General Election 2019 - AND IT’S LIVE!

[doulikefish]

Dec the 12th it is

[John Lambies Doos]

Right then. Friday 13th December will be submitted for Annual Leave in the morning!!

[John Lambies Doos]

Priti Patel's backend is fucking huge..

Facially she is a solid wid but then it goes completely down south

[John Lambies Doos]

Jo Swinson wearing an English poppy... Says it all tbh...
Yes I know, wrong thread.

[dorlomin]

Out of all UK constituencies 242 voted remain, 406 voted leave. 

Out of seat Labour won in 2017, 84 voted remain, 148 voted leave. 

Overwhelmingly Lab\Con swing constituencies  are leave. 

Jeremy Corbyn remains the most unpopular leader of the opposition in the polling record. 

With the expectation of a Tory majority as the election draws close I do expect Labour's polling to improve, people will hold their noses in disgust once more and vote for a clown to try to stop a buffoon. 

The Tories will be 13 Scottish seats down, but I would not be surprised to see them pick some of them up in England. 

 

1.		Southampton Itchen	South East	31	0.03%
2.		Glasgow South West	Scotland	60	0.08%
3.		Glasgow East	Scotland	75	0.10%
4.		Arfon	Wales	92	0.16%
5.		Airdrie and Shotts	Scotland	195	0.26%
6.		Pudsey	Yorkshire and the Humber	331	0.31%
7.		Hastings and Rye	South East	346	0.32%
8.		Chipping Barnet	London	353	0.32%
9.		Thurrock	East of England	345	0.34%
10.		Lanark and Hamilton East	Scotland	360	0.36%
11.		Preseli Pembrokeshire	Wales	314	0.37%
12.		Motherwell and Wishaw	Scotland	318	0.38%
13.		Inverclyde	Scotland	384	0.49%
14.		Calder Valley	Yorkshire and the Humber	609	0.52%
15.		Norwich North	East of England	507	0.55%
16.		Broxtowe	East Midlands	863	0.78%
17.		Stoke-on-Trent South	West Midlands	663	0.80%
18.		Telford	West Midlands	720	0.81%
19.		Dunfermline and Fife West	Scotland	844	0.83%
20.		Bolton West	North West	936	0.92%

http://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/labour

7 of Labours target seats are SNP help. No fucking chance. 

Arfon (PC) was remain. 

Chipping Barnet is the only other remain seat in their top 20 targets. Its a bloody grim list. 

I think Kensington and Warwick are their only non Scottish remain seats in the top 20 most marginal. 

http://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/defence/labour#UKParliament

I was utterly desperate for a second referendum before a general election. 

 

 

But again, Labour will likely close on the Tories in the final weeks. But I cannot see them flipping many leave seats held by the Tories without some god awful f**k up by Bo Jo. 

 

There was a rumour about giving EU citizens a vote, I dont think it will pass but its a straw I can cling too. 

 

Sorry one plus side,

http://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/liberal-democrat#UKParliament

Lib Dem strength should take seats of the Tories. 12 of there top 20 targets are Tory, they could go some way to stopping an outright Tory majority. 

Edited October 29, 2019 by dorlomin

[tbsouth]

3 minutes ago, John Lambies Doos said:

15 minutes ago, tbsouth said:

Priti Patel's backend is fucking huge..

Facially she is a solid wid but then it goes completely down south

Does she come under BBW or SBBW ?

[Arch Stanton]

Two Tory  votes in the poll, the Hamilton fiveheid and who else?

[Michael W]

This sums up the current Parliament, really - a day wasted for no reason at all. 

Should've just done it yesterday. 

[doulikefish]

There was no date in johnsons bill yesterday.It could have allowed him to have an election after the 31st of Jan so there was a no deal brexit.Todays bill had a date [emoji6]

This sums up the current Parliament, really - a day wasted for no reason at all. 
Should've just done it yesterday. 

[John Lambies Doos]

Does she come under BBW or SBBW ?

