Granny Danger Posted March 31, 2019 Share Posted March 31, 2019 1 hour ago, DeeTillEhDeh said: Labour take a 5 pt lead over the Tories - not sure if this is a rogue or outlier or a genuine shift. https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/shock-poll-finds-public-support-for-labour-has-soared-amid-brexit-turmoil-with-jeremy-corbyn-taking-a4105301.html Labour would need the SNP to form a government - on a supply and confidence basis not a coalition. We need the posters on here who continually say that Corbyn is unelectable to come on and explain. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted March 31, 2019 Author Share Posted March 31, 2019 Labour take a 5 pt lead over the Tories - not sure if this is a rogue or outlier or a genuine shift. https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/shock-poll-finds-public-support-for-labour-has-soared-amid-brexit-turmoil-with-jeremy-corbyn-taking-a4105301.html Labour would need the SNP to form a government - on a supply and confidence basis not a coalition. If this is true, there's f**k all chance of a GE, as 2/3rd will never be achieved 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotThePars Posted March 31, 2019 Share Posted March 31, 2019 CUKing the Tory vote will be upsetting to Umunna, Gapes and all the rest of the losers. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayrmad Posted March 31, 2019 Share Posted March 31, 2019 1 hour ago, Granny Danger said: We need the posters on here who continually say that Corbyn is unelectable to come on and explain. I'm not discounting anything after all the numpties that voted NO and LEAVE, impending shambles springs to mind. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Detournement Posted March 31, 2019 Share Posted March 31, 2019 On 3/29/2019 at 11:07, MixuFixit said: How normal is it for "didn't transfer" to come 2nd? I normally stick on Tories as my dead last preference, does that mean lots of Tory and Labour voters didn't do this with SNP? It will be quite common. Most people will rank all the parties they don't hate. Very few people vote for all the parties. -1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Detournement Posted March 31, 2019 Share Posted March 31, 2019 3 hours ago, DeeTillEhDeh said: Labour take a 5 pt lead over the Tories - not sure if this is a rogue or outlier or a genuine shift. https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/shock-poll-finds-public-support-for-labour-has-soared-amid-brexit-turmoil-with-jeremy-corbyn-taking-a4105301.html Labour would need the SNP to form a government - on a supply and confidence basis not a coalition. Labour ahead in the polls. Theresa May talking about a GE. So of course.... Tom Watson hints at government of national unity to break Brexit deadlock https://www.politicshome.com/news/uk/political-parties/labour-party/tom-watson/news/102909/tom-watson-hints-government-national 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted March 31, 2019 Author Share Posted March 31, 2019 Labour ahead in the polls. Theresa May talking about a GE. So of course.... Tom Watson hints at government of national unity to break Brexit deadlock https://www.politicshome.com/news/uk/political-parties/labour-party/tom-watson/news/102909/tom-watson-hints-government-nationalTom Watson is an ubercunt cockwomble 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted March 31, 2019 Author Share Posted March 31, 2019 I think its best to - if your preferences rank the guy you like least last, then at least you're pushing the chances of your vote helping them out till the absolute last rounds of voting. I'd always prefer pro independence people but I'd prefer labour to lib dem, lib dem to tory if it came to it.There's always some independent with a long beard and a funny hat which deserves an old preference vote. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Granny Danger Posted March 31, 2019 Share Posted March 31, 2019 16 minutes ago, John Lambies Doos said: There's always some independent with a long beard and a funny hat which deserves an old preference vote. ^^^^ has a long beard and a funny hat. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dorlomin Posted March 31, 2019 Share Posted March 31, 2019 6 hours ago, DeeTillEhDeh said: Labour take a 5 pt lead over the Tories - not sure if this is a rogue or outlier or a genuine shift. Given the extraordinary political climate of the past month, the normal rules of polling do not apply. It is rare single events can shift polling but the handling of Brexit being so all consuming in the news cycle could be such an event. Of the polls taken this week Two show the stasis of neck and neck One shows a significant Labour lead. The usual rule is you cannot ascribe moves in polls to individual events and you can only track longer term changes over months rather than single polls. The situation is very fluid and Brexit is the biggest political issue we have faced since Suez, perhaps since 1945. The 2007 crash, poll tax, cash for questions, Westland, Falklands etc do not seem to have had the all consuming impact that Brexit has had. And it splits both main parties with the Lib Dems unable to make