dorlomin

A man raped a child. He is a man who raped. The most likely outcomes is that child (an actual human being unlike the animal that did this) will experience either PTSD or C-PTSD. People who are violated (rape physically penetrates the body) or experience long running threats to their self such as domestic violence and other forms of abuse develop of psychological or neuropsychological condition in which the trauma is revisited over decades. They relive the violation. They also develop numerous other pathologies such as hyper alertness (being wide awake at 4 in the morning), problems with intimacy so males often struggle to relax in intimate moments and females often seek domineering partners, the hippocampus development is inhibited, this means they have less self control, they are more vulnerable to drugs, gambling, alcohol and other "maladaptive coping mechanisms". Other side effects will include emotional dysregulation: sudden surges of anger, guilt, fear, confusions. They will also include periods or even a life time of poor concentration and brain fog. For the child this will most likely lead to a lifetime of underachievement, broken relationships, substance abuse and co-morbidities. This animal has raped once. He and his rapist penis should not be allowed into female prisons where he can inflict this life sentence onto another female. At least you are not pretending to care about the females, small mercy you are honest about that.

This man sexually assaulted a child. A barbaric act. He needs to spend a very long time in prison and the idea that him and his penis should be in a female prison is utter mad. I dont care how he feels about it, he is a man who should serve his time in a male prison.

The Lib Dems lack of any polling gains is not being talked about, but worth bringing up. Outside of their SW England heartlands they are a dead party.

Pavement.

As its relevant to the current situation in Ukraine, the value of air defence is not in what it brings down, but what it protects. Drones worth a few tens of thousands of dollars brought 5% of the worlds oil production off line in 2019 when Houthis attacked a Saudi refinery. Ukraine has been using old and cheap technology like Igla's and Geperards (and old Soviet shoulder fired AA missile and German radar gun system respectively). The current trend is for much cheaper systems to fill the gap in capabilities, various "C-RAM" type projects like turning naval defence guns into land based systems and the Israeli Iron Dome type small AA missile system. We had decades of air defence systems being set up to defend against increasingly sophisticated and faster targets, but now there is a huge push to meet cheap, low cost saturation attacks as has been suffered by Ukraine. Meeting these is not a technological problem, but one of insufficient fabrication capacity. Like many of the problems they are facing, we just dont make enough of the simpler kinds of stuff, relying on world leading technology.

Xi and his faction took total control of the CCP in the 20th party conference a few weeks back. It seems his foreign policy is continuing to become more hawkish as he is now supplying a belligerent in a war. They did this a little in the 60s and 70s but to no great effect and simply disappeared from that in the 80s. So it seems to mark China now actively supporting belligerents, specifically those against US allies. Seems quite the change. I'd assume what Russia wants more than anything from China is the DJI Mavic drones and others. Though other subcomponents and machine tools for their defence industry and even perhaps things like clothing and armour might be among the non lethal kit being bought. Hard to read what it really means but I think it may be pretty significant. And it may be that Xi "feels" he cannot see Russia lose. But still not willing to swallow the razor blade of supplying lethal aid. (Sorry for the metaphor). Speaks loudly to how much influence Scholtz had on him.

When we were training in trenches it utterly pissed down one night and I had to spend it in the cold clammy clinging mud. It is vividly one of the worst memories in my life. No one was trying to kill me, I knew hot food was only a day or so away and I knew a dry clean change of clothes were waiting for me when we rotated out.. Day after day, week after week of that energy draining, hope sapping mud must be a vision of what real hell is like. The mud gets into your food, you constantly have to clean your weapon, even taking a shit becomes a task of getting the slimy cold things off off you to somewhere they will not get slimier and finding a way to dump and wipe without getting more mud on than shit off. Trench foot is a huge risk. The skin becomes cold and wrinkled and circulation to the outer bits gets cut off. The skin dies allowing in disease and things like blisters and open sores develop leading to further infections and worst case the foot can end up being lost. Prevention is theoretically easy, keep the foot dry and change socks regularly. But, well those pictures... taking those boots and socks off once a day for your foot inspection will be another chore of mud, cold and discomfort. Bleak pictures. f**k Putin and f**k every one of his apologists.

Remember at his best.

It comes in multiple variants. USSR used the original version exclusively as nuclear armed cruise missiles. But the Russian Republic created a conventional warhead variant that entered service in the very early 2000s (so its much newer with more modern components). These have been used in Syria and Ukraine. But now there is photographic evidence that Russia fired the older version (thus the story). So it will look like just another cruise missile except to trained eyes. Its not the only weapon they have fired that could be nuclear, the Iskanders also have a nuclear variant.

Anyone loosely following this topic (and ignoring the on thread attention seekers), Cold Fusion has a break down on what we know about FTX so far. Its a pretty wild ride. Like a lot of these scandals and disasters: Long Term Capital Management, Enron, WorldCom, dot com bust, housing collapse; Once rip the roof off and you see the underlying financial wiring of the company or system, the failure is easily explainable. The success of these schemes in pulling in investors is largely down to how they hide that, sometimes with criminal intent but often out of the hubristic beliefs they have invented a whole new way of making risk free money that the "normies" and regulators would simply not understand. Pay attention to the personal links to regulators and politically connected people:

Lots of visual evidence of snow falls in Ukraine so winter is beginning. Though it will likely vary between snow and melted mud for a week or two. This will unlikely stop operations and perhaps not slow them. It will make things miserable for the soldiers. But how bad will depend on clothing and boots. Its really really hard to stay motivated when you are stuck in a trench for 12 hours in the freezing cold, even with all the best kit, extra layers and just being in a training ground. So you would assume much worse when there is little prospect of respite. The ground will freeze in the coming weeks, that will make manoeuvre easier. Especially the Ukrainians who use smaller roads more frequently. But frozen ground will make digging much harder. The infantry need this for trenches and artillery to more securely store ammunition. This will make advancing and retreating more costly for both sides. A couple of months ago I reported stories Russia was down to 3 months artillery ammunition. Over the past couple of days stories in The Economist and Foreign Affairs have put this at 1 months. There has been satellite images of trains from the DPRK as well as all the other evidence over the past few months of Russia trying to buy stocks from anyone who had the right calibres. Ukraine is also reporting issues with tweets yesterday to the effect that many of the donated tubes are undergoing refurbishment (standard tubes usually have a life of 1-2 000 before needing relining, firing rounds wears the barrels and they need to be "relined"). Also reports that western donations of rounds are drying up due to stocking levels, but that report has been around for months. The US is buying artillery from ROK to restock, this allows ROK to still not supply combat zones will allowing the US to supply Ukraine without its stocks dropping further. https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-europe-business-south-korea-government-and-politics-15569a7bfdb6c53404cfce5f0df1c28f https://edition.cnn.com/2022/11/17/politics/us-weapon-stocks-ukraine/index.html https://mickryan.substack.com/p/the-winter-war-in-ukraine That is kind of a 50 000 foot over view of the current state of things. Waiting to see how the two different sides adapt to the post Kherson shorter defensive lines, new weather and what their weapon stocks are.

In case there is any doubt. I think some of the people who post on this thread are absolute bullshit merchants. I mostly ignore them, they fill in facts gleaned from watching youtube videos on "army stuff" with wild assumptions. When ever there is a crisis like last night, find credible people with decades of specialist knowledge and take your opinions from them, they will mostly say "wait till we have the facts".