She really is the opposite of the cliche bag over the head whilst pumping her.
In her case it would be face in view and bag over the body [emoji23][emoji23][emoji23]

[tbsouth]

3 minutes ago, John Lambies Doos said:

She really is the opposite of the cliche bag over the head whilst pumping her.
In her case it would be face in view and bag over the body

You can just see it.....sitting in a boozer and you see this dark haired 'thing' in the corner....and you think she's alright.....you give her a smile and she smiles back....then she gets up to go to the toilet and waddles past you...then you leg it!!

[Guest Bob Mahelp]

Watch out for the 'Brexit Party in electoral pact with Tories' announcement.

 

 

[Granny Danger]

Anyone any idea who voted with the Tories for the 12th over the 9th?

[alr]

31 minutes ago, Granny Danger said:

Anyone any idea who voted with the Tories for the 12th over the 9th?

The DUP, the 'ex-Tories', 3 Change MPs and Kate Hoey, of course.

[sureiknow]

I'm really looking forward to Anna Sourface Sourbry getting the Boot.

Oh what joy.

[Bedford White]

6 hours ago, bennett said:

It'll surely be too dark and cold to vote, people will get lost going to the polling stations or eaten by polar bears.

 

SNP majority in Scotland,  35 to 40 seats.

Tories to keep most of their Scottish seats due to kunts voting tactically against the SNP. 

Boris to win the Brexit vote.

Steptoe Corbyn to be replaced as labour leader.

 

JC has seen off Cameron, May and the PLP twice. Write him off at your peril. BAME vote not going to vote for Johnson after his watermelon and pillar box statements. Public sector vote not going to go his way after 10 years of austerity. On benefits = universal credit no fucking chance. Women= why vote for a misogynistic Trump. This will be anything but a Brexit election imo especially when Labour get equal media share and their radical manifesto  is announced.

I will be campaigning in Bedford which is seen as No 1 bellweather seat and can see a route to No 10 as Johnson has ran out of potential partners. He will obviously lose seats in Scotland, London (he is desperate to jump ship from Uxbridge as he could be unseated) and South West. It is assumed Labour leavers will vote Tory- Labour voters voted in the same % numbers as SNP for remain- they didn't in 2017 due to a visceral hatred of Tories and I don't think they will in 2019. Indeed every Labour leave constituency May visited in 2017 she lost. 

Bring it on. Let's get rid of the fuckers.

 

http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2019/10/29/the-general-election-identifying-the-top-bell-weather-seats/

Edited October 30, 2019 by Bedford White

[DAFC.]

Right then. Friday 13th December will be submitted for Annual Leave in the morning!!

In my work, you have to have holidays in for December by September, so I’ll not be able to take it off, despite the fact not one member of my team is off, at training etc that day. Might have to conveniently catch the flu that week.

[Donathan]

Prediction (Scotland):

SNP: 50

Tories: 4 (the three border seats, and one in Aberdeenshire)

Lib Dems: 3 (Edinburgh West, East Dunbartonshire, Orkney and Shetland)

Labour 2: (Edinburgh South and East Lothian)

UK-wide:

Conservatives: 287 (-31)
Labour: 249 (-13)
SNP: 50 (+15)
Lib Dems: 42 (+30)
Plaid Cymru: 3 (-1)
Greens: 1 (0)
OTHERS: 18 (0)


Something like this means Jo Swinson is the kingmaker. She can either team up with Corbyn and the SNP to deliver a people’s vote, or she can work with the Tories who are more economically up her street but at the price that she would have to vote for his deal

[RH33]

Hopefully Swinston gets emptied. She’s a Tory in Lib Dem clothing. As are many of them these days.

i moved house but I made sure I updated electoral roll. Just checked and turns out even with town move im still in Gavin Newlands territory.

No longer have a party allegiance and frankly fed up of the shambles.

Kids will be happy, their new school is a polling station!

[LongTimeLurker]

12 hours ago, Andrew Wells said:

35 to 40 seats

People treated that with derision last time around as well. The strength of the Lib Dems right now probably helps the SNP in the central belt though as it further splinters the pro-Union vote. On the flip side NE Fife will be going to the Lib Dems.