The Trainbairn

Decided against the Pogues gig due to timings but got nice surprise when I discovered Roger Daltrey is doing additional dates of the Tommy tour. Got ticket for the Sunday night that ends the tour in the 02. Might still book up Squeeze given the good reviews I have read(TIBS included) but the Pogues gig fell on the Emirates Cup 1st day and would have been a major rush to get back for it. Never mind, Daltrey at the 02 more than makes up for it!!

Got a few coming up at the end of July, and waiting on confirmation of whether The Rifles will come to Scotland this Winter to plug the new album. BAD atthe Southbank Centre, House of Pain, Squeeze and The pogues( for the greenwich Summer sessions). All within the one week on a summer holiday cant be that bad.

Sunday racing usually always looks like the poor relation to the classy racing on a Saturday but there is one I like the look of at Sedgefield in the 2.40 in what looks a weak race. HASPER 13 y o b g ( Sandy Forster) Record racing LH:261214U325(2-10) Record racing RH: PU(0-2) Conclusion: He has done most of his racing going Left Handed Record in fields of 8 runners or less: 121P2U(2-6) Record in fields of 9 runners or more: 264U325(0-6) Conclusion: His best runs have come in small fields. Summary of ideal conditions: When racing in fields of 8 runners or less, going Left Handed, his record reads: 1212(2-4). He may be thirteen years old but given ideal conditions today, in such a weak race, he has to be the value at around the 11/2-6/1 mark. Best of luck with whatever you bet today Steven __________

Primal Scream booked up now for the Screamadelica 20th Anniversary tour next March..Last day of the Cheltenham Festival as well. Should be a cracking day/night

Got a few in next few weeks. Barenaked Ladies @ O2 Academy next Friday Manic Street Preachers with british Sea Power supporting @ Corn Exchange the Saturday after. Ocean Colour Scene again at the 02 Academy October 7th Charlatans with Sean Ryder at Fat sams on the 9th of October Not a bad haul actually for me since I usually get to about four a year. Also ending the year with Paul Weller and Rifles at SECC in December and possibly Faithless if I can persuade my brother to buy me the ticket for my birthday.

I was a very small part of a syndicate that shared the pot with 7 other players the year Madison Du Berlais won the Hennesey and denied our hopes for the bonus. My mate was the main protagonist in it and has won it at least three times iirc.

Cant have Hawkeyethenoo with counterfeit in the Gold Cup. Stable are woefully out of form at present.

Quite fancy the top weight Josr's Magic here but also been told not to disregard Nom delarosa

Ellie's Image looks to have strong claims in the nightcap at Catterick at 8.30 this evening. ELLIE'S IMAGE 3 yo b f (B P J Baugh) Distance. 6f: 8(0-1) 7f: 801411(3-6) 1m:060(0-3) 9f: 0 (0-1) Conclusion: She is best at 7f. Class of race Class 1-3: no runs Class 4: 8 (0-1) Class 5: 800460(0-6) Class 6: 0111(3-4) Conclusion: She has yet to win above Class 6. Summary of ideal conditions: When racing at 7f, in class 6 or lower grade, her record reads: 111(3-3). All three wins have come over today's C&D and the only worry for me is the ground as she has only won on Good to firm going so far in her career. She might be well drawn in stall 13 as they tend to come stands side when the going is on the easier side here and she is one of very few progressive animals in this race so has to take all the beating at around the 3/1 mark.

Newmarket 2.05 Geneva Geezer has ideal conditions today and can run well at fancy odds. GENEVA GEEZER(GER) 4 yo b g ( J P Eustace) Distance 6f: F1(1-2) 7f:5 (0-1) 1m: 85(0-2) 1m2f: 11010912(4- 1m3f: no runs 1m4f: 3P0(0-3) Conclusion: He runs his best races at 10f. Jockeyship Luke Morris:F1580(1-5) Stepehn Craine: 9(0-1) Micky Fenton: 513110P012(4-10) Conclusion: He runs particularly well for jockey Micky Fenton Field size 10 or less runners: F15851311P912(5-13) 11 or more runners: 000(3-3) Conclusion: Being a front runner, he is best in smaller fields . Summary of ideal conditions When racing at 10f, when ridden by Micky Fenton, his record reads: 111012(4-6). The duck egg came in a field of 11 runners at Doncaster and in fields of 10 or less runners that record improves to: 11112(4-5 with the defeat by a short head). As a front runner, if given an easy time up front and it doesn't turn into a burn-up for the lead, he can reverse the defeat by Abergavenny last time out on thre lbs better terms on a track that suits better(All his wins have come on galloping tracks) and at 16/1 he is way too big a price,especially from an each way perspective.

