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lichtgilphead last won the day on December 20 2019
lichtgilphead had the most liked content!
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The return of the ever-expanding ignore list! What a time to be alive.
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Err, it was you that challenged the board to point out something untrue that Campbell had posted. I did, and provided figures to back up my claims. You then came away with some crap about him picking and choosing his dates & figures. I pointed out that this approach was unlikely to stand up to scrutiny and invited you to validate his figures. You say you don't care enough to do so. I would suggest that that's because you know that Campbell was posting nonsense. Incidentally, pointing out facts is not equal to hostility. Are you suggesting that you're not a multibanned alias?
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Who cares? It's still obviously wrong. Picking and choosing polls from various pollsters to suit your argument does not constitute any sort of reliable statistical analysis. He doesn't even tell us whether his 47% includes "don't knows" or not! Here's a link to every indy poll since before the 2014 referendum. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_on_Scottish_independence if it means so much to you to prove him correct, you do the analysis (Hint - you won't be able to!) Incidentally, I'm 100% sure that you are a previously multibanned alias. I don't think I'll bother to show my working either. Go on, prove me wrong.
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If you do a google image search, you will find the misleading graph in at least 10 of his posts between May 2022 & March 2023. Take your pick.
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A good example of Campbell using incorrect information is the graph in which he claims that independence support has flatlined since 2015 My go-to site for statistical analysis of Indy polling is Scot Goes Pop. Here's what James Kelly of that site has to say Once again we must start with Campbell's Lib Dem-style dodgy graph which falsely claims that support for independence has remained absolutely static on 47% since just after the independence referendum. I've comprehensively debunked that graph many times before, but it looks like I'll just have to keep doing it every so often, because he's determined to treat his readers with utter contempt by telling them the exact same lie over and over and over again. Below you'll find the real figures for independence support in recent times, which as you can see actually show substantial changes from year to year. The annual averages for conventional polling are now updated with the final average for 2022, which saw Yes fall shy of the 50% mark by just 0.2 percentage points. Yearly support for Scottish independence in the Scottish Social Attitudes Survey: 2014: 33% 2016 (a): 39% 2016 (b): 46% 2018: 45% 2020: 51% 2021: 52% Average yearly support for independence in conventional opinion polling: 2016: 47.7% 2017: 45.3% 2018: 45.5% 2019: 47.6% 2020: 53.0% 2021: 49.6% 2022: 49.8% For the sake of simplicity, the above figures use any poll included in Wikipedia's main list of independence polls. Accordingly, it should be a simple matter for anyone to compare Campbell & Kelly's figures.
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The Pie and Bovril Dead Pool 2023
lichtgilphead replied to Miguel Sanchez's topic in The General Nonsense Forum
Truly bumptious -
Eddie seems to be settling in. Percy has accepted that he will be sharing bed-space on a regular basis.
