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Average Attendancewatch


HibeeJibee

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Crowds are being collated for the senior pyramid this season - except in Highland League - and with most of the system playing internationals or cup ties this weekend it seemed an obvious point to look at where they stood at this early stage of the season. These are league only averages (except in South of Scotland League where they're an average of league games and cup-ties).

It makes interesting reading:


57,640     Celtic
49,601     Rangers
17,966     Hearts
17,639     Hibs
15,774     Aberdeen
   6,740     Kilmarnock
   6,457     Motherwell
   5,988     Dundee
   5,797     St Mirren
   5,198     Dundee Utd
   4,942     St Johnstone
   4,849     Dunfermline
   4,620     Livingston
   4,499     Falkirk
   4,344     Ross County
   3,086     Partick
   2,679     Ayr
   2,543     Hamilton
   2,275     Inverness
   2,093     Morton
   1,899     Queen of the South
   1,712     Raith
   1,198     Alloa
       894     Montrose
       850     Airdrie
       821     Arbroath
       679     Queen's Park
       622     Dumbarton
       616     Stirling Albion
       602     Peterhead
       597     Elgin
       590     Clyde
       584     East Fife
       560     Forfar
       551     Stenhousemuir
       486     Berwick
       446     Brechin
       437     Annan

       398     Bonnyrigg
       356     Stranraer
       336     Kelty
       334     Cowdenbeath
       297     Edinburgh City

       274     Musselburgh
       270     Linlithgow
       267     Bo'ness
       259     Albion Rovers
       257     Tranent
       229     Camelon
       222     Spartans
       213     East Kilbride
       190     East Stirlingshire
       151     Penicuik
       143     Dundonald
       141     Broxburn
       141     Cumbernauld
       136     Gala
       134     Newtongrange
       132     Dalbeattie
       132     Whitehill
       131     Crossgates
       120     Arniston
       119     Dunbar
       117     Inverkeithing
       109     Dunipace
       104     Vale of Leithen
       103     Burntisland
       103     Coldstream
       103     Sauchie
       101     Oakley
       100     Threave
          96     Hill of Beath
          91     Lochmaben
          91     Newton Stewart
          89     BSCG
          88     Ormiston
          87     Gretna
          87     St Andrews
          86     Mid Annandale
          85     Peebles
          83     University of Stirling
          80     Nithsdale
          79     Haddington
          77     Preston
          73     Edinburgh University
          73     Tweedmouth
          71     Easthouses
          69     Jeanfield
          67     Civil Service
          67     Dalkeith
          65     St Cuthbert
          64     Eyemouth
          64     Tynecastle
          60     Blackburn
          54     Wigtown
          53     LTHV
          52     Abbey Vale
          52     Upper Annandale
          51     Edinburgh Utd
          49     Dumfries YMCA
          48     Craigroyston
          48     Heston
          47     Creetown
          46     Selkirk
          42     Lochar
          40     Edusport Academy
          38     Hawick
          35     Heriot-Watt University
          33     Leith
          28     Bonnyton



Note: average for Dunipace is based on only 2 games as they were having 3G laid and it only opened at the end of September. Selkirk folded, and their average is based on 2 games they played beforehand.

I'll update it a few times as the season progresses.

Edited by HibeeJibee
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They report doubling ST sales with the move... However their average is currently inflated by having drawn 415 v Linlithgow in a derby game on the September international break: their other home crowds have been between 100 and 172, and the league games without Linlithgow average 135. As the season goes on it is more likely to settle down somewhere in the mid-100s, I'd suspect. e.g. everything else averaging 135 = overall average 160. Equally of course, some clubs will settle upward.

Edited by HibeeJibee
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10 minutes ago, Arch Stanton said:

@HibeeJibee why have you placed Dundee United above St. Mirren given their relative averages?

Hanlon's Razor:

"Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity."

In this case, a simple error I would assume as opposed to some sort of deep-seated, ingrained hatred of your club!

Edited by cmontheloknow
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2 minutes ago, EpicMike said:

Very interesting. Is there a breakdown of average home attendances only?

That might be possible higher up, but most clubs don't have segregation. The figures for the East and South of Scotland leagues are mostly headcounts taken by fans, too.

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15 hours ago, HibeeJibee said:


   1,712     Raith
   1,198     Alloa

 

Nice work HJ.

One thing that jumped out at me is the gap between the full time and part time clubs - the best supported part-time club have two-thirds of the average attendance of the worst-supported full-time club, even though they are in a higher division with much bigger travelling supports.

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4 minutes ago, GordonS said:

That might be possible higher up, but most clubs don't have segregation. The figures for the East and South of Scotland leagues are mostly headcounts taken by fans, too.