Got four between now and the end of the year(possibly a fifth if I can get Manics tickets for teh Brixton Academy) Jazzie B DJ set at the Jazz Cafe end of July Barenaked Ladies end f fSeptember at the 02 Academy in Glasgow Charlatans with Shaun Ryder supporting at Fat Sams in Dundee Paul Weller SECC early December.

This one runs in the 5.30 at Kempton toniht and has great e/w chances to these eyes. BEST IN CLASS 4yo gr g (S C Williams) Distance 6f:6 (0-1) 7f: 1 (1-1) 1m:214640 (1-6) 1m1f:no runs 1m2f:00100 (1-5) Conclusion:he has won at trips from 7f-1m2f. Going Firm:no runs Good to Firm:06 (0-2) Good:0 (0-1) Good to soft:4 (0-1) Polytrack: 62110100(3- Conclusion: he is far better on polytrack. Class Class 4 or better:0000(0-4) Class 5 or lower:621406141(3-9) Summary of ideal conditions When racing on polytrack surfaces, in Class 5 or lower grade races, his record reads: 621141(3-6)

www.wmmo.com (Orlando AOR radio station)

That's the one yep. Started off okay but just didn't seem to go anywhere.

I have read that Buckley one as well banterman and went back and read his older stuff including the excellent Thank You For Smoking which I can recommend. Started to read the latest Bisset book but gave up after about 80 pages. Pretty mediocre stuff.

3.45 Goodwood THE FIFTH MEMBER(IRE) 5 yo b g (J R Boyle) Distance 7f: 221894 (1-6) 1m: 5479103113241440 (3-13) 1m1f:0(0-1) 1m2f: 0 (0-1) Conclusion:he is best at 1m. Going Good to firm or faster: 02134 (1-5) Good: 28300 (0-5) Good to soft: 9941 (1-4) Soft/heavy:12 (1-2) Polytrack: 54701144 (2- Polytrack runs by track Kempton: 471144 (2-6) Lingfield: 50 (0-2) Conclusion:all ground comes as one to him with good placed or winning runs on all surfaces. Trainer R M Flower: 54702 (0-5) J R Boyle: 9120189431132414400 (5-19) Conclusion:he has improved for the move to his current stable of Jim Boyle. Class Class 3 or above: 33244400 (0- Class 4 or lower: 5470291201894111 (5-16) Conclusion:he has a definite class barrier, whilst placing at the higher class races, all his winning form has come in class 4 or lower events. Field size 12 or less runners: 547014324 (1-9) 13 or more runners: 029128911341400 (4-15) Conclusion:he is better in bigger fields of at least 13 runners or more. Summary of ideal conditions When racing in fields of 13 or more runners, at Class 4 or below, over 1m his record reads:1111(4-4). Back down in class to class 4 he rates a cracking bet today

Next one is likely to be The Rifles in London at end of October then Pet Shop Boys at SECC.

Trainer David Lanigan is an up and coming trainer that I respect greatly and he could not have been in greater form this month. He has run ten runners this month and the complete record reads: 1st-1st-Unplaced-3rd-1st-1st-Unplaced-Unplaced-1st( five winners from those ten runners). The first of his two runners today was Brilliana who hosed up at Bath earlier having been gambled from 9/2-7/2 and the second is Lastofthefourones. This one runs in not exactly the strongest maiden ever run at the Yorkshire track. Mark Johnston runs two including odds on favourite El Ameem but that one was a 12/1 shot on debut and I would have though the Middelham rumour mill would have had this one ahorter on that run if he had been going well at home. Now he is odds-on which looks too short and at the prices, with the stable in such red hot form Lastofthefourones has to be the bet for me. £5 win Lastofthefourones @11/2 Best of luck with whtever you bet today Steven

