Kyle Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 If only this has come a couple of days earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
~~~ Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 No Tories in Scotland, thats my prediction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 That's why your 42 looks a bit short when for all the world it looks like the SNP are going to get well over that total. Big majorities to overturn and all that, but even on uniform swing, the SNP should claim more than 42. We shall see. Aye... but snp were 2nd with only 20% of vote and still got 6 seats.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Anyone seen the scottish sun and Daily Record front page for tomorrow yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kyle Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Anyone seen the scottish sun and Daily Record front page for tomorrow yet? I have. They haven't declared either way. Appealing to England to boot the Tories into touch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stephen Malkmus Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 They amended the first tweet; the corrected one shows Labour +2 on 28%, SNP still on 48%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 They amended the first tweet; the corrected one shows Labour +2 on 28%, SNP still on 48%. Tactical voting plus comeback Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongTimeLurker Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Could still be margin of error stuff. If the SNP stay above 45 and Labour stay below 30 with an uneven swing skewed towards Yes voting areas the landslide is still very much on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bairn Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Think we could be looking at an sea of Yellow in Edinburgh, all 5 seats could be going SNP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elixir Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Tactical voting plus comeback It's margin of error stuff ffs. The 2011 Scottish Parliament landslide finished with the SNP on 45.4% and Labour on 31.7%. This poll is showing a 20 point gap. Panelbase had a 22 point gap earlier. To give things a bit of perspective: Labour took 45.6% of the vote in Scotland in 1997. The SNP haven't polled below that mark for two months. Stop filling your breeks. Could still be margin of error stuff. If the SNP stay above 45 and Labour stay below 30 with an uneven swing skewed towards Yes voting areas the landslide is still very much on. It will be a landslide. It just depends on how big it actually is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elixir Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 If you want to see some hilarious straw clutching, look at @LabourEoin on Twitter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stephen Malkmus Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Scottish Survation poll: SNP - 45.9% LAB - 25.8% CON - 15.0% LD - 7.1% GRE - 2.6% UKIP- 2.4% OTHER - 1.3% Rout in the heartlands: http://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/politics/election-2015-exclusive-daily-record-5649340 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bairn Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 If you want to see some hilarious straw clutching, look at @LabourEoin on Twitter. @robbiehannah96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC92 Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 The poll numbers using the standard methodology (without the ballot paper thing) are: SNP - 49 Labour - 25 Tories - 16 Lib Dems - 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
glasgow-sheep Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Nicola Sturgeon’s party is on 48.9 per cent, Labour 24.8 per cent, the Tories 15.5 per cent and the Lib Dems 5.9 per cent. If the uniform swing since 2010 was repeated across the country the SNP would win 55 seats, Labour three, the Lib Dems one and the Tories would be completely wiped out. But when voters were shown the ballot papers the SNP vote fell to 45.9 per cent, whilst Labour rose to 25.8 per cent and the Lib Dems to 7.1 per cent. The Tories dropped to 15 per cent. This result would see Labour hold an extra three seats, taking their tally to six and the SNP to 52. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC92 Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Scottish Lib Dem leader Willie Rennie said: “It’s now game on for the Lib Dems. We are on the verge of doing something extraordinary by winning all five of our Highlands and Islands seats against the odds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pandarilla Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 @robbiehannah96 Someone has to reply to him about nationalists not doing history at school with a link to tom devine voting yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
glasgow-sheep Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 The regional break-down of the poll shows the Lib Dems look set to benefit most from tactical voting. In their Highlands and Islands heartlands almost half of the Conservative supporters in the region look set to lend them their vote to lock out the SNP. The Lib Dem vote share rockets from 22.7 per cent to 32.5 per cent when voters are shown the ballot paper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elixir Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 The sample size is 1,660 as well. Also, apparently a larger than average Scottish sub-sample (300) from a UK-wide Survation poll earlier had the SNP on 54% and Labour on 23%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Granny Danger Posted May 6, 2015 Author Share Posted May 6, 2015 Nicola Sturgeon’s party is on 48.9 per cent, Labour 24.8 per cent, the Tories 15.5 per cent and the Lib Dems 5.9 per cent. If the uniform swing since 2010 was repeated across the country the SNP would win 55 seats, Labour three, the Lib Dems one and the Tories would be completely wiped out. But when voters were shown the ballot papers the SNP vote fell to 45.9 per cent, whilst Labour rose to 25.8 per cent and the Lib Dems to 7.1 per cent. The Tories dropped to 15 per cent. This result would see Labour hold an extra three seats, taking their tally to six and the SNP to 52. I could live with 52, 6 and 1, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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