Casual Bystander
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Posts posted by Casual Bystander
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Still no having these polls, even though they are showing improvement for us, even if it was showing YES winning I just wont believe them or think that they will be anywhere near accurate on something one off like this. Maybe that's just me though but I'm not getting my hopes up.
Completely.
I didn't believe them when nearly everyone I was speaking to was voting Yes (or a soft Yes) and the polls were showing in the low 30's, and I'm not going to believe them now.
It's nothing more than a slight comfort, nothing more.
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If it is 47%, that will mean that in one month, YG has polled the Yes as 35% (07/08), 38% (15/08), 47% (01/09). That is one fucker of a curve no matter how you wish to spin those figures.
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Who is running the Mr Bairn, "how I tricked the polls", bingo?
Because it's not like he won't shut the f**k up about it, as if his one opinion makes the difference in a vote covering millions.
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I'm glad we're not over reacting on here.
I think it's important that the yes campaigners don't see this as some sort of victory. I still don't believe the polls and wouldn't no matter which side they are showing for.
However, we all have to admit that if YG are showing it within touching distance that is quite a jump.
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Yeah. if YouGov were to release a poll of more than 50% for the Yes camp I will be stunned, absolutely stunned.
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Bloody hell!
Ok, on a serious note, that is a bloody huge result but the cynic in me thinks they would release a rigged huge poll in favour only to release another YG poll showing the usual figures and claim the Yes campaign is falling off.
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Yeah, I seriously doubt YouGov polls say that. If it does a, perhaps they've stopped taking their polls in the Louden Tavern.
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While I don't trust the polls, have you noticed how now they are much closer how the mainstream media has suddenly stopped posting them, or if they do they are no longer as prominent.
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It never ceases to amaze me how this H_B lad can be an expert on every single topic that is discussed. History, politics, maths... you name it, he seems to be some sort of polymath with an IQ topping the 170s.
With this in mind one has to ask two questions; 1) if he is such an expert why is he spending his time on forums like this rather than going about solving the world's real problems like poverty, climate change or famine, and 2) why would such a clever man be so adamant on such a stupid decision as to vote no.
Will we get an answer to these two questions? Perhaps, perhaps not, but regardless whether we do or not we should all bask in the reflective glow of a genius the likes of which grace the human race only once or twice in a lifetime.
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Only the nodrones could consider an ever closing gap as a positive.
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It was an assumption based on logic and common sense.
Now you see if you had just said that rather than that whole really embarrassing Iain Dale thing then things would be fine.
Sadly, though, you will forever be labelled with using a local radio DJ as the "source" for your argument. #toughbreak
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My point stands. In FPTP, Lib Dems > UKIP.
No it doesn't.
You said it was a fact, to back that up you found the first link you could to support that claim. Sadly for you it was a massively discredited source and you've looked a fool.
I will ask once more, where is the evidence to back up your claim of "fact".
You have the opportunity to retract your claim, and just admit it was an assumption based on nothing more than a hunch.
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*Types 'Lib Dem 2015 election' into Google*
And sure enough: first page, four down
Serious question: why are you so fucking dim?
...but ...but ..it's FACTS!
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Even the LibDems think Alexander is going to lose this seat! Did you not see thier own polling?
He's clueless. There are people wearing black armbands in Alexander's constituency office just now it's so obvious he's lost that seat.
But, hey, we could be wrong, after all Iain Dale is a London local radio dj he clearly knows more than the people who actually live in Inverness.
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That's your "evidence"? Iain Dale? This Iain Dale...
Looks like your desperate smash and grab via Google has let you down big time.
Perhaps look up the word "fact". You'll find it doesn't define it as "Local radio presenter makes assumptions based on hunches"...
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The Lib Dems
This is the same Lib Dems Mr Bairn has claimed will get more seats than UKIP in the election and he claimed that as "fact".
Funnily enough he has so far failed to back up this "fact", and the mischievous may suggest he is avoiding the request.
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I am still waiting for the evidence for the last "fact" you claimed.
Seems like you enjoy being a bit of "knock door run", only with wild accusations and on the Internet.
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Just got polled by yougov. Proof will be provided shortly.
Are you being selective of your proof? You were adamant about a fact in another thread yet seem somewhat disinclined to provide the proof despite being asked.
Yeah, because, you know... that's rock solid proof.
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Wait a minute... You're saying EVERY SINGLE undecided voter will vote yes?
I do believe the technical term for this is "whoosh".
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You have to love the nodrones, when the gap was as high as 14% (although that was never really the case) then apparently it is bad for the Yes camp. Then when the gap closed down to 10% it was bad for the Yes camp. Now as the gap closes and with the momentum with the Yes camp it's still bad for them.
I presume that if the polls show Yes in the lead and when a Yes vote is delivered on the 18th it will still be bad for the Yes camp.
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I'll rephrase, it would be worse if someone sat on the results than if they released them. If Panelbase are known to be collating their results then for some reason those results weren't made public then the worst case scenario would be the assumption.
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...so it will either be out this Sunday or suppressed.
Can't imagine they can sit on it.
Cameron's visit up here with his scaremongering about losing 1 million jobs might have a wee dent in the polls mind, so I wouldn't be surprised to see the following ones drop a little.
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Obligatory gif:
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Most people on Twitter are quoting a Survation poll of 47 / 53 (ex. undecided)
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Latest Polls and Latest Odds
in The Politics Forum
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Where is this "silent majority". Considering both sides have been pretty fucking vocal the idea that there is now a 3rd group of people who are not only in the majority but also are silent is batshit crazy talk.