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Playoff Picture/Race for the number 1 pick


lichtie23

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On 26/11/2019 at 08:31, mrpaddyx said:

I'm stating the obvious but If the Ravens lose to the 49ers this week it probably hands the AFC number 1 seed to the Patriots. Which is key as the only way I can see the Pats getting to the Superbowl is by having the play off games in Foxboro

Won't happen. Look at the success Kyler Murray had against the 9ers defence. Jackson is going to torch them.

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7 hours ago, peasy23 said:
11 hours ago, die hard doonhamer said:
Won't happen. Look at the success Kyler Murray had against the 9ers defence. Jackson is going to torch them.

And who won both those games?

San Fran won because Arizona have one of the worst defences in the league. I'm not kidding when I say I expect a Ravens win by more than a couple of touchdowns.

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NFC looking pretty clear cut, AFC less so.

Clinching scenarios for week 14

AFC

CLINCHED: None

BALTIMORE RAVENS (10-2) (at Buffalo (9-3), Sunday, 1:00 PM ET, CBS)

Baltimore clinches AFC North division title with:

1) BAL win + PIT loss or tie OR
2) BAL tie + PIT loss

Baltimore clinches playoff berth with:

1) BAL win OR
2) BAL tie + HOU loss or tie OR
3) BAL tie + TEN loss or tie OR
4) HOU loss + IND loss or tie + OAK-TEN tie

BUFFALO BILLS (9-3) (vs. Baltimore (10-2), Sunday, 1:00 PM ET, CBS)

Buffalo clinches playoff berth with:

1) BUF win + OAK loss or tie + HOU loss + IND loss or tie

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (8-4) (at New England (10-2), Sunday, 4:25 PM ET, CBS)

Kansas City clinches AFC West division title with:

1)KC win + OAK loss

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (10-2) (vs. Kansas City (8-4), Sunday, 4:25 PM ET, CBS)

New England clinches playoff berth with:

1) NE win OR
2) NE tie + PIT loss OR
3) NE tie + HOU loss or tie OR
4) NE tie + TEN loss or tie OR
5) HOU loss + IND loss or tie + OAK-TEN tie

NFC

CLINCHED: New Orleans Saints -- NFC South Division

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (10-2) (at New Orleans (10-2), Sunday, 1:00 PM ET, FOX)

San Francisco clinches playoff berth with:

1) SF win + LAR loss or tie OR
2) SF tie + LAR loss

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (10-2) (at L.A. Rams (7-5), Sunday, 8:20 PM ET, NBC)

Seattle clinches playoff berth with:

1) SEA win or tie

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AFC

CLINCHED:

Baltimore Ravens – playoff berth

Kansas City Chiefs – AFC West Division

BALTIMORE RAVENS (11-2) (vs. N.Y. Jets (5-8), Thursday, 8:20 PM ET, FOX/NFLN/Amazon)

Baltimore clinches AFC North division title with:

  •   BAL win or tie OR
  •   PIT loss or tie

Baltimore clinches a first-round bye with:

  •    BAL win + NE loss OR
  •    BAL win + KC loss or tie OR
  •    BAL tie + KC loss

Baltimore clinches home-field advantage throughout AFC playoffs with:

1) BAL win + NE loss + KC loss or tie

BUFFALO BILLS (9-4) (at Pittsburgh (8-5), Sunday, 8:20 PM ET, NBC)

Buffalo clinches playoff berth with:

  • BUF win

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (10-3) (at Cincinnati (1-12), Sunday, 1:00 PM ET, CBS)

New England clinches playoff berth with:

  • NE win or tie

NFC

CLINCHED:

New Orleans Saints – NFC South Division

GREEN BAY PACKERS (10-3) (vs. Chicago (7-6), Sunday, 1:00 PM ET, FOX)

Green Bay clinches playoff berth with:

  • GB win + LAR loss or tie OR
  • GB tie + LAR loss

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (11-2) (vs. Atlanta (4-9), Sunday, 4:25 PM ET, FOX)

San Francisco clinches playoff berth with:

  • SF win or tie OR
  • LAR loss or tie OR
  • MIN loss + GB loss

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (10-3) (at Carolina (5-8), Sunday, 1:00 PM ET, FOX)

Seattle clinches playoff berth with:

  • SEA win + LAR loss or tie OR
  • SEA win + MIN loss OR
  • SEA win + GB loss + MIN tie OR
  • SEA tie + LAR loss
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The NFC race is pretty simple, Philly has to win their last two games. Seedings a bit more complicated and probably easier to wait until week 16 is over

The AFC has a weird quirk where the Tennessee game tonight means nothing for them (tho it does for the Saints)

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The Browns and Raiders are still technically alive but need to win out and hope for a lot of other results to fall their way.

In terms of seedings, Baltimore, NE , and KC hold the keys to the 1, 2, and 3 seeds in that order. The Bills are guaranteed to be the 5 seed and will play either the Texans if the Chiefs finish with a better record or the Chiefs if KC and Houston end up with the same overall record.

Cincy have a 72% chance of the #1 pick per DVOA rankings.

 

 

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