headway. To illustrate how fluid the current situation is, these polls feature different new parties taking chunks of the vote with the DeltaPoll having Change UK and YouGov having the Brexit party. We are deep into uncharted waters and the out come of Brexit is till wide open. To put it into perspective both May and Corbyn and vastly more unpolular with the UK electorate than Pelosi and Trump are with the US one. Quote Prime Minister Theresa May is quite unpopular. An average of recent polls puts her net approval rating (approval rating - disapproval rating) at -33 points. For comparison, the average US poll currently puts Pelosi's net approval at -9 points and Trump's net approval at -10 points. Now, you might think that this would provide an easy opening for opposition party leader Labour MP Jeremy Corbyn to rally the country behind Labour and him. May, though, could not have dreamed up a better opponent. Corbyn is somehow even more unpopular than May is. His net approval rating in an average of recent polls is -45 points. To put that into some context, former New York Gov. Eliot Spitzer held a -30 point net approval rating after he resigned following a 2008 sex scandal in which he cheated on his wife with a prostitute. https://edition.cnn.com/2019/03/30/politics/poll-of-the-week-brexit/index.html There has been well over 100 polls on the Westminster voting intentions since the 2017 election, almost all have given the tories a slight lead. But the current scale of clusterfuck is likely enough that Labour could reverse the situation. But with Farage's new party and the Change UK thing, it is very likely the least predictable period in the history of scientific polling of the UK electorate. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Granny Danger Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 Latest poll gives Labour a three point lead; Tories haemorrhaging support, UKIP only up 1% whilst LibDems up 3%. Support for second referendum and Remain continue to outshine alternatives. https://www.politicshome.com/news/uk/political-parties/conservative-party/theresa-may/news/103166/labour-takes-poll-lead-tory 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Highlandmagyar 2nd Tier Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 42 minutes ago, Granny Danger said: Latest poll gives Labour a three point lead; Tories haemorrhaging support, UKIP only up 1% whilst LibDems up 3%. Support for second referendum and Remain continue to outshine alternatives. https://www.politicshome.com/news/uk/political-parties/conservative-party/theresa-may/news/103166/labour-takes-poll-lead-tory The polls are so fluid anything can happen. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeTillEhDeh Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 Latest poll gives Labour a three point lead; Tories haemorrhaging support, UKIP only up 1% whilst LibDems up 3%. Support for second referendum and Remain continue to outshine alternatives.https://www.politicshome.com/news/uk/political-parties/conservative-party/theresa-may/news/103166/labour-takes-poll-lead-tory What's staggering is the 24% of voters who believe No Deal is the best option. It just confirms to me that there is section of the electorate who are just putting their fingers in their ears. Utter morons. -1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Granny Danger Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 5 hours ago, DeeTillEhDeh said: What's staggering is the 24% of voters who believe No Deal is the best option. It just confirms to me that there is section of the electorate who are just putting their fingers in their ears. Utter morons. I kid you not when I say that I’m delighted that it’s only 24%. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Detournement Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 England and Wales Westminster intention. No chance of an election soon then. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arabdownunder Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 England and Wales Westminster intention. No chance of an election soon then.Shouldn't trust a polling company that can't spell IMO 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Granny Danger Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 With these polling numbers the Tories will be praying that Argentina takes a shine to the Falklands again. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colkitto Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 48 minutes ago, Granny Danger said: With these polling numbers the Tories will be praying that Argentina takes a shine to the Falklands again. I think you mean the Malvinas... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Granny Danger Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, Colkitto said: I think you mean the Malvinas... TBH I was just waiting for a response like that. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colkitto Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 Just now, Granny Danger said: TBH I was just waiting for a response like that. I'm so predictable 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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