David W Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 1 hour ago, Cowden Cowboy said: Based on only losing 3 of their last 13 fixtures surely - thus on their end of season form You only won 4 of the same run of fixtures (with three of those against Clyde/Berwick), and you've lost Renton/Sneddon. Has Carrick gone as well? There's absolutely no reason to have you as fourth favourites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Minertaur Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 3 minutes ago, David W said: You only won 4 of the same run of fixtures (with three of those against Clyde/Berwick), and you've lost Renton/Sneddon. Has Carrick gone as well? There's absolutely no reason to have you as fourth favourites. I don't think CC was saying that we're rightly fourth favorites on form but it's the basis on which the bookies sorted the odds. Carrick is back at Livingston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Pit_Owns Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 Stenny are worth £10 at 8/1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheeseysfc Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 Got to say it's us and Peterhead that will be racing for the title it will be a no bad shout sticking a tenner on Stirling though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
surely not! Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 I don't think CC was saying that we're rightly fourth favorites on form but it's the basis on which the bookies sorted the odds. Carrick is back at Livingston. It can't be that at all. If so, Clyde would be longer and Montrose, annan and city would all be shorter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Am Featha Taigh Nan Clach Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 Cowden got 15 points from their last 13 league games. If you want to count the playoff games, 18 from the last 13.Even taking the best case scenario and extrapolating across the 36 game season, it would have only been good enough for a 6th place finish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
onecowden Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 Cowden got 15 points from their last 13 league games. If you want to count the playoff games, 18 from the last 13.Even taking the best case scenario and extrapolating across the 36 game season, it would have only been good enough for a 6th place finish Yes that's why we are 10/1 against. That means the bookies are giving us a 9% chance of winning the league. I would say that's not far off considering we have more players to sign. That chance will go up or down depending on who we sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Am Featha Taigh Nan Clach Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 I've no issue with Cowden being 10/1, i just find it strange that you're shorter odds than teams who finished well above you and seem to have done much better business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Muzza81 Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 2 hours ago, onecowden said: Yes that's why we are 10/1 against. That means the bookies are giving us a 9% chance of winning the league. I would say that's not far off considering we have more players to sign. That chance will go up or down depending on who we sign. What % does an evens shot have of winning the league? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Muzza81 Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 We should be well down the betting though. You could only make a case for Berwick being below us tbh. We have lost our better players and haven't really added anyone yet. Other teams have strengthened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cowdenbeath Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 Its all a bit silly getting worked up about the odds at the present time As Ivo said earlier its far too early to judge what's what, teams probably won't settle down until the close of the transfer window, that's when the bigger sides start loaning folk out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickenbacker17 Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 8/1 seems a good price. Just going on the signings made so far would be a bit disappointed if the Warriors aren't challenging towards the end of the season. Saying that having Peterhead as favourites sounds right to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Am Featha Taigh Nan Clach Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 I don't think anyone is getting worked up. Clyde being ludicrously short means that there's at least 3 or 4 teams who look good value Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blootoon87 Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 Elgin at 10's? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HenryHill Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 2 hours ago, Blootoon87 said: Elgin at 10's? And pipped to the last playoff space by two letters of the alphabet. Tough season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GMB Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 Peterhead will run away with title. Stirling good for top 4. Clyde could go either way think Annan will struggle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
onecowden Posted June 19, 2017 Share Posted June 19, 2017 What % does an evens shot have of winning the league? 9/1 = 10%. 8/1 = 11.1%. 7/1 = 12.5%. 6/1 = 14.3%. 5/1 = 16.67%. 4/1 = 20%. 3/1 = 25%. 2/1 = 33.3%. 6/4 = 40%. Evs = 50%.1/2 = 66.67%........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neilly Posted June 20, 2017 Share Posted June 20, 2017 18 hours ago, cowdenbeath said: Its all a bit silly getting worked up about the odds at the present time As Ivo said earlier its far too early to judge what's what, teams probably won't settle down until the close of the transfer window, that's when the bigger sides start loaning folk out. I don't see one person getting worked up. A pretty placid conversation about odds at this stage I think everyone is well aware every team has additions to make. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aberdeen Cowden Posted June 20, 2017 Share Posted June 20, 2017 1 hour ago, Neilly said: I don't see one person getting worked up. A pretty placid conversation about odds at this stage I think everyone is well aware every team has additions to make. Pointless thread, but if it's entertaining, carry on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteCollarClyde Posted June 20, 2017 Share Posted June 20, 2017 Fancy a wee flutter on Stenny & Stirling at those prices, made some good signings so far. Why we continue to be so short I'll never know. Complete guessing game at this point mind you. Fancy us to be competing for top 4 maybe but nowhere near winning it by the looks of things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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