John Lambies Doos

If we believe the polls then there are two things Yes have in their favour. 1. These missing voters, hunch is mainly yes, not registered with polling companies. .. possibly 300k 2. Generalising slightly here... but all Yes voters will vote, not sure I can say same thing about No Also, just to note, private polling on ground seems to favour Yes... and since there has been no real change in polls for c. 1 wk now, u could assume no change in ground... Therefore a Yes is still possible

Heres a really good article re. Scottish Polls http://emeraldnewsnetwork.wordpress.com/2014/09/15/something-fishy-in-the-scottish-polls/

HA HA

Based on these the sun will back No, thats what they do

Maybe, based on their databases its accurate?

Another one the same

Murdoch respects Salmond and dislikes Cameron and Brown... but he is a business man who likes to play games

Reasons?

The Sun will either stay neutral or declare No. I think it will make a difference to some. Just like the record headline this morning

Maybe... but some no voters just wont vote, all yes voters will.... not sure any politician can stop momentum. .. We are all a door lot on here, pessimism to the full... no country has ever voted against its own indy due to fear and we would be a laughing stock worldwide if we did. I do appreciate that some people just dont want it, and I respect that

I reckon ICM poll will hit 60% yes tonight

ICM one in scotsman 9pm tonight

Is there a new poll out at 5???

Business decision. They will hope many place bets back on, this time to yes

So we are concluding that the polls are way out? Ie they mainly contain old people, people with landlines and do not contain the additional 400k that are registered to vote? And they are still showing 50 50? Mmmmmmm

Interesting. . So a lot of new voters wont be signed up. Cheers

Can I ask, was this phone? Also do you have to sign up to be polled? And are u over 18?

Any idea when next official Poll comes out?

As a Yes voter, I am glad it all blew over peacefully. What was more striking to me and probably most people, was that while some bigoted 300 yrs in the past scumbags were marching. Many other Scots were taking to the steets in a wave of hope and the future

Nothing yet Lex.... but I wud say 3/1 is very very good value. I believe that some London punter put 800k on No on single bet, that will certainly be keeping yes lengthened. Its actually called arbitrage betting.

Lex.. bookies lay off bets against each other to ensure minimal loss.. intially much more money was placed on NO, hence short odds.. much actually placed in london.. massive bets... as people start to bet on Yes, yes shortens. Etc etc... thats why the bookie akways tends to win

Yes polling on ground using weighting and demographics are saying today that they have this by a landslide. .. biased obviously but that is the feeling on ground.. expect a major incident by wastemonster this wk...

I think, yes will have lost a little thur and Fri, but gained a lot today... I Would expect about 52% on Tue.... and then onward investment. People now immune to any scare story

Was looking at polls for devolved gov in 1997.. 3 polls on wk of vote gave yes at c.63%.. result on day 74%!!. Also the tax varying powers bit, in the 40s in polls.. result early 60s....

I was in Dortmund for match at weekend. Needless to say most were Yes. However I did come across 2 individuals that were No. However both said that although they were No... they were not going to vote. Ie they didnt agree but would not vote against country.. got me thinking... yes supporters are more likely to vote