John Lambies Doos 4,384 Report post Posted April 19, 2017 Despite the roaring success of the polls in recent years; it may be worth starting a thread specific to upcoming elections. All UK, Scottish subsamples, specific Scottish polls and leader popularity welcome; not to mention the independence question. 0 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Colkitto 1,211 Report post Posted April 19, 2017 Very latest UK Westminster poll by YouGov CON: 48% (+4) LAB: 24% (+1) 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Kyle 3,934 Report post Posted April 19, 2017 In fairness, the pollsters have gotten the percentages in Scotland spot on, even if the seat distribution on the predictor sites has been shite. It's completely depressing how easily the Tories, who have been all over the place during this most recent term in government, will absolutely waltz this election. They'll likely gain a few seats in Scotland too. 0 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Granny Danger 16,215 Report post Posted April 19, 2017 1 hour ago, John Lambies Doos said: Despite the roaring success of the polls in recent years; it may be worth starting a thread specific to upcoming elections. All UK, Scottish subsamples, specific Scottish polls and leader popularity welcome; not to mention the independence question. You're fucking obsessed with polls man. Have the recent inaccuracies not persuaded you to go cold turkey? 0 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Fide 2,500 Report post Posted April 20, 2017 5 hours ago, Kyle said: In fairness, the pollsters have gotten the percentages in Scotland spot on, even if the seat distribution on the predictor sites has been shite. It's completely depressing how easily the Tories, who have been all over the place during this most recent term in government, will absolutely waltz this election. They'll likely gain a few seats in Scotland too. I genuinely believe the Tories won't do any better in Scotland than one seat in June. 0 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Andre Drazen 5,151 Report post Posted April 20, 2017 I genuinely believe the Tories won't do any better in Scotland than one seat in June. Brave call. Won't be MUCH more than that but I can see them take a couple. 0 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Glenconner 942 Report post Posted April 20, 2017 I can see the Tories getting up to 10 seats in the wealthier parts of Scotland. 0 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sooky 837 Report post Posted April 20, 2017 Not sure where this is from, but I can see Tories winning the first 3 on the list. Robertson has a 10k majority in Moray, but the one thing going against him is that it was the highest Leave vote in Scotland (49.9%, I'm sure) so I think the gap will tighten a fair bit, but it'll be too much ground to make up. Unfortunately. 0 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Fide 2,500 Report post Posted April 20, 2017 1 minute ago, Sooky said: Not sure where this is from, but I can see Tories winning the first 3 on the list. Robertson has a 10k majority in Moray, but the one thing going against him is that it was the highest Leave vote in Scotland (49.9%, I'm sure) so I think the gap will tighten a fair bit, but it'll be too much ground to make up. Unfortunately. 0 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
John Lambies Doos 4,384 Report post Posted April 20, 2017 Not sure where this is from, but I can see Tories winning the first 3 on the list. Robertson has a 10k majority in Moray, but the one thing going against him is that it was the highest Leave vote in Scotland (49.9%, I'm sure) so I think the gap will tighten a fair bit, but it'll be too much ground to make up. Unfortunately. No way Stirling will go Tory 0 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Guest Report post Posted April 20, 2017 SNP to win 51+ seats is 5/6 Buying money imo 0 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
John Lambies Doos 4,384 Report post Posted April 20, 2017 You're fucking obsessed with polls man. Have the recent inaccuracies not persuaded you to go cold turkey? And are you going to fuk off to the Canaries again???? 0 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Kyle 3,934 Report post Posted April 20, 2017 8 hours ago, Sooky said: Not sure where this is from, but I can see Tories winning the first 3 on the list. Robertson has a 10k majority in Moray, but the one thing going against him is that it was the highest Leave vote in Scotland (49.9%, I'm sure) so I think the gap will tighten a fair bit, but it'll be too much ground to make up. Unfortunately. Agree with this. The Tories will almost certainly pick up Berwickshire. Dumfries and Galloway and West Aberdeenshire will be closer and I think the Tories will have a chance in some Edinburgh seats too. I'd say the two Perth/Perthshire seats could go blue as well. 0 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jamaldo 1,207 Report post Posted April 20, 2017 I'm not trying to be a dick but how the f**k can Pete Wishart possibly lose a 10,000 majority in a snap election? 0 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Kyle 3,934 Report post Posted April 20, 2017 43 minutes ago, Jamaldo said: I'm not trying to be a dick but how the f**k can Pete Wishart possibly lose a 10,000 majority in a snap election? The man is a bit of a fud to be fair. If this election is going to be based on indyref2, which it appears to be, the no voters in Perth could easily smash that majority. Swinney, who's much more popular than Wishart, saw a hugely reduced majority last year. 0 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
invergowrie arab 7,212 Report post Posted April 20, 2017 Pete's seat covers whole city of Perth so much more SNP voters than Holyrood. Absolute fantasy to suggest Tories will win it. 0 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Wee Willie 418 Report post Posted April 21, 2017 9 hours ago, invergowrie arab said: Pete's seat covers whole city of Perth so much more SNP voters than Holyrood. Absolute fantasy to suggest Tories will win it. 0 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Stephen Malkmus 776 Report post Posted April 23, 2017 Scottish independence voting intention: Yes: 43% (+2) No: 45% (+1) (via BMG) Chgs. w/ Feb 0 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
git-intae-thum 1,039 Report post Posted April 24, 2017 What is really quite worrying is how our media is going to spin the tories getting 2 or 3 seats and the SNP getting only around 50 this time, as a major blow to the independence cause and a reason to put the referendum on the back burner. 0 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
John Lambies Doos 4,384 Report post Posted April 24, 2017 What is really quite worrying is how our media is going to spin the tories getting 2 or 3 seats and the SNP getting only around 50 this time, as a major blow to the independence cause and a reason to put the referendum on the back burner. There was a guy on press release tory... on sky news last night peddling this shite. He was basically saying that based on polls tories could win up to 12 seats in Scotland. He then went on to say that if so it would be a massive blow to the independence mandate...Forgot of course to mention that the SNP would still have 80 fukin % of seats. This is what will be peddled. We will be belittled 0 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites