Colkitto Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 16 minutes ago, ICTChris said: YouGov have Labour ahead of the SNP among 18-24 year olds. I was going to say that I don't buy it but I don't really know many 18-24 year olds so maybe it's accurate. After all, by definition young people aren't established with any one party so are maybe more likely to change than older voters. I think YouGov may be having a significant heads-gone election though. Scottish Labour have commissioned a YouGov poll. Asked Farquarson if it's the same one as published in the Times, but he hasn't answered. Maybe answer why it shows Labour doing so well... 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TartanWarrior Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 1 hour ago, Fide said: singing the Italian national anthem. I'll raise you GSTQ. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wee Willie Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 4 minutes ago, TartanWarrior said: I'll raise you GSTQ. and I'll see ye with La Marseillaise - simply the best 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Im_Rodger Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 If Angus Robertson loses his seat and Tuba boy gains a seat, I will run along Bothwell Street naked, singing the Italian national anthem. Better prepare your birthday suit then [emoji106]???? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strichener Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 2 hours ago, Fide said: If Angus Robertson loses his seat and Tuba boy gains a seat, I will run along Bothwell Street naked, singing the Italian national anthem. Just quoting this in case it mysteriously disappears on Friday. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted June 6, 2017 Author Share Posted June 6, 2017 A noose around your neck would suffice. U've gone too far there.Number of posts 3. Mmmmmmmm 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ICTChris Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 (edited) the Italian national anthem is great. Here's a link to the YouGov poll https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/06/06/voting-intention-scotland-snp-41-con-26-lab-25-1-5/ 69% of 18-24 year olds are absolutely certain to vote in this poll. SNP voters are lowest on likelihood to vote. Edited June 6, 2017 by ICTChris 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjw Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 A noose around your neck would suffice. Drown yourself in a puddle. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fide Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 2 hours ago, Im_Rodger said: Better prepare your birthday suit then 2 hours ago, strichener said: Just quoting this in case it mysteriously disappears on Friday. I think I'm quite safe: https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/east-renfrewshire/winning-party 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strichener Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 4 minutes ago, Fide said: I think I'm quite safe: https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/east-renfrewshire/winning-party If only the bookies decided the result. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeTillEhDeh Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 Some of the predictions are being based on uniform swings - as any psepholigist will tell you they rarely do swing uniformly. Incumbency and personal votes have a part to play as well as the unique circumstances in each constituency. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
D Angelo Barksdale Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 Looking likely that the size of the turnout may decide the size of the Tory majority. Weather meant to be bad on Thursday. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevthedee Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 Looking likely that the size of the turnout may decide the size of the Tory majority. Weather meant to be bad on Thursday. 71.1% was the scottish turnout in 2015 I wonder if voter apathy will return seeing the amount of elections/referendums we have had recently.I go for 65% in Scotland. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongTimeLurker Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 33 minutes ago, DeeTillEhDeh said: Some of the predictions are being based on uniform swings - as any psepholigist will tell you they rarely do swing uniformly. Incumbency and personal votes have a part to play as well as the unique circumstances in each constituency. In a Scottish context, if the Tories are picking up most of their extra support in former Labour seats to a greater extent than they are in their target constituencies they may be in for a bit of a dissappointment. They should win the Borders seat, Galloway and Upper Nithsdale, and West Aberdeenshire in addition to Mundell's seat without any problem, but after that local factors could limit their gains. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ICTChris Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 Good to see that post on the previous page deleted. John Curtice has blogged about the Scottish Labour "surge" http://blog.whatscotlandthinks.org/2017/06/the-labour-surge-washes-over-hadrians-wall/ Amazing really that finishing second in Scotland, with maybe five seats, would be a great result for Scottish Labour. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted June 6, 2017 Author Share Posted June 6, 2017 2 more polls due tonight I believe. Anyone know from whom? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparky88 Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 (edited) 3 hours ago, LongTimeLurker said: In a Scottish context, if the Tories are picking up most of their extra support in former Labour seats to a greater extent than they are in their target constituencies they may be in for a bit of a dissappointment. They should win the Borders seat, Galloway and Upper Nithsdale, and West Aberdeenshire in addition to Mundell's seat without any problem, but after that local factors could limit their gains. The Tories need leave voting SNP voters to switch to them to win other seats. In Robertsons seat, for example, the labour vote is non existent, but the Leave vote definitely isn't. I personally think brexit will affect the election massively for the Tories, both positively (in the case of Scotland) and negatively (south west england former lib dem seats). Edited June 6, 2017 by sparky88 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ICTChris Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 Failed state poll 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sooky Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 Failed state poll Which isn't that different at all from the 2015 percentages. People really are stuck in there ways there!Anyway, I don't particularly buy it, but there's some Twitter gossip that Labour are concerned about Bolsover. Very large UKIP vote to squeeze and Dennis Skinner has apparently been fairly non-existent during the campaign. Could certainly see his majority being cut a fair bit, but not by enough for him to lose the seat. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bring Your Own Socks Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 5 hours ago, LongTimeLurker said: In a Scottish context, if the Tories are picking up most of their extra support in former Labour seats to a greater extent than they are in their target constituencies they may be in for a bit of a dissappointment. They should win the Borders seat, Galloway and Upper Nithsdale, and West Aberdeenshire in addition to Mundell's seat without any problem, but after that local factors could limit their gains. The first two aren't seats in this election so they will definitely have a problem winning them. West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine had a seven thousand majority for the SNP 2 years ago. And I was told by a farmer from Dumfriesshire last week that Mundell is haning by a thread. I'm struggling to find any level of evidence that the Tories will pick up seats. Happy to learn 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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