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Coefficientwatch


lionel hutz

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On 19/07/2019 at 17:04, charger29 said:

They're away first according to flashscore. Chikhura are 2/3 of the way through their season. Never easy playing against a team that'll be at a higher levels of fitness. Wouldn't surprise me if they get through against Aberdeen.

 

We are apparently 1/8 to qualify, which seems utterly ludicrous given Chikhura have knocked out Beitar Jerusalem and Bursaspor in recent seasons.

AFC slight favourites, but no more, would be my take on this one.

 

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13 minutes ago, tarapoa said:

We are apparently 1/8 to qualify, which seems utterly ludicrous given Chikhura have knocked out Beitar Jerusalem and Bursaspor in recent seasons.

AFC slight favourites, but no more, would be my take on this one.

 

I think being away first and thus a bit of a possibility we can defend for the whole tie makes us more than slight favourites.

If we were at home first and thus may well have had to make the play for both legs (like Qr1) we are more susceptible to troubles

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We are apparently 1/8 to qualify, which seems utterly ludicrous given Chikhura have knocked out Beitar Jerusalem and Bursaspor in recent seasons.
AFC slight favourites, but no more, would be my take on this one.
 
Temperature could be difficult this time of year too. 30C at kickoff apparently (19:45 local time).
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Looking at the draws, the Scottish and Cypriot teams seem to have it easiest for this round of fixtures.

Cyprus are currently sitting in 15th, the target spot for the 2nd CL place.

Greece look to have been handed the worst draw for their fixtures which might help us out. We hopefully should make gains this year, but likely not even close to enough for another slot.

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1 hour ago, ham89 said:

Looking at the draws, the Scottish and Cypriot teams seem to have it easiest for this round of fixtures.

Cyprus are currently sitting in 15th, the target spot for the 2nd CL place.

Greece look to have been handed the worst draw for their fixtures which might help us out. We hopefully should make gains this year, but likely not even close to enough for another slot.

We got only 3 points in 15/16 and if you look at the teams around us only Cyprus or Israel are the countries that had points around a similar level that season. The 2021 ranking then is where we have a pretty decent shot at making 15th place. Currently the 2021 ranking table, with an incomplete 19/20 and no 20/21 points has Scotland in 16th place sandwiched between Czechia and Serbia.

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On 18/07/2019 at 23:01, wastecoatwilly said:
  Cup qW qD qL #W #D #L Bonus Points Average
6 up
Scotland 4 teams
  7 0 1 0 0 0 0 7.0 1.750
29 Celtic CL 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.0 not out
29 Glasgow Rangers EL 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.0 not out
29 Aberdeen EL 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.0 not out
80 Kilmarnock EL 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1.0

  


Still decent sitting 6th so far.

We are actually top of the countries that have played so far. The 5 above as are only there as they have already been awarded the bonus points for reaching the group stages

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15 eq Cyprus 3.000 5.500 7.000 6.125 1.625 23.250   +0.625 4/ 4
16 eq Greece 5.400 5.800 5.100 5.100 0.400 21.800   +0.600 5/ 5
17 up Serbia 4.250 2.875 6.375 6.000 1.625 21.125   +0.725 3/ 4
18 dn Croatia 4.500 5.125 5.125 5.750 0.500 21.000   +0.250 3/ 4
19 up Scotland 3.000 4.375 4.000 6.750 2.375 20.500   +0.625 3/ 4
20 dn Switzerland 5.300 4.300 6.500 3.900 0.200 20.200   +0.200 5/ 5
21 eq Norway 7.250 1.375 4.000 5.375 1.875 19.875   +0.250 3/ 4
22 eq Sweden 4.750 2.750 5.375 4.125 1.750 18.750   +0.500 4/ 4

That's us now moved up to 19th, above Switzerland - PSV beating Basel was useful. Norway's Molde could only draw with a Serbian team, Osijek of Croatia lost, as did Apollon Limassol of Cyprus.

Assuming Aberdeen and Rangers make it through, their QR3 ties are important games against Croatia and Denmark (14th). 

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2 hours ago, craigkillie said:
3 hours ago, Marshmallo said:
Which of the teams has exceeded expectations?

None of them, but it's unusual to win so many games, even against rubbish teams so I'd say we have more coefficient points than you'd expect.

Scottish teams should be cuffing this sort of dross routinely. We've underperformed if anything. Certainly nothing "incredible" about a couple of wins against teams from Gibraltar, Luxembourg, Estonia, Macedonia and Finland.

Edited by Marshmallo
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Been fairly good so far this season, disappointing not to get a win for the Dons last night but expect them the win the home game.

You would expect 3 wins next week which would set us up nicely.

3rd round will be tough for Aberdeen and Rangers though.

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44 minutes ago, Marshmallo said:

Scottish teams should be cuffing this sort of dross routinely. We've underperformed if anything. Certainly nothing "incredible" about a couple of wins against teams from Gibraltar, Luxembourg, Estonia, Macedonia and Finland.

We should, but normally dont, hence probably better than expected. We really should be on 11 wins out of 12 games (with only belgrade expected to beat killie at home) so 9 out of 11 and one draw isn't to far off where we should be, and given our previous form in europe, its probably better than most years

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