Brexit Vote poll

[ICTChris]

What do people think the result will be of the Brexit vote tomorrow?  Not what you want to happen but what you think will happen.

If it's a deada heat then John Bercow will use his casting vote as Speaker.  If I remember accurately, convention says that the Speaker should vote with the government on a tied whipped vote, meaning he'd be expected to pass the deal.  I think the last time this happened may have been in one of the Maastricht votes when Betty Boothroyd voted with John Major's government despite her having previously been a Labour MP.

I think it'll pass by less than ten votes.

[ICTChris]

Having checked up on it, Jon Bercow had to use his casting vote a few months back.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Speaker_Denison's_rule

[DrewDon]

Initially I thought it would be narrowly rejected, but reading Stephen Bush's article tonight makes me now think it will pass narrowly instead. 

[hearthammer]

The (some)  Labour MPs who sit in Leaver constituencies are likely to go with the Government to protect their sorry asses come the next GE. 

Pass by a very narrow margin.

 

Bring on Indy 2 next year.

[Blootoon87]

Aye I'll guess it'll pass by 8 votes.

[ICTJohnboy]

Just about the last thing I want to see, but I agree it will more than likely pass by around 4 or 5 votes.

[Cerberus]

Postponed.

[Kejan]

It'll pass by 8 votes.

 

[Donathan]

What do people think the result will be of the Brexit vote tomorrow?  Not what you want to happen but what you think will happen.
If it's a deada heat then John Bercow will use his casting vote as Speaker.  If I remember accurately, convention says that the Speaker should vote with the government on a tied whipped vote, meaning he'd be expected to pass the deal.  I think the last time this happened may have been in one of the Maastricht votes when Betty Boothroyd voted with John Major's government despite her having previously been a Labour MP.
I think it'll pass by less than ten votes.

The speaker can only vote in line with precedents and conventions, their own personal opinion cannot come into consideration. The two main conventions are as follows:

(1) For a “preliminary” reading of a bill, vote to encourage further debate. So this would usually mean voting in favour of a further reading.

(2) For the final reading of a bill, the house can only pass bills if a majority support it, therefore in a tied situation the speaker will vote against the bill.

[bennett]

Defeated by two votes.

[pawpar]

It will get passed. The only way Scotland will become independent is when it finally gets it's head out of the sand and realises that England will NEVER give us the right to vote for independence. We should at that point do what Ireland did to get independence and take up arms.

[Colkitto]

Pass by 4 votes

[DeeTillEhDeh]

If it passes then every Labour MP who votes for it should rot in hell.

[Melanius Mullarkey]

Pass by 6.

[Blootoon87]

It was slight odds on to pass last night, odds have been slashed and now it's 4/7 to fail. Interesting.

[Guest Jedi]

Postponed as well by the Letwin ammendment and then voted down (if it ever even comes to a vote) 3 month extension and a GE

Edited October 19, 2019 by Jedi

[ICTChris]

Oliver Letwin ruined my poll.

[Melanius Mullarkey]

Just now, ICTChris said:

Oliver Letwin ruined my poll.

 

[Brother Blades]

Oliver Letwin ruined my pole.

FTFY.
For clarification please refer to Kenneth Williams gif.

[peternapper]

It seems it makes no odds what is decided in parliament, we now have a dictatorship  as Boris just says he will carry on regardless, jail is the best place for him preferably in a padded cell