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Polling: 2017 General Election, Council Elections and Independence

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12 hours ago, LongTimeLurker said:

The use of better didn't imply optimal. Those numbers would definitely be better for the SNP than the 2017 general election outcome. A lot depends on whether tactical voting is going to be mainly anti-SNP or anti-Tory on how the marginals will pan out this time. The Tories might be piling on voters in central belt constituencies where they have no chance rather than in their areas of strength.

Pretty much what I meant - considering the grim numbers on public services, I was waiting for an SNP 35% or something...

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21 minutes ago, dorlomin said:

Not a vote will chance on this. Both are hitting core vote and not going much beyond it. 

Half agree but i'm sure that many folk who've only been fed a diet of 'Corbyn is Satan' by the tabloids will actually see a coherentm reasonable and fairly likeable guy with some sensible arguments. Shame he knows eff-all about Scotland though.

SNP in Scotland, Labour or Greens in England and Plaid in Wales and all will be ticketyfuckinboo.

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Back to flyerwatch - less than a week to the election, and the only one we've had in Clacks is the Tory <INSERT_NAME_HERE> WHO WILL STAND FIRM AGAINST INDYREF2 leaflet.

Not sure what this means. Am I to read nothing about the alternatives to <INSERT_NAME_HERE>

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Has this already been posted ?

Won’t do any harm to do it again if it has.
New Polling and Projection post: YouGov, 29th Nov-3rd Dec 2019
Scottish Parliament seats projection;
SNP - 62
Conservative - 32
Labour - 16
Lib Dem - 10
Green - 9

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8 minutes ago, G-MAN said:

Has this already been posted ?

Won’t do any harm to do it again if it has. emoji41.png
New Polling and Projection post: YouGov, 29th Nov-3rd Dec 2019
Scottish Parliament seats projection;
SNP - 62
Conservative - 32
Labour - 16
Lib Dem - 10
Green - 9

So what would that mean for MP s

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Another GE one:

IpsosMori - 2019-12-04
CON: 44%
LAB: 32%
LDEM: 13%
SNP: 5%
GRN: 3%
BRX: 2%
PC: 1%

Flavible Projection
CON: 369 (+51)
LAB: 184 (-78)
SNP: 51 (+16)
LDEM: 23 (+11)
PC: 4 (-)
GRN: 1 (-)

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Labour prediction is Murray and also Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath. Libs, Orkney as you say, and possibly Swinson (just) holding on. Don't see any others for them.
North East Five was definitely on their radar as a possible gain.

Anyone know what the state of play is there?

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Another GE one:

IpsosMori - 2019-12-04
CON: 44%
LAB: 32%
LDEM: 13%
SNP: 5%
GRN: 3%
BRX: 2%
PC: 1%

Flavible Projection
CON: 369 (+51)
LAB: 184 (-78)
SNP: 51 (+16)
LDEM: 23 (+11)
PC: 4 (-)
GRN: 1 (-)
SNP on 5% can't be right?

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6 hours ago, DeeTillEhDeh said:
7 hours ago, G-MAN said:
Another GE one:

IpsosMori - 2019-12-04
CON: 44%
LAB: 32%
LDEM: 13%
SNP: 5%
GRN: 3%
BRX: 2%
PC: 1%

Flavible Projection
CON: 369 (+51)
LAB: 184 (-78)
SNP: 51 (+16)
LDEM: 23 (+11)
PC: 4 (-)
GRN: 1 (-)

SNP on 5% can't be right?

UK wide. That's pretty good.

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11 minutes ago, DeeTillEhDeh said:
1 hour ago, renton said:
UK wide. That's pretty good.

That's what I mean - it's usually 3-4%.

2015 was 4.7%, which meant 49.97% in Scotland. 5% in Scotland would be huge, a clear mandate for independence could be argued, given that the Tories say the election's all about indy2.

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North East Five was definitely on their radar as a possible gain.

 

Anyone know what the state of play is there?

Sorry not picked up both quotes.

Sadly here in North East Fife I think the Liberals are a shoe in.

The flyers are interesting and unfortunately I think Gethins is getting a little desperate. He is targeting liberals whereas they are targeting Tories. The liberal flyers are all personalised.20191207_103948.thumb.jpeg.f55e6b15c0b6a5f501dc17cbd339662c.jpeg20191207_103936.thumb.jpeg.005d6e2431c858263ff1bc991f7805ad.jpeg

 

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