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June 8th General Election


Mudder

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The only hope for Labour is to take the SNP offer of support this time. They're finished up here. Will be scenes when Corbyn is reelected after the election after the PLP offer up another sacrificial lamb.

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Wishart has a 10'000 Majority that the Tories have to scrape back here. 

Can see Murdo Fraser making an attempt at it and dramatically failing tbh. 

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Just now, mizfit said:

Wishart has a 10'000 Majority that the Tories have to scrape back here. 

Can see Murdo Fraser making an attempt at it and dramatically failing tbh. 

How many elections will that be that then that Murdo has been told to f**k clean off by the electorate?  7? 8?

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Noticed that Mundell's majority is about 700 votes and the Greens got just under 900 the last time - roughly. Would be amazing if that wee naff ended out.

I think the SNP will lose seats though. The border regions, East Renfrew, a seat in Edinburgh? Although feck knows, Edinburgh was 75% remain.

SNP should return a shed-load of seats, but you just know if they lose e.g 5-6 it'll be 'Tory fightback' pish in the Scottish media.

Would love to see Carmichael and Murray out though. More chance of Murray losing you'd imagine, but then again, nae idea.

Sure we'll get a poll in the next few days!

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I thought Murdo Fraser was an absolute w**k that no decent sane person could like until I saw that one of PnBs very own Dumbarton supporting good guys had favourited one of his tweets on my Twitter timeline. [emoji20]

 

Can see Tories coming very close in a few places as the Unionists rally.

 

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You'd think, taking the Holyrood elections into account that the Tories will be confident of taking all the Border seats, Aberdeenshire West, and an Edinburgh seat and maybe East Ren (although will need a total, and highly likely, collapse in the Lab vote).

Lib Dems perhaps making gains in Edinburgh and Fife.

Labour total wipeout?

Of course that's if folk vote primarily on Scottish politics, if it's mainly about Brexit then Tories could struggle badly to the benefit of the LibDems.

Worst case scenario for the SNP is still high 40s though surely.

Finally what happens to McGarry and Thomson, they still don't have the whip so do they stand as independents and if they do will the SNP stand against them?

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Hung parliament isnt completely out if the question if brexit voters split between kippers n tories n remainers down south voted tactically.....its nor likely but not impossible. Pretty big risk for may plus she has blown away any anti ref arguments she had.

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My Scottish predictions:

The SNP will hold onto the vast majority of their seats.  They could well win Edinburgh South from Labour.  The Tories could win Berwickshire and the Lib Dems have a chance in Edinburgh West depending on who stands.

The Tories will be able to concentrate on winnable seats but the SNP majorities are too big and they haven't done anything to cause their vote to crack.  I'd bet their voters and activists will be pretty motivated to turn out as well.

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17 minutes ago, glasgow-sheep said:

You'd think, taking the Holyrood elections into account that the Tories will be confident of taking all the Border seats, Aberdeenshire West, and an Edinburgh seat and maybe East Ren (although will need a total, and highly likely, collapse in the Lab vote).

Lib Dems perhaps making gains in Edinburgh and Fife.

Labour total wipeout?

Of course that's if folk vote primarily on Scottish politics, if it's mainly about Brexit then Tories could struggle badly to the benefit of the LibDems.

Worst case scenario for the SNP is still high 40s though surely.

Finally what happens to McGarry and Thomson, they still don't have the whip so do they stand as independents and if they do will the SNP stand against them?

Looks like the SNP will be contesting the seats ....

https://www.commonspace.scot/articles/10801/rosa-zambonini-seek-snp-candidacy-natalie-mcgarrys-glasgow-east-seat-ge17

58f61a1b72029_rosaz.jpg.684d89d319c22dc2f928642ed2d21373.jpg

wid

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The only chance Corbyn, Labour and the non-sociopaths have here is for the Labour Party to cut their immediate losses in Scotland and call for a progressive alliance across the UK. Let the SNP retain Scotland, work with the Northern Irish parties which fear what Brexit might mean for them and go in hard on the Tories failing Britain. The policies Corbyn's announced this past week have broad support across the country and show the Labour Party can do policy.

 

 

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No point in doing this in Northern Ireland unless Labour would be desperate for an alliance with a party that has three seats and is close to them anyway. Shinners don't take their seats in Westminster, the UUP are in meltdown and the DUP back Brexit. 

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