stevoraith Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 In fact, if you break down the performance of the top three into quarters of the season, you can see exactly where it was won and lost. Quarter 1 2 3 4 Arbroath 21 24 15 10 Forfar 9 15 22 17 Raith 17 18 9 16 Forfar had a phenomenal 3rd quarter, on a par with the performance of Arbroath in the first two quarters, but their shite 1st quarter left them with too much to do. Had their 1st quarter performance been on a par with even their worst of the other three then the title goes down to the wire. Raith were relatively consistent, with the exception of a shite 3rd quarter. If they'd returned the same points in that quarter as in the other three then the title goes to the wire. Arbroath won it in the first two quarters. The third was mediocre and the fourth was downright poor, although you could argue they wrapped up the title with a few games to play so took their foot off the gas. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlipperyP Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 1 hour ago, stevoraith said: The point was Arbroath got 20 points less in the second half of the season than they did in the first. 10 points less than we'd managed in the first half, and most folk said we had a shite first half to the season. So if we hadn't been so monumentally shite in the second half of the season (the exact same haul of points that Arbroath had) then it would have been a much closer title race. And in the exact same manner, Forfar had a far superior second half of the season and had they collected more than their relatively poor 24 points in the first half of the season they would have been genuine title contenders too. Aye, if yer maw had baws....yer uncle would be your auntie. Lang Toon Style 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stevoraith Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 Fuckin hell, some folk just really dinnae like the Rovers eh? Never mind. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 Fuckin hell, some folk just really dinnae like the Rovers eh? Never mind. As bad as the East Fife fans. The yokels have a real bee in their bonnet about the Raith Rovers fans. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
7 Eleven Posted June 16, 2019 Author Share Posted June 16, 2019 Tonight’s charts should be looked at together. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
7 Eleven Posted June 20, 2019 Author Share Posted June 20, 2019 The possession data that I have collected comes from the BBC results ‘match stats’. I don’t know how they work it out or how accurate it is (not very is my opinion). There were lots of games where the possession was 51% vs. 49%. I don’t think that 2% difference has any impact on the final outcome of a match. Anyway, based on the previous three charts and league averages, when out performing the opposition in: - shots on target you have ~60% chance of winning - total shots you have ~50% chance of winning - possession you have ~44% chance of winning 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
7 Eleven Posted June 20, 2019 Author Share Posted June 20, 2019 The difference between teams possession data is minimal. Having watched Raith under McGlynn it is unsurprising that they are top with their patient build-up. It is also unsurprising that Brechin have the lowest possession due to their low block. This League is definitely a 50-50 second ball league. Maybe some managers will be a bit more creative with their styles of play next season. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Old Diamond Posted June 20, 2019 Share Posted June 20, 2019 Is the possession data based on that published on the BBC? Always thought that the BBC statistics were wildly inaccurate, especially at our level. Who actually sits and compiles this data, is there someone at each ground with a set of stopwatches and a chart accurately recording the game as it happens? Given the standard of match reports in most of the press I would doubt it 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
7 Eleven Posted June 20, 2019 Author Share Posted June 20, 2019 3 hours ago, Old Diamond said: Is the possession data based on that published on the BBC? Always thought that the BBC statistics were wildly inaccurate, especially at our level. Who actually sits and compiles this data, is there someone at each ground with a set of stopwatches and a chart accurately recording the game as it happens? Given the standard of match reports in most of the press I would doubt it Yes the possession data is based on that published by the BBC. There is usually someone sitting in the press section who collects the data via an app. I think they do it for a data provider opposed to someone working for the BBC directly (i.e., it’s the same data provided to all media sources). Clubs at this level would be better collecting their own data and double checking it with video footage of the matches. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sonsanorak Posted June 20, 2019 Share Posted June 20, 2019 The difference between teams possession data is minimal. Having watched Raith under McGlynn it is unsurprising that they are top with their patient build-up. It is also unsurprising that Brechin have the lowest possession due to their low block. This League is definitely a 50-50 second ball league. Maybe some managers will be a bit more creative with their styles of play next season. Low block, que? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
7 Eleven Posted June 20, 2019 Author Share Posted June 20, 2019 PPG = Points Per Game 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
7 Eleven Posted June 22, 2019 Author Share Posted June 22, 2019 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
7 Eleven Posted June 23, 2019 Author Share Posted June 23, 2019 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hank Scorpio Posted June 24, 2019 Share Posted June 24, 2019 Folk must’ve made a fortune on us with BTTS last season. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
7 Eleven Posted June 24, 2019 Author Share Posted June 24, 2019 Historical League Data 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Moonster Posted June 24, 2019 Share Posted June 24, 2019 On 20/06/2019 at 21:24, 7 Eleven said: PPG = Points Per Game If someone could send this over to Stevie Aitken/The Sun/The Daily Record next time he harps on about how unfairly treated he was that would be great, thanks. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
7 Eleven Posted June 26, 2019 Author Share Posted June 26, 2019 The Future 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mic_17_uk Posted July 28, 2019 Share Posted July 28, 2019 The FutureLegend. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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