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Scotland vs Argentina - Wednesday 19th June, 8pm


HibsFan

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13 minutes ago, Blootoon87 said:

Just had a quick look through the groups and if, and it's a big if, we beat Argentina then you just know that Chile will batter Thailand.

Fortunately we have another blind chance with NZ v Cameroon. 

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42 minutes ago, Blootoon87 said:

Just had a quick look through the groups and if, and it's a big if, we beat Argentina then you just know that Chile will batter Thailand.

Nah, NZ will beat Cameroon 3-1 and they'll put us out on fair play points.

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13 minutes ago, DavidMcG said:

Apologies if covered elsewhere but after tonight's games, is it win and we are through?

Not yet, but we only need one more group to go our way from the 3 others left to complete. 

 

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Being born in '97 my Chances of Scotland getting out the group calculator has never been used but it's getting a battering here.

As soon as it's confirmed I'll book the flights to Lyon and then hope we can get a train to Grenoble

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2 minutes ago, DavidMcG said:

So what results are we wanting from the other games?

By the time of our game tomorrow night,  could we go into it knowing 100% - win and we are through?

Our game is Wednesday. 

Only one group is played tomorrow. We need either Italy to beat Brazil by 3 goals, or even more improbably Jamaica to beat Australia.

So it's likely that even if we do win we'll have left a target to aim for. 

 

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OK, here's the way I'm figuring it. Scotland need to beat Argentina, so I'm going to work with a 1 goal win. More than that, will of course be better.

Group A:
Nigeria. Scotland would finish ahead of them on Goal Difference.

Group B:
China or Spain. Doesn't matter. Scotland will finish behind whichever one it is.

Group C:
Brazil, Australia or (unlikely) Jamaica. Currently +3, +1 and -9 on Goal Difference compared to Scotland. (Remember Scotland are winning by 1 goal)
Wide open. If Australia and Brazil win (probable and possible) Scotland would finish behind them both. Likewise, if both games are drawn. Mostly likely, this will come down to goal difference against Brazil, with Scotland lagging. Big wins by Italy over Brazil or better yet, Jamaica over Australia would be nice.

Group D:
Scotland to finish 3rd.

Group E:
Cameroon or New Zealand. Currently -4 and -4 compared to Scotland, which is encouraging but still no guarantee. Depends on whether one of them beats the other by 5+ goals.

Group F:
Chile or (unlikely) Thailand. Realistically, Chile will beat Thailand and while they're currently well behind Scotland on GD (-6), they could rack up a cricket score here, especially as they'll know how many are required.

In my opinion, assuming Scotland win on Wednesday, then Cameroon vs. New Zealand will be the game that decides their fate. Let's hope for a low score.
 

 

Edited by Shotgun
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2 minutes ago, Lurkst said:

Our game is Wednesday. 

Only one group is played tomorrow. We need either Italy to beat Brazil by 3 goals, or even more improbably Jamaica to beat Australia.

So it's likely that even if we do win we'll have left a target to aim for. 

 

You're assuming that we only win by a single goal. If Italy beat Brazil 1-0 then we'd be dead level with them with a 3-0 win.

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If Scotland do beat Argentina on Wednesday they would have, given the group, a very respectable goal difference. Yet it's still quite possible they'll be going home all the same. Frickin' harsh, but that's fitba.

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8 hours ago, Shotgun said:

OK, here's the way I'm figuring it. Scotland need to beat Argentina, so I'm going to work with a 1 goal win. More than that, will of course be better.

Group A:
Nigeria. Scotland would finish ahead of them on Goal Difference.

Group B:
China or Spain. Doesn't matter. Scotland will finish behind whichever one it is.

Group C:
Brazil, Australia or (unlikely) Jamaica. Currently +3, +1 and -9 on Goal Difference compared to Scotland. (Remember Scotland are winning by 1 goal)
Wide open. If Australia and Brazil win (probable and possible) Scotland would finish behind them both. Likewise, if both games are drawn. Mostly likely, this will come down to goal difference against Brazil, with Scotland lagging. Big wins by Italy over Brazil or better yet, Jamaica over Australia would be nice.

Group D:
Scotland to finish 3rd.

Group E:
Cameroon or New Zealand. Currently -4 and -4 compared to Scotland, which is encouraging but still no guarantee. Depends on whether one of them beats the other by 5+ goals.

Group F:
Chile or (unlikely) Thailand. Realistically, Chile will beat Thailand and while they're currently well behind Scotland on GD (-6), they could rack up a cricket score here, especially as they'll know how many are required.

In my opinion, assuming Scotland win on Wednesday, then Cameroon vs. New Zealand will be the game that decides their fate. Let's hope for a low score.
 

 

Group C - Italy can put Brazil behind us, but only if they beat them by four if we win by one, three if we win by two, etc.

Group E - if NZ win by two more goals than we do, and score at least two more goals than we do (ie 3-1 and 1-0, 4-2 and 2-0), they'd beat us on fair play points (unless they get three more bookings than we do). If Cameroon win by three more goals than us, that would put us out too. It could also come down to fair play points with Cameroon, they currently have 2 more bookings than us.

Group F - Chile need to win by four more than we do.

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14 hours ago, Shotgun said:

If Scotland do beat Argentina on Wednesday they would have, given the group, a very respectable goal difference. Yet it's still quite possible they'll be going home all the same. Frickin' harsh, but that's fitba.

It isn't harsh, though, is it? We've lost two games where we haven't played to our own expectations. In most sensible competitions we'd be out. Harsh is what happened to Scotland in the World Cup in 1974: through to the last 16 and even then unbeaten, including against the world champions, but still out.

Here we have a chance against Argentina who have been organised so far – more than can be said for us. But  they've been hounded recently by teams like South Korea, Chile and New Zealand. And against us they can't play the defensive game that has got them a point so far. If our players - particularly Little and Weir - can live up to their pre-World Cup billing, we should beat them comfortably. If that gets us through, then great. But hard to say we deserve it over Nigeria.

Edited by Mr Heliums
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