My query mostly concerns the top tier, attendances can be skewed by clubs playing the OF or Edinburgh clubs at home more often than others. As a result the overall attendances show very high numbers despite the home crowds being considerably less than this. I think this is why Livingston are so high despite their small following, they've played both Hibs and Rangers at home with the latter game being 70% full of away supporters.

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You only get figures for away fans at some of the big clubs AFAIA, and they aren't officially collated anywhere.

Your point is correct, though as I say they'll settle out as the season progresses... also the phenomenon occurs at all levels. Inverkeithing are a new club in the EOS League and they've played 4 home league games so far with crowds of 65, 85, 90 and 225 (which was against Linlithgow in their opening game): away fans were in the majority and there were a good smattering of neutrals. It seems unlikely that any of their remaining games will approach that and so - as with Livingston - their average will slowly fall as they play more "run-of-the-mill" games to lower crowds.

By the same token some clubs have not played a home derby or 'big' opponent yet.

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51 minutes ago, GordonS said:

Nice work HJ.

One thing that jumped out at me is the gap between the full time and part time clubs - the best supported part-time club have two-thirds of the average attendance of the worst-supported full-time club, even though they are in a higher division with much bigger travelling supports.

It's very apparent.

Indeed between QotS on ~1,900 and Queen's Park on <700 there are only 5 clubs, being Raith on 1,700; Alloa on 1,200; and 3 SPFL1 clubs in the 800s. Very rapid fall away.

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While we're talking about the non-league there have been 18 crowds of 300> so far:

1,078     Spartans v Kilmarnock (Scottish League Cup)
    528     Bonnyrigg v Dalkeith
    515     Linlithgow v Fort William (Scottish Cup)
    470     Kelty v Dalbeattie
    426     Bonnyrigg v Tynecastle
    415     Camelon v Linlithgow
    414     Musselburgh v Dunbar
    400     Tranent v Bonnyrigg
    384     Kelty v East Stirlingshire
    350     Bo'ness v Jeanfield (EOS Qualifying League)
    341     Kelty v Dalbeattie (Scottish Cup)
    340     Linlithgow v Penicuik (EOS Qualifying League)
    330     Bo'ness v Leith (EOS Qualifying League)
    320     Bo'ness v LTHV
    320     Linlithgow v Preston
    319     Musselburgh v Dunipace (EOS Qualifying League)
    300     East Kilbride v Selkirk
    300     Linlithgow v Dunbar (EOS Qualifying Cup)



Equally - excluding SOSL clubs - there have been 13 crowds of <30:

       30     BSCG v Edusport
       30     Edusport v Vale of Leithen
       30     Eyemouth v Tynecastle
       30     Heriot-Watt University v Inverkeithing
       30     LTHV v Ormiston (EOS Qualifying League)
       30     Selkirk v Gretna
       30     Tynecastle v Eyemouth
       28     Tweedmouth v Ormiston (EOS Qualifying League)
       26     Leith v Tweedmouth
       25     Heriot-Watt University v Jeanfield (Alex Jack Cup)
       15     Edusport v Edinburgh Uni
       15     Hawick v Burntisland (South Challenge Cup)
       15     LTHV v Easthouses (EOS Qualifying League)

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Can we also have a separate list that penalises clubs 10% of their most recent attendance every time one of their posters on P&B references this thread in a crowdwanking discussion or requests a change to the calculations to meet their own particular agenda?

i know full well that this will generate massive amounts of extra work for you, HJ, but I’m too shit lazy to do it myself.  

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  • 3 months later...

Bump.

Wee update as it stands as of last weekend.


Dundee have jumped 2 places, St Johnstone dropped 2 places and Hamilton jumped 4 places. Interestingly no club sits in the gap between 3,000 and 4,000 which is an intriguing phenomenon - as is Morton the only side between 1,600 and 2,400 and Alloa alone between 950 and 1,500.

Similarly further down only East Fife (who have jumped 6 places) sit in the gap from 600-odd to 800-odd. Queen's Park have dropped 4 places - East Fife jumped 6 places. Again an interesting situation with no-one between 400 and 500.

In what might you call the third band it's notable Kelty, Linlithgow and Bonnyrigg have now moved ahead of Stranraer, Cowdenbeath, and Albion Rovers; indeed Kelty are also ahead of Edinburgh City and right alongside Annan, while Linlithgow are right alongside City, and Albion also rank below Bo'ness.

