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Granny Danger

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20 minutes ago, Sooky said:

Predictions for the 2 by-elections next week?

 

With regards to Stoke, Labour should hold on as it seems Nuttall has been a massive liability.

 

Copeland looks like it might be close. Tories are apparently pretty confident, and LD sources also suggest that the Tories will take it. Might depend on Labour turnout on the day. From pretty much the day after Reed resigned, the Tories have been hitting it constantly with leaflets showing how Corbyn is anti-nuclear. The big question is, would allowing the governing party to gain a by-election seat for the first time since the Falklands War in 1982 be enough to see Corbyn go?

 

Stoke - Labour should now hold as Nuttall should have killed the UKIP vote, if UKIP still do well I truly despair for humanity.

Copeland  - Even if it a Tory win it won't effect Corbyn as he may have Stoke to claim vistory in and even if the PLP want rid the party memebrship as a whole won't have changed enough for him to lose. Could be some infighting with the PLP again showing no confidence and the membership backing.

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45 minutes ago, Sooky said:

Predictions for the 2 by-elections next week?

 

With regards to Stoke, Labour should hold on as it seems Nuttall has been a massive liability.

 

Copeland looks like it might be close. Tories are apparently pretty confident, and LD sources also suggest that the Tories will take it. Might depend on Labour turnout on the day. From pretty much the day after Reed resigned, the Tories have been hitting it constantly with leaflets showing how Corbyn is anti-nuclear. The big question is, would allowing the governing party to gain a by-election seat for the first time since the Falklands War in 1982 be enough to see Corbyn go?

 

Copeland is Tories easily, every poll and bookie is saying they've got it in the bag.

As for Stoke, Mahmood is a bigger factor on the ground than Nuttall - it is neck & neck.

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2 hours ago, Geronimo said:

No real surprise at a voter backlash - Colin Guyton held the County council & district council seats, & decided he was bored with politics after the Brexit result, was persuaded to stay on both as a pretend independent to save the council money on two by-elections, leaving the Tories & Labour in their respective wards to cover the workload shortfall; but due to the non-attendance rules he had to move his resignation in November.

Mark Hawthorne - the Conservative leader of Gloucestershire County Council - & Di Martin, the leader of the Labour group on Forest of Dean District Council, both seemed to regard this as good politics. Under such circumstances, no wonder the locals delivered a big GYTF to the Con/Lab/Kippers, & had no time for the LibDems opportunistically crawling out of the woodwork for a seat they never bothered with last time out.

Well done to the Greens, especially their local chair (& now councillor) Sid Phelps, the only one it appears who fought the campaign on local issues & duly won.

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15 minutes ago, Sooky said:

Theresa May made an unprompted visit to Stoke today. Suggestion that they feel the UKIP vote there is collapsing?

You wouldn't expect May to announce the visit for security reasons, but with the state of UKIP and Labour you never know. Can't find any recent polls but 10/1 sounds a bit tempting. Double it up with Copeland and you'd get 14/1, but not sure if the bookies would allow that. 

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You wouldn't expect May to announce the visit for security reasons, but with the state of UKIP and Labour you never know. Can't find any recent polls but 10/1 sounds a bit tempting. Double it up with Copeland and you'd get 14/1, but not sure if the bookies would allow that. 


I guess the logic might be that they only finished 33 votes behind UKIP in 2015 and if UKIP were capable of winning it, why can't they? They might be sensing they could beat them into second place, which would still be a strong showing.
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20 hours ago, Granny Danger said:

I think Bishop Briggs is having a breakdown.  We should maybe back off, he may genuinely be mentally fragile.

You're the one who is having a breakdown. You attacked the victim of sexual abuse by a priest. Will you be attacking Jimmy Savile's victims next?

On the Trump thread you said that it was laudable that some people wanted Trump to be assassinated. Frankly, you are a just nasty fascist scumbag like your idol Tony Blair. 

Edited by Bishop Briggs
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20 hours ago, Bishop Briggs said:

The rancid old fish is really stinking today! :lol:

That's not very nice. And Milo was 17 when he had sex with the priest but he said it was fine for older men to introduce 13 year olds to sex so long as they had passed puberty. You're picking a truly vile character to white knight.

stinking-bishop.jpg

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2 minutes ago, welshbairn said:

That's not very nice. And Milo was 17 when he had sex with the priest but he said it was fine for older men to introduce 13 year olds to sex so long as they had passed puberty. You're picking a truly vile character to white knight.

 

I'm not white knighting anyone. It was not legal for Milo, under-age at the time, to be abused by the priest. 

Do you honestly believe that Milo's abuse (or "experience" as the abuser's apologists might put it) had no effect on his character or views?

Even vile characters have equal rights, including the right not to preyed upon.

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2 hours ago, Bishop Briggs said:

You're the one who is having a breakdown. You attacked the victim of sexual abuse by a priest. Will you be attacking Jimmy Savile's victims next?

On the Trump thread you said that it was laudable that some people wanted Trump to be assassinated. Frankly, you are a just nasty fascist scumbag like your idol Tony Blair. 

Quite an incredible post.  I particularly liked the 'idol Tony Blair' as an example of you being particularly crazy.  I think you need a wee break.  Maybe taking a vow of silence in a monastery.  One without an Internet connection.

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Quite an incredible post.  I particularly liked the 'idol Tony Blair' as an example of you being particularly crazy.  I think you need a wee break.  Maybe taking a vow of silence in a monastery.  One without an Internet connection.


Has he confused you for me somehow?
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