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EU Ref: Result Predictions


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Low turnout in Inverness a couple of hours ago, 200 out of 800 which the guy said was very low for that time of day. Hoping Scotland hasn't got vote fatigue as that would help Leave. On the plus side I've got a bet on a low turnout. :)  If there's a low turnout across the UK I think it might help Remain as most of them will know where to vote and how to make an X sign in the right place.

 

Which polling station was that, Bairn?

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Turnout will be higher than the general election. Hopefully it goes above 70%.

My polling station was pretty busy with folk coming and going earlier when I tucked my remain vote away.

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I'd sell my soul to Satan for England to leave by 51-49 but be kept in by a huge Scottish 'remain'. The #scenes that would cause would far exceed the comedy of May 2015.

 

That scenario would indeed be spectaculol. 

 

Can't see it, though. England has enough non-thickos to see Remain through comfortably.

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Final prediction 52.5-47.5

England and Wales will both be close to 50-50, perhaps voting remain by a few hundred votes

Scotland and NI will vote 60% remain at least. I'm hearing it may even be a two-thirds Rrmain in Scotland

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