Glenconner Posted May 22, 2017 Share Posted May 22, 2017 May wins and goes after the pensioners with a death tax then maybe a Indy Ref 2 win isn't that far fetched. YES could go with "eff the currency, your deed anyway". 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunning1874 Posted May 22, 2017 Share Posted May 22, 2017 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colkitto Posted May 22, 2017 Share Posted May 22, 2017 Corbyn not doing as badly as expected will have both Tory and Labour people with their head in their hands. Tories worried the gamble of an election may not come off as they would have liked and Labour lining up to over-throw Corbyn after the expected electoral disaster. Best we can hope for is a reduced majority for the Tories or a hung parliament which would just be incredible, especially if there is no "Lib-dem fightback" and Labour have to rely on the SNP 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sooky Posted May 22, 2017 Share Posted May 22, 2017 I take solace in the fact opposition polls have a tendency to peak a few weeks before an election...Also, this is somewhat relevant I suppose: 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shtuggie Posted May 22, 2017 Share Posted May 22, 2017 I think thoughts of a hung parliament are extremely fanciful. People seem to forget about the silent Torys who always slither out and vote. I remember someone on here making a fortune on a Conservative majority two years ago - the odds were good in the face of decent polling for Labour. My own feeling is that the, in terms of seats, there will be little movement. The best we can hope for is that the May doesn't increase her majority by more than a handful of seats. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crùbag Posted May 22, 2017 Share Posted May 22, 2017 Despite the Tory slide in the polls, Mundell is still confident though. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kyle Posted May 22, 2017 Share Posted May 22, 2017 Welsh Westminster voting intention: LAB: 44% (+9) CON: 34% (-7) PC: 9% (-2) LDEM: 6% (-1) UKIP: 5% (+1) A 16 point swing from the Tories to Labour compared to the last Wales only poll. The Tories have made an utter mess of what should have been a complete cake walk. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bedford White Posted May 22, 2017 Share Posted May 22, 2017 12 minutes ago, Kyle said: Welsh Westminster voting intention: LAB: 44% (+9) CON: 34% (-7) PC: 9% (-2) LDEM: 6% (-1) UKIP: 5% (+1) A 16 point swing from the Tories to Labour compared to the last Wales only poll. The Tories have made an utter mess of what should have been a complete cake walk. Momentum is building. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DI Bruce Robertson Posted May 22, 2017 Share Posted May 22, 2017 It would be good to see a marginal seat poll, anyone know if they are being conducted? The swing seats are key. I fully expect a Tory majority, just not on the scale they expect, a reduced majority would be a dream, with May going for early election to back her Brexit stance, if a lower majority was returned (hypothetically) where would that leave her stance? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crùbag Posted May 22, 2017 Share Posted May 22, 2017 Oil bonanza. And we won't see a penny of it... https://stv.tv/news/north/1389247-oil-flows-from-west-of-shetland-fields-after-4-4bn-boost/ 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kyle Posted May 22, 2017 Share Posted May 22, 2017 22 minutes ago, DI Bruce Robertson said: It would be good to see a marginal seat poll, anyone know if they are being conducted? The swing seats are key. I fully expect a Tory majority, just not on the scale they expect, a reduced majority would be a dream, with May going for early election to back her Brexit stance, if a lower majority was returned (hypothetically) where would that leave her stance? We're kind of relying on Ashcroft for those. I think the snap election has caught a lot of pollsters on the hop. Only one I've seen is Edinburgh South, which had the SNP on 30, Labour on 40... but with the greens (who aren't standing) on 7. The Tories had only made tiny gains there, which I doubt would be the case across Scotland. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DI Bruce Robertson Posted May 22, 2017 Share Posted May 22, 2017 We're kind of relying on Ashcroft for those. I think the snap election has caught a lot of pollsters on the hop. Only one I've seen is Edinburgh South, which had the SNP on 30, Labour on 40... but with the greens (who aren't standing) on 7. The Tories had only made tiny gains there, which I doubt would be the case across Scotland. Thanks. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ned Nederlander Posted May 22, 2017 Share Posted May 22, 2017 1 hour ago, Crùbag said: Oil bonanza. And we won't see a penny of it... https://stv.tv/news/north/1389247-oil-flows-from-west-of-shetland-fields-after-4-4bn-boost/ Poor Scotland - burdened with yet more useless oil. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crùbag Posted May 22, 2017 Share Posted May 22, 2017 Another day, another subsample. I know about the usual caveats but they're all showing the same thing - a massive SNP lead. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ira Gaines Posted May 23, 2017 Share Posted May 23, 2017 zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeTillEhDeh Posted May 23, 2017 Share Posted May 23, 2017 Oakzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzoft. FTFY. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wee Willie Posted May 23, 2017 Share Posted May 23, 2017 (edited) 18 minutes ago, Randy Giles said: Oakzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzoft. 9 minutes ago, DeeTillEhDeh said: FTFY. worth a greenie Edited May 23, 2017 by Wee Willie 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DrewDon Posted May 23, 2017 Share Posted May 23, 2017 Decent article from Roger Scully on Labour's bounce in Wales: http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/june2017/2017/05/why-labour-surging-wales. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kyle Posted May 23, 2017 Share Posted May 23, 2017 4 hours ago, oaksoft said: Sane people should be able to read these sorts of wild swings and instantly realise they are bollox and should be ignored. The idea that this sort of swing is real is actually pretty obviously ridiculous. Or perhaps the initial poll, which goes completely against the trend of history, is the outlier? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wastecoatwilly Posted May 23, 2017 Share Posted May 23, 2017 If labour has hit rock bottom and slowly on the way back up it's because the tories and Theresa may are playing puppet master with poor Corbyn 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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