Some notable risers and fallers in the lowest reaches are - Sauchie (jumped 9 places); Threave (jumped 7); Hill of Beath (jumped 15); Ormiston (dropped 19); Lochmaben (dropped 12); Stirling Uni (jumped 7); Haddington (jumped 17); Easthouses (jumped 24); Dalkeith (jumped 31 - biggest jump of all!); Tynecastle (jumped 11); Blackburn (jumped 11); Wigtown (dropped 7); Edusport (jumped 13); and Heriot-Watt Uni (jumped 16). In some cases normal crowds are low enough for a big derby to "rocket" sides upwards.

Bonnyton remain the worst-supported side in the system. Indeed it would take them 137yrs to reach the same aggregate attendance as a single game at Celtic, the best-supported side.


57,359    Celtic
49,586     Rangers
17,856     Hearts
17,564     Hibs
14,954     Aberdeen
   6,214     Dundee
   5,923     Kilmarnock
   5,725     Motherwell
   5,305     Dundee Utd
   5,289     St Mirren
   4,996     Dunfermline
   4,572     Falkirk
   4,179     St Johnstone
   4,051     Livingston
   4,042     Ross County
   3,075     Hamilton
   2,906     Partick
   2,456     Ayr
   2,442     Inverness
   2,018     Morton
   1,657     Raith
   1,524     Queen of the South
   1,093     Alloa
       962     Arbroath
       815     Montrose
       815     Airdrie
       710     East Fife
       633     Forfar
       619     Dumbarton
       617     Peterhead
       614     Elgin
       605    Stirling Albion
       581     Queen's Park
       559     Clyde
       561     Stenhousemuir
       523     Brechin
       492    Berwick
       398     Annan

       396     Kelty
       362     Edinburgh City
       361     Linlithgow
       346     Bonnyrigg
       338     Stranraer
       334     Cowdenbeath
       280     Bo'ness
       260     Albion Rovers
       225     Tranent
       224     Musselburgh
       193     East Stirlingshire
       185     East Kilbride
       185     Spartans
       183     Penicuik
       182     Camelon
       161     Dundonald
       160     Broxburn

       160     Newtongrange
       141     Dalkeith
       139     Hill of Beath
       130     Gala
       127     Dalbeattie

       126     Dunbar
       117     Easthouses
       117     Sauchie
       113     Arniston
       113     Cumbernauld
       113     Haddington
       110     Whitehill
       109     Threave
       107     Dunipace
          98     Coldstream
          96     Crossgates
          93     Inverkeithing
          91     Vale of Leithen

          89     Gretna
          88     University of Stirling
          87     Oakley
          83     Burntisland
          83     Mid Annandale
          82     Edinburgh University
          82     Tynecastle
          80     Blackburn
          80     BSCG
          80     Preston
          79     St Andrews
          75     Jeanfield
          75     Peebles
          74     Newton Stewart
          74     Nithsdale
          74     Tweedmouth
          70     Civil Service

          66     Lochmaben
          61     Heriot-Watt University
          60     Eyemouth
          57     Edusport Academy
          55     St Cuthbert
          54     Ormiston
          53     LTHV
          51     Abbey Vale
          49     Upper Annandale
          47     Edinburgh Utd

          46     Selkirk
          44     Creetown
          43     Dumfries YMCA
          43     Hawick
          42     Craigroyston
          42     Lochar
          42     Wigtown
          40     Heston
          40     Leith
          28     Bonnyton

(SOSL club figures include cup-ties; handful of other games are missing).

Edited by HibeeJibee
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On ‎11‎/‎10‎/‎2018 at 09:30, stuart87 said:

Camelon’s average has fair went up since they joined the pyramid this season. Last season their average was 90 odd, now they’re up at 229.

 

On ‎11‎/‎10‎/‎2018 at 09:39, HibeeJibee said:

They report doubling ST sales with the move... However their average is currently inflated by having drawn 415 v Linlithgow in a derby game on the September international break: their other home crowds have been between 100 and 172, and the league games without Linlithgow average 135. As the season goes on it is more likely to settle down somewhere in the mid-100s, I'd suspect. e.g. everything else averaging 135 = overall average 160.


Actually they haven't sunk much so far... 182.

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How is it Linlithgow feature in many of the highest attended 'non league's games but their home attendance is only in the 300s. Do they just have a very high percentage of fans who travel to away games? Also, what is it about Kelty v Dalbeattie that causes that game to be so well attended?

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8 minutes ago, Margaret Thatcher said:

Also, what is it about Kelty v Dalbeattie that causes that game to be so well attended?

Dalbeattie at home was their first ever Lowland League game, second one was a Scottish Cup replay with a chance to play Peterhead.

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Why no Highland league figures? Don't they publish them?
Theres very few HL posters on p&b hence they are missing (HL & other northern football is on the fitbanorth forum). The figures are a mix of official sources & headcounts by posters here or sourced from headcounts by folk over at non-league matters (the hub for groundhopping in the UK)
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