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Marr1

Possible Scenarios

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Based on the Latest Poll:
LAB 291, CON 265, SNP 38, DEM 23, UKIP 9, SF 5, GRN 3, PLD 3, OTHERS 13

Considering that 326 is needed for a majority, 324 when we exclude Sinn Fein, it leaves the following Coalitions:

  • LAB/SNP: 291 + 38 = 329 (Stewart Hosie for Deputy Prime Minister)
  • CON/DEM/UKIP/DUP: 265 + 23 + 9 + 8 = 305
  • LAB/DEM/GRN/Others: 291 + 23 + 3 + 5 = 322
  • LAB/DEM/UKIP: 291 + 23 + 9 = 323

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What about a Labour / Conservative coalition. They have virtually the same policies anywway.

There could be an SNP/ Tory style one just as we had at Holyrood from 2007-2011 <_<

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There could be an SNP/ Tory style one just as we had at Holyrood from 2007-2011 <_<

54322373.jpg

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What about a Labour / Conservative coalition. They have virtually the same policies anywway.

Why not chuck in the Lib Dems too?

There's the potential form some hilarious coalitions. Imagine a Labour/SNP/UKIP government. :lol:

If the figures turned out like that, I'd expect a minority government though. Would they have to wait 5 years under the new law or could they call another election after a year or two?

Edited by Gordon EF

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Why not chuck in the Lib Dems too?

There's the potential form some hilarious coalitions. Imagine a Labour/SNP/UKIP government. :lol:

If the figures turned out like that, I'd expect a minority government though. Would they have to wait 5 years under the new law or could they call another election after a year or two?

fixed terms are pish. I liked the threat of snap elections and stuff like that. Much more fun

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Why not chuck in the Lib Dems too?

There's the potential form some hilarious coalitions. Imagine a Labour/SNP/UKIP government. :lol:

If the figures turned out like that, I'd expect a minority government though. Would they have to wait 5 years under the new law or could they call another election after a year or two?

An early election can now only happen with a vote of no-confidence in the government or a two-thirds majority voting for it. The latter is obviously not going to happen as it would require both Labour and the Tories to vote for it and they're not both going to want one at the same time so no-confidence is the only realistic way it could go.

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The huge problem that the SNP faces is that (thanks to them) the Union now has a legitimate mandate for it's existence which totally destroys their old argument of "parcel of rogues" and "bought and sold for English gold" pish they used to trot out like the fuckwits they are, and any attempt to end it would be running roughshod over the "sovereign will" of the Scottish people.

We remain the only part of the UK to formally ratify our membership of the union. That must REALLY hurt the NCC. Salmond himself called on everyone to respect "the sovereign will" of the "Scottish people". Maybe the fat f**k should try doing this himself along with his collection of moronic, simpering fucktards?

<_<

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Based on the Latest Poll:

LAB 291, CON 265, SNP 38, DEM 23, UKIP 9, SF 5, GRN 3, PLD 3, OTHERS 13

Considering that 326 is needed for a majority, 324 when we exclude Sinn Fein, it leaves the following Coalitions:

  • LAB/SNP: 291 + 38 = 329 (Stewart Hosie for Deputy Prime Minister)
  • CON/DEM/UKIP/DUP: 265 + 23 + 9 + 8 = 305
  • LAB/DEM/GRN/Others: 291 + 23 + 3 + 5 = 322
  • LAB/DEM/UKIP: 291 + 23 + 9 = 323

Is that the one for the Ipsos Mori one for the Evening Standard that gave the evil Tories a 3% lead over Labour?

First time since 2010 they've had a lead even that big.

Edited by Reynard

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Why?

Tory minority gov, labour minority gov imploding with ed(not recognising english votes for english laws) Lib dems anhilation, rise of Ukip. SNP being linchpins in Westminster

Take ure pick... all great news for the Scottish independence

movement and possible English independence movement

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http://newstonoone.blogspot.co.uk/2014_11_01_archive.html

This guy has looked at what the bookies are predicting for every seat and come up with:

Lab: 308

Con: 266.5

LD: 31

UKIP: 6

SNP: 15.5

PC: 3

Green: 1

NB. There's one seat where SNP and Con were joint favourite at the time of his analysis. Also seats in Northern Ireland weren't included And this was done just before the recent polls showing surge in support for the SNP.

My predictions (pretty far removed from what I would actually like to see happening, but still...):

- Both SNP and UKIP will do *quite well*, although neither matching the sort of polling that they're getting at the moment, and SNP ending up with somewhere around 15-18 seats. Wondering if people will swing back towards Labour and the Tories by the time the election comes around.

- Labour to win the election in terms of seats, but not by total votes cast. Labour forming either a minority government or coalition/supply and confidence with the LDs and whichever way the whole thing ending up pretty weak and unpopular overall.

- The Tories regrouping under Boris Johnson, getting the UKIP waverers back on board, and winning with a comfortable majority in 2020.

Edited by Adamski

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Tory minority gov, labour minority gov imploding with ed(not recognising english votes for english laws) Lib dems anhilation, rise of Ukip. SNP being linchpins in Westminster

Take ure pick... all great news for the Scottish independence

movement and possible English independence movement

That's probably your best bet now. The Scottish version is a dead duck.

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That's probably your best bet now. The Scottish version is a dead duck.

Apparently Scottish Independence is now a lot more likely after we voted overwhelmingly to reject it. :1eye

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Apparently Scottish Independence is now a lot more likely after we voted overwhelmingly to reject it. :1eye

We need to accept the sovereign will of the Scottish people.

Unless its something we don't like, in which case we will carry on like a bunch of three year olds having a massive tantrum.

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