MR HICHENS 4 yo b c (Karen George) Distance 7f: 80 (0-2) 1m: 4522416 (1-7) 1m1f: 1 (1-1) 1m2f: 145 (1-3) Conclusion;he has winning form at 1m-1m2f. Going Good to firm or faster: 8221 (1-4) Good: 40 (0-2) Good to soft: 556 (0-3) Soft: 4114 (2-4) Conclusion:he has won on both good to firm and also soft going and yet should also be ok on most other going. Field size 9 or less runners: 4111 (3-4) 10 or more runners: 480022456 (0-9) Conclusion: he is best in small single figure fields as he has made the running in his three wins. Jockey E Ahern: 4 (0-1) W Buick: 5 (0-1) S Donohoe: 0 (0-1) T Durcan: 46 (0-2) R Havlin: 42 (0-2) A Munro: 2 (0-1) T P O’Shea: 1115 (3-4) J P Spencer; 0 (0-1) Conclusion: he has struck up a good understanding with jockey Tadgh O’ Shea. Summary of ideal conditions When racing in fields of 9 or less runners and ridden by Tadgh O’Shea his record reads: 111 (3-3). Doesnt have O'Shea on board but in this small field might well be able to get his own way up front and nick the 4,20 at Leicester.

Derby is a two horse race imo. Crowded house and Montaff who will both benefit from the draw bias that always exists in the race.

Counting Crows were fantastic but very dissapointed with The Hold Steady indeed.

Counting Crows in SECC tommorow night rescheduled from Christmas and added bonus of The Hold Steady as support act as Ben Folds are unable to make it.

The Turf Flat season begins today with the traditional season opener of the Lincoln meeting at Doncaster, and a cracking card with quite a few nice betting opportunities looks the order of the day. First up, in the consolation Lincoln, at 2.45 I am very sweet on the chances of the top weight Mangham at a best priced 9/1. He has the low draw that the experts in that field seem to be assuring us is the best place to be going on the stats which is a positive and looks like he has ideal conditions here. MANGHAM(IRE) 4 yo g ( D Brown) Distance 7f: 253 (0-3) 1m:1012 (2-4) 1m1f: 1 (1-1) 1m2f: 323 (0-3) Conclusion:he is best at 1m-1m1f. Going Good to firm or faster: 12 (1-2) Good: 531 (1-3) Good to soft: 2302 (0-4) Soft/Heavy:31 (1-2) Conclusion: all ground comes alike to him. Jockey: P. Mulrennan: 31321012 (3- Conclusion: He runs especially well for Paul Mulrennan. Summary of ideal conditions When racing at 1m-1m1f, his record reads:11012 (4-5) All these runs came when ridden by Paul Mullrennan. He has flourished for the move to David Brown’s yard, and with the jockey on board today who gets the best out of him, he looks to have all the usual bases covered(Trip suits, ground isn’t a problem, jockey on board is a positive) so at the prices around he most certainly looks far better value than backing current favourite Fireside who has only one Newmarket maiden win to his name and yet is more than half the price of the Brown runner. Put it this way, place Mangham in the care of Michael Jarvis and what price do you reckon he would be?.. Certainly far shorter than he is today and therefore he has to be the bet today. In the Lincoln itself, there are a few horses that cases could be made for against the short priced favourite from the Gosden yard and the one that catches my eye specifically is the Jamie Osborne trained Docofthebay who currently trades at around the 25/1 mark which looks too big if he comes back to form, albeit that I would rather take SP given the doubts about the market leader’s participation than take a price and have a hefty deduction clobber any winnings. This one doesn’t look to have pulled up any trees so far this season, but his trainer has just been getting him ready so far(even going as far as to admit this in comments to the media prior to his re-appearance that he was getting him fit for the carnival in Dubai where he didn’t run his race at all) and there are a couple of interesting pointers to his chance today. Firstly, he was second in the Royal Hunt Cup at the Royal Ascot meeting in the summer on this ground, off a mark 6lbs higher than he runs off today, so is well handicapped on that run. The improved performance that day came with the application of a first time blinkers which then failed to work after that resulting in some poor performances in his runs since then. The blinkers are back on today, which I see as a positive, and also the fact he has previous in these cavalry charge fields is a positive(2nd in Pipedreamer’s Cambridgeshire as well as that second in the Hunt Cup as well as two wins in fields of 15 runners or more) so with Joe Fanning on board he definitely rates a bet with his eight 2nd places making it each way rather than just straight win in case he finds one too good again. The third cracker on Town Moor runs in the concluding apprentice handicap at 5.40 and features another horse who has a distinct profile to his runs. TRIP THE LIGHT 4 yo g ( R A Fahey) Distance: 6f: 05(0-2) 7f: 0(0-1) 1m1f: 8 (0-1) 1m3f: 5 (0-1) 1m4f: 431 (1-3) 1m6f: 115 (2-3) 2m: 5 (0-1) Conclusion: Quite what connections were doing even entertaining hopes of him running well over 6f given his pedigree is beyond me. His best runs have come when he started to run over 1m4f+. Going Good to firm or faster: 50131 (2-5) Good: 51 (1-2) Soft: 05 (0-2) Polytrack: 845 (0-3) Conclusion: he is best on quicker surfaces on Turf with a record on Good or faster being: 5051311 (3-7). Headgear: Visor: 11155 (3-5) No headgear: 0508543(0-7) Conclusion:he improved leaps and bounds for the application of a visor last year. Summary of ideal conditions When racing on ground officially good or faster, when wearing a visor, his record reads: 111 (3-3). Unbeaten under today’s conditions, and dropped a few pounds because of last season’s two late runs on unsuitable ground, he hails from an inform yard( three winners and three seconds from their last nine runners), we are getting double figure odds because of possible worries about his fitness, but I am more than willing to accept that he is a horse who we could look back at the end of the season as being very well handicapped here as it wins off far higher marks later in the season and we do get the services of one of the better apprentices in this race on our side as well. To complete the magic foursome, a chance is taken with Marcus Tregoning’s Ajhar who runs in the Listed Magnolia Stakes at Kempton. The course record-holder over 11f here, he goes well fresh and will be therefore ready to run his race after a 126 day break, if the drop down to 10f doesn’t cause him too many problems. He is clear top rated on Top Speed figures on that run last September, and I can’t have the favourite Bronze Cannon on the clock as I think he runs his best races first time up and will bounce to the moon today running so shortly after that run in the Winter derby, so with the prices as they are, the value

