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bewlay

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Overs  15, 16, 17 & 18 cost 1, 4, 6 & 12 runs respectively as  the UAE's last two genuine batsmen move up through the gears

Leask restricts them to just 1 run  in the 19th 

and Chris Sole capitalises on their desperation with the opening ball of the 20th

117/6

Raza , the new batsman, has made  a total of 20 runs in his last 6 innings

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A weakness Scotland have had over the years is their inability to polish sides off when they get them 5 or 6 down. A 77 run partnership (so far) between Usman and Raza means UAE still in with a shout. Scotland should still win from here, as the rate required creeps above 10 an over.

Edited by Frankie S
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4 minutes ago, Frankie S said:

A weakness Scotland have had over the years is their inability to polish sides off when they get them 5 or 6 down. A 77 run partnership (so far) between Usman and Raza means UAE still in with a shout. Scotland should still win from here, as the rate required creeps above 10 an over.

88 now but it's taken longer than the previous 117/6

When they came in the required rate was 6.7 they've been going at about 4.25 and the required rate is now past 12

The game is now only really about whether Muhammad Usman can get his first international century 


 

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Afghanistan beat the West Indies. They came close against us, Incredibly close against Zimbabwe and finally their luck is in

UAE on the other hand need 77 off 20 balls with 1 wicket remaining

Undefeated Scotland are going to top the league until at least tomorrow when Zimbabwe need to beat Ireland to match us

 

 

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Afghanistan win. 

If we beat Ireland then we go onto 7 which means only Zimbabwe and Windies can finish above us. 

So I think that means we want Ireland to win tomorrow vs Zimbabwe  but also Ireland to lose to Afghanistan in their last match? 

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The most likely scenario is we lose both games and go out but having faffed about with spreadsheets, if Ireland beat Zimbabwe and we beat Ireland then we're through. 

Also wouldn't mind a week's worth of torrential rain in Zimbabwe starting right now tbh. 

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6 minutes ago, Fuctifano said:

The most likely scenario is we lose both games and go out but having faffed about with spreadsheets, if Ireland beat Zimbabwe and we beat Ireland then we're through. 

Also wouldn't mind a week's worth of torrential rain in Zimbabwe starting right now tbh. 

Should move the next round of games to Fife!

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47 minutes ago, Fuctifano said:

The most likely scenario is we lose both games and go out but having faffed about with spreadsheets, if Ireland beat Zimbabwe and we beat Ireland then we're through. 

Also wouldn't mind a week's worth of torrential rain in Zimbabwe starting right now tbh. 

I checked the long term forecast for Harare and there's not much chance of that

The final round of fixtures may be affected by Thunderstorms but they're not going to be rained off

2018-03-16  IRE  ZIM    Harare Sports Club

2018-03-18    IRE    SCO    Harare Sports Club
2018-03-19    WIN    ZIM    Harare Sports Club
2018-03-20    AFG    UAE    Old Hararians, Harare

2018-03-21    SCO    WIN    Harare Sports Club
2018-03-22    ZIM    UAE    Harare Sports Club
2018-03-23    AFG    IRE    Harare Sports Club

 

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Ireland getting absolutely waxed which means even if we beat them on Sunday  we need Zimbabwe  to beat Windies (or us to beat both Ireland and Windies) for us to qualify. 

Even if Ireland win both games vs us and Afghanistan there's a decent chance they're cooked. 

Edit - assuming Zimbabwe beat UAE and there's no washouts or ties. 

Edited by Fuctifano
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3 minutes ago, Frankie S said:

Looks like that missed opportunity against Zimbabwe, to close out the win when well on top, may prove costly.

Also if we'd polished off UAE quicker  the net run rate difference would have been big. 

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Well if we’re exactly as good as Zimbabwe and Zimbabwe have horsed Ireland then we should horse Ireland

 

Similarly we beat Afghanistan and they beat the West Indies we should have little to fear from the Caribbeans

 

So logically

 

We’re basically through to the finals

 

England seem to favourites largely because they’re hosting it but Scotland is as close as you can get without actually being hosts so we’re probably 2nd favourites

 

 

 

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The nightmare scenario is beat Ireland tomorrow, Windies beat Zimbabwe, we lose to Windies, Zimbabwe beat UAE and we go out on net run rate. 
That is what I can see happening. Hopefully Zimbabwe beat the Windies. I didnt see their game yesterday but I am told the Windies were awful.
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