lionel hutz Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Based on the Latest Poll:LAB 291, CON 265, SNP 38, DEM 23, UKIP 9, SF 5, GRN 3, PLD 3, OTHERS 13 Considering that 326 is needed for a majority, 324 when we exclude Sinn Fein, it leaves the following Coalitions: LAB/SNP: 291 + 38 = 329 (Stewart Hosie for Deputy Prime Minister) CON/DEM/UKIP/DUP: 265 + 23 + 9 + 8 = 305 LAB/DEM/GRN/Others: 291 + 23 + 3 + 5 = 322 LAB/DEM/UKIP: 291 + 23 + 9 = 323 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Highlandmagyar Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Minority government then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotThePars Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Imagine a Labour/ Lib Dem/ UKIP government. All satire will become redundant till about 2030. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Todders Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 What about a Labour / Conservative coalition. They have virtually the same policies anywway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reynard Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 What about a Labour / Conservative coalition. They have virtually the same policies anywway. There could be an SNP/ Tory style one just as we had at Holyrood from 2007-2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elixir Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 There could be an SNP/ Tory style one just as we had at Holyrood from 2007-2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reynard Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Toaaarrriieeeeeeeezzzzzzz!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gordon EF Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 What about a Labour / Conservative coalition. They have virtually the same policies anywway. Why not chuck in the Lib Dems too? There's the potential form some hilarious coalitions. Imagine a Labour/SNP/UKIP government. If the figures turned out like that, I'd expect a minority government though. Would they have to wait 5 years under the new law or could they call another election after a year or two? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reynard Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Why not chuck in the Lib Dems too? There's the potential form some hilarious coalitions. Imagine a Labour/SNP/UKIP government. If the figures turned out like that, I'd expect a minority government though. Would they have to wait 5 years under the new law or could they call another election after a year or two? fixed terms are pish. I liked the threat of snap elections and stuff like that. Much more fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunning1874 Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Why not chuck in the Lib Dems too? There's the potential form some hilarious coalitions. Imagine a Labour/SNP/UKIP government. If the figures turned out like that, I'd expect a minority government though. Would they have to wait 5 years under the new law or could they call another election after a year or two? An early election can now only happen with a vote of no-confidence in the government or a two-thirds majority voting for it. The latter is obviously not going to happen as it would require both Labour and the Tories to vote for it and they're not both going to want one at the same time so no-confidence is the only realistic way it could go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 All the options are great for the Scottish independence movement imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reynard Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 All the options are great for the Scottish independence movement imo. Why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reynard Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 The huge problem that the SNP faces is that (thanks to them) the Union now has a legitimate mandate for it's existence which totally destroys their old argument of "parcel of rogues" and "bought and sold for English gold" pish they used to trot out like the fuckwits they are, and any attempt to end it would be running roughshod over the "sovereign will" of the Scottish people. We remain the only part of the UK to formally ratify our membership of the union. That must REALLY hurt the NCC. Salmond himself called on everyone to respect "the sovereign will" of the "Scottish people". Maybe the fat f**k should try doing this himself along with his collection of moronic, simpering fucktards? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reynard Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Based on the Latest Poll: LAB 291, CON 265, SNP 38, DEM 23, UKIP 9, SF 5, GRN 3, PLD 3, OTHERS 13 Considering that 326 is needed for a majority, 324 when we exclude Sinn Fein, it leaves the following Coalitions: LAB/SNP: 291 + 38 = 329 (Stewart Hosie for Deputy Prime Minister) CON/DEM/UKIP/DUP: 265 + 23 + 9 + 8 = 305 LAB/DEM/GRN/Others: 291 + 23 + 3 + 5 = 322 LAB/DEM/UKIP: 291 + 23 + 9 = 323 Is that the one for the Ipsos Mori one for the Evening Standard that gave the evil Tories a 3% lead over Labour? First time since 2010 they've had a lead even that big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Why? Tory minority gov, labour minority gov imploding with ed(not recognising english votes for english laws) Lib dems anhilation, rise of Ukip. SNP being linchpins in Westminster Take ure pick... all great news for the Scottish independence movement and possible English independence movement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adamski Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 http://newstonoone.blogspot.co.uk/2014_11_01_archive.html This guy has looked at what the bookies are predicting for every seat and come up with: Lab: 308 Con: 266.5 LD: 31 UKIP: 6 SNP: 15.5 PC: 3 Green: 1 NB. There's one seat where SNP and Con were joint favourite at the time of his analysis. Also seats in Northern Ireland weren't included And this was done just before the recent polls showing surge in support for the SNP. My predictions (pretty far removed from what I would actually like to see happening, but still...): - Both SNP and UKIP will do *quite well*, although neither matching the sort of polling that they're getting at the moment, and SNP ending up with somewhere around 15-18 seats. Wondering if people will swing back towards Labour and the Tories by the time the election comes around. - Labour to win the election in terms of seats, but not by total votes cast. Labour forming either a minority government or coalition/supply and confidence with the LDs and whichever way the whole thing ending up pretty weak and unpopular overall. - The Tories regrouping under Boris Johnson, getting the UKIP waverers back on board, and winning with a comfortable majority in 2020. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reynard Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Tory minority gov, labour minority gov imploding with ed(not recognising english votes for english laws) Lib dems anhilation, rise of Ukip. SNP being linchpins in Westminster Take ure pick... all great news for the Scottish independence movement and possible English independence movement That's probably your best bet now. The Scottish version is a dead duck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H_B Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 That's probably your best bet now. The Scottish version is a dead duck. Apparently Scottish Independence is now a lot more likely after we voted overwhelmingly to reject it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reynard Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Apparently Scottish Independence is now a lot more likely after we voted overwhelmingly to reject it. We need to accept the sovereign will of the Scottish people. Unless its something we don't like, in which case we will carry on like a bunch of three year olds having a massive tantrum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elixir Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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