Got two horses running tonight under ideal conditions.Only problem is that they run in the same race(7.20 Kempton) MILLFIELD(IRE) 6 yo g ( P Charmings) Distance 5f: 01300 (1-5) 6f:3005628 (0-7) 7f: 10048661200031128236522 (4-23) 1m: 15177108391660 (4-14) 1m1f: 335 (0-3) Conclusion:he is best at 7f-1m. Going Good to firm or faster: 113056061007620 (3-15) Good: 3001(1-4) Good to soft or softer: 0005 (0-4) Polytrack: 486203131123822317518359816260 (5-29) Polytrack by track: Kempton: 03122518381260 (3-14) Lingfield: 84123179( 2- Wolverhampton: 423385( 0-6) Great Leighs: 6 (0-1) Conclusion: he is best on Good to firm or quicker on turf and equally as good on the all weather Polytack surfaces at Lingfield and Kempton, but hasn‘t performed as well at Wolverhampton. Jockey: George Baker: 1001128213120(5-13) Jim Crowley: 833223151765( 2-12) Robert Winston: 131 (2-3) All other jockeys: 030056000046620370859866 (0-24) Conclusion:Only three jockeys have won on him and he goes especially well for George Baker. Summary of ideal conditions When racing over 7f-1m, when ridden by George Baker, his record reads: 1001128213120(5-13)If we limit it just to his runs at Lingfield and Kempton then the record becomes: 0112213120(4-11). GAZBOOLOU 5 yo b g ( D Pinder) Distance 6f: 22 (0-2) 7f: 221053241 (2-9) 1m: 661870434110 (3-12) Conclusion:he has won at both 7f and 1m. Track Straight: 22244 (0-5) Left-handed: 206820430 (0-9) Right-handed: 1531311 (4-7) Figure of eight: 67 (0-2) Conclusion: he is far better on right-handed tracks. Class Class 4 or higher: 2226053687 (0-10) Class 5 or lower: 2112044343110 (4-13) Conclusion:he has yet to win above Class 5 races. Summary of ideal conditions When racing on right-handed tracks, in class 5 races or lower, his record reads: 11311 (4-5). With Gazboolou being 8/1 and Millfield currently 15/2, by splitting stakes between the two, effectively it is like backing them at 4/1 coupled which seems incredible value as I really cannot see at least one of them not winning the race and have done the f/cast as well.

The horse ran a poor race freedomwriters, with the only mitigating factor in my view being how hard he pulled early in the race.Pulled too hard early so was never going to get competitive when the spring for home started.