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The Arbroath Thread
lichtgilphead replied to Lichtie78's topic in Scottish Championship General Chatter
Whilst Hester has not been found guilty of any criminal offence, he is still subject to the SFA's disciplinary rules. Disciplinary Rule 71 – No recognised football body, club, official, Team Official or other member of Team Staff, player, match official, or other person under the jurisdiction of the Scottish FA shall bring the game into disrepute. He took the £2500 for being booked, even though the Fiscal couldn't prove that he deliberately got himself booked to "earn" it. That leaves a nasty taste, which I'm pretty sure the SFA will not condone. -
Should Scotland be an independent country? (Scot Goes Pop / Find Out Now, 1st - 9th March 2023) Yes 52% No 48% Here are a few random nuggets from the data tables - * Exactly one-quarter of Labour voters from 2019 would now vote Yes to independence. * There's no real gender divide anymore, and in fact the Yes lead is very slightly bigger among women (Yes 50%, No 45% before the exclusion of Don't Knows). * All age groups below 45 show a Yes lead, and the strongest Yes lead of all is among 25-34 year olds (Yes 71%, No 23%). The tightest result is among 45-54 year olds, who break for No by 53% to 47%. * All social class groupings show a very similar Yes lead with the sole exception of the highest-earning "ABs", who have No ahead by a whopping 64% to 32%. * I have a sort of prejudice which means that I never take regional subsamples particularly seriously, but for what it's worth the highest support for independence appears to be in Glasgow: Yes 56%, No 39%. It is unlikely there will be another referendum on Scottish independence soon, because the UK Supreme Court has ruled that the UK Government's permission would be required. Suppose the SNP, and other pro-independence parties, make a commitment in their election manifestos to negotiate a settlement with the UK Government so that Scotland becomes an independent country. If pro-independence parties win more than 50% of the vote in Scotland on that manifesto commitment, do you agree or disagree that they will have a democratic mandate to negotiate an independence settlement with the UK Government? Agree: 33% Disagree: 30% Don't Know / Prefer Not To Say: 37% With Don't Knows removed, that works out at roughly 52% for 'Agree' and 48% for 'Disagree'. However, arguably much more to the point are the results among SNP voters. SNP voters only: Agree: 69% Disagree: 5% Don't Know / Prefer Not To Say: 26% After Don't Knows are stripped out, that's a whopping 93% for 'Agree' and only 7% for 'Disagree'. Full article here: https://scotgoespop.blogspot.com/2023/03/exclusive-scot-goes-pop-find-out-now.html
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Fixture at the Most different venues.
lichtgilphead replied to Autistisches Nilpferd's topic in Infowire
Yeah, the Pleash End goals were roughly where the players tunnel is now. There was room for standing about 2 deep down the Ladyloan side. Anyway, for a while, agnyone drawn away in a cup to Stirling Albion could refuse to go to Annfield because of the original plastic pitch. Accordingly, Arbroath have definitely played the Binos away at Firs Park & Muirton. I think there was also a cuptie at Ochilview but I wasn't there. Add in Annfield & Forthbank and that's 5 different away grounds in addition to Gayfield. -
Old sayings that younger folk won't get any longer
lichtgilphead replied to DA Baracus's topic in The General Nonsense Forum
Both long gone now, bur in the '60's/early 70's in Arbroath the indoor pool on Marketgate was always "the baths" and the outdoor pool on the sea front was always "the pool". And yes, the baths still had actual baths somewhere on the left after the entrance. -
Next permanent Scotland manager
lichtgilphead replied to Richey Edwards's topic in The Politics Forum
In the article, Anwat says (my emphasis) “Once Mr Asghar was sentenced to death in January 2014, the family recognised that it was a race against time and I was instructed to act by the family in February 2014, following the sentence of death being pronounced in a Pakistani court." and “One of my first steps on behalf of the family was to place pressure on Humza Yousaf, the Scottish Government and others to intervene" All of these events are after the meeting was arranged on 16th January, when the appointment was inserted in Humza's diary. I ask again: 1) How could Humza have known in advance what the sentence would be? 2) Why was the "urgent" appointment not scheduled until 4th February, 12 days after passing of the sentence? I would also ask why Anwat is now stating that Humza had to be placed under pressure to intervene if the appointment was already in place before the death sentence? -
Next permanent Scotland manager
lichtgilphead replied to Richey Edwards's topic in The Politics Forum
As far as I can work out, the time & date of the vote was put into Humza's diary on 14th January. He arranged the meeting with the consul on 16th January. Mr Ashgar recieved his death sentence on Thursday 23rd January, a full week after the "urgent" appointment had been made. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-25874580 Two comments: 1) How could Humza have known in advance what the sentence would be? 2) Why was the "urgent" appointment not scheduled until 4th February, 12 days after passing of the sentence? -
The Arbroath Thread
lichtgilphead replied to Lichtie78's topic in Scottish Championship General Chatter
To be pedantic, we only need to match Cove & Hamilton's results in their other games if we beat them both at the Gayf. -
Increase Championship to 12 teams
lichtgilphead replied to Piorek's topic in Scottish Championship General Chatter
Are you expecting Brechin back in the C'ship in the near future then?