what I am talking about but I am bloody sure I am right!"

Steer clear of them 5G phone masts. 

 

 

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Without lockdown, the government's own projections were 500K deaths.  Less than 1% of the population but the high R0 should temper that 'low' death rate.
The other diseases in the high risk group are things like haemorrhagic fevers, Ebola, SARS, etc, which have far higher case fatality rates than covid 19.
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1 hour ago, Michael W said:

Germany unfortunately putting paid to any hopes of the lockdown being lifted soon, I think - https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/germany-ready-to-tighten-lockdown-as-coronavirus-cases-climb-again-jgbsl5xp6

Germany looking to reimplement the measures that were recently relaxed due to rising cases.

 

I saw something about this and had a look as I hadn't seen anything about Germany beyond a further hurdle to the restart of the Bundesliga being cleared.

New infections are falling, but R0 is increasing (from 0.9 to 1.0), with a margin of error anywhere between 0.8 & 1.1

How can the rate of infection increase if the number of new cases falls?

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3 hours ago, Mark Connolly said:

If you don't want to link the Sun, don't link the Sun. But don't link the Sun and then apologise for it.

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Contacted them today and they can process paperwork sent by email.  Housing association are looking at ways of signing the lease.  It's just the issue of having the place I'm in empty for three days before a removal firm will do the move.  The other property has been empty so just need to work out a way to vacate this place for those days.  Get un touch with local authorities and they can process some things. 

Tent oot the backdoor. (If you have one - backdoor,not a tent).
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