SodjesSixteenIncher Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 New YouGov poll puts Labour on 35% and Tories on 33%. You're turning into the Politics version of the boy who posts about Northern Irish football. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jmothecat Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 You're turning into the Politics version of the boy who posts about Northern Irish football. Because I posted about a poll on a thread about polls? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 Post-debate, Scotland only poll by YouGov/The Times out at 10pm on Thursday. It will be 45 yes..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMMjag Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 New YouGov poll puts Labour on 35% and Tories on 33%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 It will be 45 yes..... Oh, referendum over... I mean 45 SNP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SodjesSixteenIncher Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 Because I posted about a poll on a thread about polls? Well it was a tongue in cheek comparison but he posts about football on threads about football, so aye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Septentrional Wasp Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 It will be 45 yes..... Oh, referendum over... I mean 45 SNP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baxter Parp Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 http://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2015/feb/27/guardian-poll-projection Today's Guardian seat projection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Granny Danger Posted April 8, 2015 Author Share Posted April 8, 2015 http://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2015/feb/27/guardian-poll-projection Today's Guardian seat projection. I will take that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fide Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 http://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2015/feb/27/guardian-poll-projection Today's Guardian seat projection. Labour 272. Tories 273. Yet Jimbo reckons they can do it without help from the SNP. :lol: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Granny Danger Posted April 8, 2015 Author Share Posted April 8, 2015 Labour 272. Tories 273. Yet Jimbo reckons they can do it without help from the SNP. :lol: With a bit of luck the only help Jimbo will need is in finding a new job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kyle Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Labour 272. Tories 273. Yet Jimbo reckons they can do it without help from the SNP. :lol: Would be hilarious if the SNP called his bluff now and ruled out any kind of pact. THEN YOU IZ HELPING DA TOWWREES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bairn Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Tories 273 Labour 272 SNP 51 Lib Dems 28 DUP 9 Sinn Fein 6 UKIP 4 Plaid Cymru 2 SDLP 2 Greens 1 Independents 1 Speaker 1 Assuming the speaker and his deputies remain the same and removing Sinn Fein we have the Tories on 272 and Labour on 270 with 321 needed for a majority. Labour would need 51 for a majority, so a Labour/SNP "coalition" would have a wafer thin majority of 1. Counting on the support from the Greens, Plaid Cymru, SDLP and Sylvia Hermon they would have 327 MPs giving them a majority of 14. Still slightly too close for comfort. If they wanted a more stable arrangement they could reach out to the Liberal Democrats and form a rainbow alliance of the left (probably excluding the 4 tiny parties). Lab/SNP/LD would have a majority of 58 The question is would Labour be willing to take office from second place if the Tories get more votes and more seats? The daily mail would have a field day that's for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kyle Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Tories 273 Labour 272 SNP 51 Lib Dems 28 DUP 9 Sinn Fein 6 UKIP 4 Plaid Cymru 2 SDLP 2 Greens 1 Independents 1 Speaker 1 Assuming the speaker and his deputies remain the same and removing Sinn Fein we have the Tories on 272 and Labour on 270 with 321 needed for a majority. Labour would need 51 for a majority, so a Labour/SNP "coalition" would have a wafer thin majority of 1. Counting on the support from the Greens, Plaid Cymru, SDLP and Sylvia Hermon they would have 327 MPs giving them a majority of 14. Still slightly too close for comfort. If they wanted a more stable arrangement they could reach out to the Liberal Democrats and form a rainbow alliance of the left (probably excluding the 4 tiny parties). Lab/SNP/LD would have a majority of 58 The question is would Labour be willing to take office from second place if the Tories get more votes and more seats? The daily mail would have a field day that's for sure I really don't see why not. If the Tories don't have enough seats for a majority but others do combined, then they should form the government. Gordon Brown tried to form a Goverment from second place last time round and Miliband/Cameron will be doing exactly the same this time, no matter what they're all saying just now. It looks more and more likely that Ed will end up Prime Minister after May 7th in my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Tories 273 Labour 272 SNP 51 Lib Dems 28 DUP 9 Sinn Fein 6 UKIP 4 Plaid Cymru 2 SDLP 2 Greens 1 Independents 1 Speaker 1 Assuming the speaker and his deputies remain the same and removing Sinn Fein we have the Tories on 272 and Labour on 270 with 321 needed for a majority. Labour would need 51 for a majority, so a Labour/SNP "coalition" would have a wafer thin majority of 1. Counting on the support from the Greens, Plaid Cymru, SDLP and Sylvia Hermon they would have 327 MPs giving them a majority of 14. Still slightly too close for comfort. If they wanted a more stable arrangement they could reach out to the Liberal Democrats and form a rainbow alliance of the left (probably excluding the 4 tiny parties). Lab/SNP/LD would have a majority of 58 The question is would Labour be willing to take office from second place if the Tories get more votes and more seats? The daily mail would have a field day that's for sure Largest party will have the moral right to try and form the Govt. Based on figs above its unlikely Cameron could. Ed will have the next shot, he can and will. He will crawl on his hands a knees to oor Nic for her support. Nic will make him stew but eventually put him in no. 10. Murphy will look like an utter c**t -again- as the largest party wont form the govt... he will lizard off and return for Holyrood debates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jmothecat Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Probably a stupid question, but if no government can pass a Queen's speech (or they do but quickly lose a no confidence vote), but two thirds of MPs don't vote for parliament to dissolve, what then happens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strichener Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Largest party will have the moral right to try and form the Govt. This statement really gets on my wick. On what basis is there a moral right? It may be custom for this to happen but moral? The implication here is that if a smaller party tries to form a government it is somehow immoral. Really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welshbairn Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Probably a stupid question, but if no government can pass a Queen's speech (or they do but quickly lose a no confidence vote), but two thirds of MPs don't vote for parliament to dissolve, what then happens? There would be no Government and the civil servants would run the country. Belgium was in that situation for over a year with no serious problems. P.S. Peter Hennesey explains it well here. Start at 42 mins. http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b05q11fs/daily-politics-02042015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Post-debate, Scotland only poll by YouGov/The Times out at 10pm on Thursday. This will be a very interesting poll.... because it will be the first scottish only poll thats fieldwork will fully cover uk wide debate, the Telegraph pish, and both scottish debates. I predict SNP will still have c.15 point lead on labour, and will be sitting c. 45% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 This statement really gets on my wick. On what basis is there a moral right? It may be custom for this to happen but moral? The implication here is that if a smaller party tries to form a government it is somehow immoral. Really? Replace moral with 'first shot' then fix the surrounding grammar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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