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dorlomin last won the day on June 16 2015

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About dorlomin

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  1. On the one hand this is my views on nationalism. But on the other I am hugely grateful that my tiny space and small time in this pale blue dot has been made one of comfort and leisure that owes a huge debt of gratitude to men and women I have never met. The men who went over the top and Passchendaele and Arras, of the boats at Gallipoli and into the seas to hunt uboats. To the women who worked in factories and farms, the huge number of non citizens of the empire who served for a wide variety of reasons to air our fight against the Kaiser and the Nazis. I know it also fits into a bigger and longer struggle for rights from the Levellers, the Chartists, the Suffragettes and into a more modern era and newer struggles. Smug sneerings and and pompous condemnations are fun and make people feel like they have something of value to offer the world. Those who contributed to ensuring Europe could largely become a family of free democracies seem to have left slightly more of a worth while legacy than the hipsters and attention seekers on here. But I am sure they will dispute this. Narcissists are unlikely to like being upstaged but those who fought for our freedom.
  2. The Official President Trump thread

    To be fair this is true for all your content.
  3. The Official President Trump thread

    Gerrymandering tends to happen in states where one party dominates the legislative. Some states have versions of fair representation acts for their local and Congress seats. Though in the big picture the trend has been for the Republicans to gain a greater percent of seats in the House than their vote share suggesting they generally benefit from gerrymandering. Voter suppression in a number of states is clearly a long running and major issue. It normally has to have a prima facie justification like the Florida example cited up thread. It has been enough to possibly matter in tight presidential elections like 2000 and 2016. But it is as old as democracy.
  4. The Official President Trump thread

    The religious "Guardian Council" of Iran selects who is permitted to run for elections. In essence they ensure it is only males from their version of sufficiently orthodox Shia Islam and supportive of the growing power of the Revolutionary Guard. They also have very strict control of the media. Only imbeciles try to equate that to voter suppression in the US. At this point you shout "jokes".
  5. The Official President Trump thread

    In terms of mid western districts that voted Obama then Trump.... The Democrats also held onto seats that had voted Romney but switched to Clinton. Those are affluent educated exburbs that has been relatively Republican before Trump. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-democrats-took-the-house-on-election-night/ Those proclaiming a "good night" for Trump seem to be relying on Florida being solidly his and the Democrats not completely eviscerating the Republicans. There is little there to show that Trump has built anything in terms of electoral gains and as I said above the demographics of the US run against their "know nothing\nativist" coalition with the evangelicals every year. More of the white population is becoming educated and urban. Not enough to swing one election, but enough to show a long term trend in the Republicans failing to win a majority in the presidency more than once since Bush 42 (his son Bush 44 did so in 2004). The polarisation trend that has shown to be strengthening in this election is on the wrong side for the Republicans (fwiw I think that polarisation in the UK will work against Labour but that is another slagging match for another thread). Winning senate seats in North Daokota and clinging on in Texas is not a big pointer to another "red wave".
  6. The Official President Trump thread

    On demographics. https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/326995-census-more-americans-have-college-degrees-than-ever-before The number o f US people with collage degrees is steadily increasing and as these groups move through the demography getting older this increases the net % of those will collage degrees. Having a collage degree is now a strong indicator of voting liberal. Since 2013 non Hispanic white children have been the minority of births. More Mexicans Leaving Than Coming to the U.S.Net Loss of 140,000 from 2009 to 2014; Family Reunification Top Reason for Return Asians are likely to become the biggest source of immigration to the US but the near term trend on births, immigration (and EMIGRATION) plus other population trends like ageing show The long term decline of the US was a white, rural country with only high school attainment. The Republicans have turned on presidency into an absolute dumpster fire alienating generally socially conservative Hispanics and economically more conservative Asians who they will need to stem the time of an increasingly educated and urbanised white population. This presidency has been an electoral scorched earth that will not even get a second act to justify the damage.
  7. The Official President Trump thread

    Scott Walker lost in Wisconsin. Kris Kobach lost in Kansas. Democrats seemed to have gotten solid results in the mid west. Quick take on this so far, the polarisation is deepening but that line is about 46/54 towards the democrats. This will see the Republicans do well in small rural states and the Democrats in more urbanised states. The Democrats should win most presidential races in those circumstances and tend to dominate the House. Each race will have its own features but simply appealing to the base and polarising the debate does not seem to be a winning strategy for the Republicans anymore and demographics are strongly running against them.
  8. The Official President Trump thread

    Thank you for your opinion. https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2018/11/6/18052374/florida-amendment-4-felon-voting-rights-results Over a million new voters, a large portion of whom will be black or from lower income groups will be voting in 2020. But according to you this will have no impact on such a tight state because reasons.
  9. The Official President Trump thread

    Oh such tough luck https://uk.news.yahoo.com/ballot-measures-latest-florida-restores-035740592.html
  10. The Official President Trump thread

    First polls now open. Biggest test for where America stands with respect to Trump now fully underway (postal votes aside).
  11. The Official President Trump thread

    Just a quick primer for those who only loosely follow US politics.
  12. The Official President Trump thread

    Results should start at around 6pm EDT so about 11 pm our time. The bulk of them from the eastern states will be arriving a couple of hours later and should show the over all trend. The expectation is the for the Republicans to gain seats in the Senate but take a pasting in the House. Key movements are the Mid West\rustbelt states that seem like to trend strongly back to the Dems, wiping out the supposed "blue collar white voter" moving to the Republicans in the northern mid west states and perhaps well of Republicans in New York and California bailing on the Trump bandwagon. Some whispers of places as red as Orange County going blue. One thing to watch for is any reporting on turnout. Mid terms are usually very poorly turned out like our locals, European and by elections. Any boost there could be motivated Democrats\"liberals" going out to hurt Trump. Youth and woman vote numbers will also be important.
  13. The Universe

    13 billion year old star found. https://www.newswise.com//articles/johns-hopkins-scientist-finds-elusive-star-with-origins-close-to-big-bang
  14. The Universe

    The ESAs budget is about 5 billion Euros. NASA's budget is $20 billion. The US has a vastly larger budget to fund the development of new manned space hardware. It is much cheaper for the ESA to buy seats on Soyuz than pay for a crewed vehicle that would only have one or two flights a year at the most.
  15. I try to avoid these thread but its not "free speech". You enter the ground agreeing to the terms and conditions of the property owner. They are hosting events that are organised by the SPFL and the terms and conditions have to meet their conditions. This is why in football matches clubs can be fined for political or other chants and so on that are not against the law per se, they violate the rules of the competition and individuals chanting them violate the T&C of their entry thus can be ejected for trespass. People may wish to think about this when formulating complaints against authorities given the latitude they technically have in these matters.